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Grand unified 2020 election thread

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Also, note that 538 had AZ as D+3. Biden is current D+8.

FL is sad, yes. But other than that we haven't had any really lethal news yet, and we're getting a mixture of good reports, too.

Don't commit suicide just yet.
 
Right now what this looks like to me is were not picking up any of the states we'd LIKE to pick up but don't need to get to 270. TX, GA, FL, NC, OH, any would be nice to get but if they stay red, not fatal. But then that means we HAVE to win 2 of three in WI, MI and PA. And since these states are not going to be called any time in the next 24 hours, that means litigation. We needed a 2 or 3 state cushion.
 
Right now what this looks like to me is were not picking up any of the states we'd LIKE to pick up but don't need to get to 270. TX, GA, FL, NC, OH, any would be nice to get but if they stay red, not fatal. But then that means we HAVE to win 2 of three in WI, MI and PA. And since these states are not going to be called any time in the next 24 hours, that means litigation. We needed a 2 or 3 state cushion.

Right. It would be good to win those we don't need because a) national shift and b) cushion, but not 100% super-duper necessary. But for each you lose there's less room for error and malfeasance.
 
Biden and Smith holding strong in Minnesota...both over 50% though Biden is much stronger. Both winning in Washington County which I did not see coming...
 
Right now what this looks like to me is were not picking up any of the states we'd LIKE to pick up but don't need to get to 270. TX, GA, FL, NC, OH, any would be nice to get but if they stay red, not fatal. But then that means we HAVE to win 2 of three in WI, MI and PA. And since these states are not going to be called any time in the next 24 hours, that means litigation. We needed a 2 or 3 state cushion.

This is the way to look at it for now.
 
Devin. Nunes. Is. Losing.

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Biden and Smith holding strong in Minnesota...both over 50% though Biden is much stronger. Both winning in Washington County which I did not see coming...

What's the deal with Washington County? Are those white suburbanites?
 
MSNBC was mentioning that if Biden wins there then he can still win AZ, MI, and WI and win the EC 270-268.

That's what I got when I flipped those into his favor.

I really hope Kepler and Co are right about the Pennsylvania Metros.
 
Jesus, MSNBC just went through all the big counties that remain and came up with about a 400k net for Biden remaining, and Dump is ahead by 370k.

GA is gonna be razor thin.
 
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