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Covfefe-19 The 12th Part: The Only Thing Worse Than This New Board Is TrumpVirus2020

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dxmnkd316 said:
With remote work almost encouraged, people will be looking for cheap places to live. I fully expect a purpling of the mountain west over the next decade.
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That's why the red states are ramming through their bigot bills NOW. Gotta try and discourage libs from moving and getting involved in state and local politics.
 
FadeToBlack&Gold said:
That's why the red states are ramming through their bigot bills NOW. Gotta try and discourage libs from moving and getting involved in state and local politics.
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They've also started going after the ones that already have gotten involved. Our local Assembly and School Board elections all have conservatives hand picked and all funded from the same "strategy" groups.
 
FNvOLo8X0AEs5xN
 
No doubt you heard this one during omicron: "I got covid but it would have been worse had I not been vaccinated."

Unfalsifiable counterfactuals: the last refuge of someone clinging to an idea even after getting mugged by reality.
 
RCTs are so valued because they control for psychosomatic effects with blinded placebos.

Lockdowners once demanded them but now operate with “it would have been worse” logic.

They are happy to embrace Nocebo effects when it confirms their bias.

FO_b6ZTX0AQiB5T
 
French Rage said:
Huh, the board is acting weird again, saying there are new posts here but there's nothing since the 25th. Oh well.
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Strange...I have a similar but different problem. I see new posts but no new content. Just the same crap spouted again.

If only there were some kind of block feature......

/sarcasm I know I could block, but sometimes I get curious to see how absurd things get
 
Can a sane person actually believe that 5 shots of a vaccine formulated to protect from the 2019 version of covid will protect them this coming fall?
 
Does the whole asymptomatic thing, people with no signs of disease, no symptoms of illness apply to all Covid variants indefinitely?

Honk
 
Scarlet said:
BA.2 is snapping at our heels.
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Eh, I mean, it has ticked up somewhat, but I don't think that's a result of BA.2 so much as it is people going out with fewer protections like we have been the last several months. If BA.2 is as transmissible as claimed, it means it's 30% more transmissible than the most infectious disease in history. So it's going to find every nook and cranny and available body to infect.

One other thing. Look at the data she's referencing. Ignore the top graph, that's obviously somewhat misleading given what Omicron does to y-axes. The actual increase in wastewater is still barely above the error bars from the prior weeks. And we're talking really low numbers to begin with.
https://www.mwra.com/biobot/biobotdata.htm

Here's the graph from the several months prior to Omicron. it was a steady increase from June/July through Sept/Oct and then Omicron took off.
boston-wastewater-coronavirus-tracking-graph.jpg


More interesting, she's pointing to the UK as some sort of harbinger of things to come. Which is kind of crazy since it's already on the way down from the second peak and Germany is a much better example anyways. They haven't started coming back down from Omicron and they're only getting worse.

And let's make it very clear, your risk of dying from Omicron if you're boosted is less than a third of that of the flu. So even if you are infected, the risk is incredibly low. Even for hospitalization. Now, if you have other factors like being immunocompromised or caring for someone who is, yeah, definitely take greater precautions. But for the average person and a good margin more, it ain't gonna be Delta and for the public, it ain't gonna be Omicron.

What's this all mean? I dunno. Wear a mask if you want. Take precautions that fit your risk tolerance. My wife and I will be wearing our N95s at TD Garden next week. YMW(ill)V.
 
Kepler said:
So why is BA.2 a variant of Omicron rather than a whole new variant? Does it have to do with the genetic structure and how different it is, like genus/species?
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Yes, as far as I understand. However, it's 30-40% more transmissible than BA.1 so that's kind of not ideal.

However, what makes me extremely curious is that the seroprevalence is over 80-90% here in the Northeast and our numbers are not spiking (they're going up ever so slightly, which requires watching). BA.1 gives substantial immunity to BA.2, so people who were recently sick/infected with BA.1 and have been vaccinated have very little to worry about. I think - hope? - that because BA.1 whalloped us so badly that BA.2 won't have sufficient fertile ground to truly take hold. The parts of the world that seem to be doing really poorly against BA.2 are places that didn't have substantial BA.1 waves (New Zealand, Hong Kong, China in general), have low elderly vaccination rates (Hong Kong, China) or took substantive measures against BA.1 and didn't burn as hot as we did here (most of Europe).
 
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