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The States: Where We Wish Texas Would Secede Already

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Seems like all the more reason to support the drive for a federal law. But Stacy certainly know better than I, you, Biden, or anyone else.
 
dxmnkd316 said:
Wut. Ohio Supreme COurt strikes down their redistricting maps due to partisan gerrymander.

I think I've had a stroke.
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It was actually predicted to go this way I posted about it around Christmas. That and Michigan (Along with a few other changes) has caused a shift in how Cook has forecasted the Midterms.
 
Handyman said:
It was actually predicted to go this way I posted about it around Christmas. That and Michigan (Along with a few other changes) has caused a shift in how Cook has forecasted the Midterms.
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GOP wins the majority by only 30 seats instead of 50? They’re still forecasting the GOP to retake the House.
It appears that the gerrymandering won’t be as bad as I initially feared in August. As pointed out on here by some, the GOP already gerrymandered the fuck out of their states they controlled, so gerrymandering more was going to be difficult. Democrats may, MAY, be able to almost come out of gerrymandering as a wash, depending on how Ohio, NC, New York, etc. play out.
That all said, the national environment is terrible for Democrats, and Biden is stuck in the mid 40s for approval rating. If those factors don’t change before November, it’s going to be 247-188 GOP come January 2023.
 
psych said:
GOP wins the majority by only 30 seats instead of 50? They’re still forecasting the GOP to retake the House.
It appears that the gerrymandering won’t be as bad as I initially feared in August. As pointed out on here by some, the GOP already gerrymandered the fuck out of their states they controlled, so gerrymandering more was going to be difficult. Democrats may, MAY, be able to almost come out of gerrymandering as a wash, depending on how Ohio, NC, New York, etc. play out.
That all said, the national environment is terrible for Democrats, and Biden is stuck in the mid 40s for approval rating. If those factors don’t change before November, it’s going to be 247-188 GOP come January 2023.
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I believe the ones I follow who are part of it think it is now far from a lock whereas 3 months ago they wouldn't even consider the fact the Dems could hold.

Not to sound like the clown I have on ignore but it is all going to come down to if the Dems show up. Personally I think they will but my opinion on that changes month to month ;^)
 
Handyman said:
Not to sound like the clown I have on ignore but it is all going to come down to if the Dems show up. Personally I think they will but my opinion on that changes month to month ;^)
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IMO, Biden needs to find a way to make at least some progress on his agenda between now and August or they are toast.
 
FadeToBlack&Gold said:
IMO, Biden needs to find a way to make at least some progress on his agenda between now and August or they are toast.
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That won't matter. Even if he got everything he wanted in the BBB bill, you'll never see even the slightest effect by November.

Keep track of what people are paying for their gas and groceries this summer and fall. If it's the same or worse than it is now, the D's are toast. If it turns around by October and November, they have a shot.
 
FadeToBlack&Gold said:
IMO, Biden needs to find a way to make at least some progress on his agenda between now and August or they are toast.
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Just a point of order here. He managed to get the ARP and the infrastructure deal passed. Those are two gigantic accomplishments. Yes, I want more, but let's not start going on about how his presidency - less than 1 full year in - is already on the brink.
 
Funny, when gas was $4+/gal during Bush's second term (adjust that for inflation and it was over $5/gal in today's dollars), I don't recall Republicans blaming him.
 
FadeToBlack&Gold said:
Funny, when gas was $4+/gal during Bush's second term (adjust that for inflation and it was over $5/gal in today's dollars), I don't recall Republicans blaming him.
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Well, because team. Go team go.

2020 was exceptionally low, between the super low demand and the Russians trying to ratfuck our shale industry by increasing production, it was an artifical and temporary lull. Now we're about back to where the market approximately should be.
 
FadeToBlack&Gold said:
Funny, when gas was $4+/gal during Bush's second term (adjust that for inflation and it was over $5/gal in today's dollars), I don't recall Republicans blaming him.
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I also don't recall a Republican winning in the election following that second term.

A chunk of people (big enough to make a difference in elections) vote based upon how hard their life is in the weeks and months leading up to the election. If it's hard to find or pay for housing or transportation or food for their family, or even if they perceive that it's hard, they will vote for the person or party out of power.

You can say what you want about James Carville, but he wasn't wrong.
 
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