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Grand unified 2020 election thread

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Overall, horrible night for Dems in Iowa. Biden did better than Hillary but still lost by 6-7 points. Ernst wins comfortably, Rs flip 2 house seats, and the Dems didn't take the state house, losing a few races by a hundred votes or less in the process.

What the fuck happened?
 
only hope for picking up Susan’s seat is RCV. She’s right at 50% last I saw. If she ends up below 50, there is still a chance for a D pick up. It seems unlikely now.
 
What the **** happened?

Iowa is heavily non-college educated whites, which is Trump's base. And pretty much everything was party line vote. The total combined vote in IA-1,-2-and 3 was basically even, the split just gave Rs 2 out of the 3 seats (likely pending a recount in IA-2).. IA-4 is what put Trump and Ernst over the top.
 
Huh. Nate Silver:

Fox News has called Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District for Biden, becoming the first network to do so. They’re also the only network to have called Arizona for Biden. Those two places have an important relationship because if Biden wins both Arizona and NE-02, he doesn’t need Pennsylvania (although he does need both Michigan and Wisconsin). The dynamics are very interesting for media-watcher types thinking about the editorial independence of Fox News’s Decision Desk. The Arizona call was pretty aggressive, but serves as a check against any attempt that Trump might make to claim victory tonight.

That is a really interesting point.
 
There’s some bizarre fuckery in Zapata County Texas. Went from +33D to +6R. Last GOP win there was 100 years ago.
 
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