Re: World Soccer XI: To South Africa, and Beyond!
Is this actually outlined in some bylaws or anything?
No, but there's a pretty lengthy history of using a formula to seed, and the basic breakdown (half past WC performance, half FIFA rankings) hasn't changed in a long time. They made one change in 2006, where they switched from a 3-2-1 weighting of the last three World Cups to a 2-1 weighting of the last two World Cups, but as it turned out (perhaps by design), that didn't change who was seeded.
I just assumed that since FIFA requires the most recent world rankings to be used for seeding anything else that they would do the same for the world cup? Obviously they haven't done that in the past with weighed values for the current world rankings and results of the previous 2 world cups...but even doing that, what FIFA comes up with doesn't always match what we can calculate on our own...
2002 and prior, the formula was 1/6 the most recent FIFA ranking in the same year, 1/6 the FIFA ranking from December of the prior year, 1/6 the FIFA ranking from two years prior, 1/4 performance in the previous WC, 1/6 performance from the two WCs prior, 1/12 performance from three WCs prior.
As I said, in 2006 they cut it down to two WCs, so 1/3 is performance from the prior WC and 1/6 is performance from two WCs prior.
The results are usually pretty sensible.
I don't know of anything that FIFA
requires to be seeded with their rankings. They might have seeded the Confederations Cup that way, which makes sense, but I think in other things the confederations make their own choices.