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2026 Elections: To the Midterms and Beyond!

I got some bad news…those of us who live down here and care about those people have cut fentanyl overdoses in half recently. I’m sorry, America.
You do the detox part, they have to do the recovery part. I have my own issues that I get therapy and do work to address, but I can't work someone else's program of recovery for them, so I don't try.
 
FiftyPlusOne latest Senate aggregate advantages: (* flip)

Dems flip 6 seats.

10.4 NC Cooper
9.7 GA Ossoff
7.0 NH Pappas
4.5 MI El-Sayed
3.8 MN Flanagan
3.8 OH Brown *
2.8 AK Peltola *
2.6 TX Talarico *
2.3 ME Jackson *
1.6 KS Hamilton *
0.8 IA Turek *

Fasc on track to protect 2 at risk seats:

-1.5 NE Osborn
-1.5 SC Andrews
 
FiftyPlusOne latest Senate aggregate advantages: (* flip)

Dems flip 6 seats.

10.4 NC Cooper
9.7 GA Ossoff
7.0 NH Pappas
4.5 MI El-Sayed
3.8 MN Flanagan
3.8 OH Brown *
2.8 AK Peltola *
2.6 TX Talarico *
2.3 ME Jackson *
1.6 KS Hamilton *
0.8 IA Turek *

Fasc on track to protect 2 at risk seats:

-1.5 NE Osborn
-1.5 SC Andrews

I think that’d be seven flips, sir. NC has two R senators, Budd and Tillis.
 
FiftyPlusOne latest Senate aggregate advantages: (* flip)

Dems flip 6 seats.

10.4 NC Cooper
9.7 GA Ossoff
7.0 NH Pappas
4.5 MI El-Sayed
3.8 MN Flanagan
3.8 OH Brown *
2.8 AK Peltola *
2.6 TX Talarico *
2.3 ME Jackson *
1.6 KS Hamilton *
0.8 IA Turek *

Fasc on track to protect 2 at risk seats:

-1.5 NE Osborn
-1.5 SC Andrews
Cooper would be a flip too.

I’m still going to standby my prediction that the Senate ends up something like 50/50 or 51/49 in favor of R.

I think Ds get NC for sure and then maybe one or 2 of TX, ME, AK, and OH.. I’m guessing just enough Republicans will “come home“ on election day.

On the House side guessing Democrats will end up with a 15 to 20 seat advantage or somewhere in that range.
 
FiftyPlusOne latest Senate aggregate advantages: (* flip)

Dems flip 6 seats.

10.4 NC Cooper
9.7 GA Ossoff
7.0 NH Pappas
4.5 MI El-Sayed
3.8 MN Flanagan
3.8 OH Brown *
2.8 AK Peltola *
2.6 TX Talarico *
2.3 ME Jackson *
1.6 KS Hamilton *
0.8 IA Turek *

Fasc on track to protect 2 at risk seats:

-1.5 NE Osborn
-1.5 SC Andrews
It seems Talarico's polling is starting to slip with 3 weeks to go, no surprise there. Jackson is edging downward as well - the fashies are coming home to roost, scandals be damned. Surprised Brown is still up by almost 4 points.
 
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