I wasn't concerned about the capacity for non-hockey. My point was hockey attendance only and building an arena today for only 2200 makes little sense unless their studies show that 2200 capacity will not be exceeded repeatedly. Certainly, you'll have trouble attracting NCAA regionals. 3000 would have been better.
I don't think you're right about the operational and maintenance costs of the rink. The lease payments will have to cover those costs because that is the only source of incoming funds when the rink is operational. For concerts and other events, they can cover those costs through renting the space, ticket revenue, booth rentals, signage, etc... Hockey doesn't generate that type of income flow so the lease payments are pretty much what will cover 'time on ice'. Unless they sell ad space along the boards.
The 2,200 capacity for hockey is the same as Messa, which hovers around 80% average capacity. Attendance peaked at ~90% in the title contending era, so this seems like a decent number for hockey; my understanding is that there was a strong desire to avoid a larger but often empty rink, given it what that does to game atmosphere. (One of the best things about Messa is that it is frequently pretty full, a sounds and feels it.)
I think there are pros and cons to the slightly-off-campus location. They probably lose a little student attendance, but gain a little local attendance now that parking will not be horrific.
Huge benefit to recruiting. They’ve put lipstick on it several times, but Messa is still a dump, especially at a day-to-day facility level.
And for finances, it’s basically a wash; the ~$1M a year in lease payments is about the same it would have cost to upgrade and maintain Messa at a “barely functioning” level for the foreseeable future. Union sheds the need to finance a major rink project, and eliminates any downside risk below it’s lease number. Messa will not continue to operate as a rink; it will become an indoor practice and locker room facility for other teams, which is big benefit to the football, lacrosse, soccer, and other teams.
So, it’s a no-brainer. Achilles is a super cool old rink with lots of charm and history, but it’s a money pit and problem in recruiting. A 6,000 person facility on campus would be cool, but it would never be filled, and would cost Union way too much. What we’re getting is a great result.