Re: UNH Wildcats 2017-2018 Season - The Quest Continues
It's been awhile since the last time we visited on this topic, but while the deep freeze has set in all across New England, and the holiday season turns its final corner before we get to full-bore winter, the college hockey season returns from its brief hibernation. And with that, so does the
Quest or
March or
Whatever. We'll know in a little over 24 hours' time whether the midterm break did the trick for a UNH team that limped into the break while choking down hard on a pair of sugar-drenched cupcakes ... or if the clock has struck 12 on Coach Umile's hoped-for return to Boston and beyond during his Long Goodbye Tour. Without any further ado, WIS presents its latest prognostications in this long-awaited "Welcome (?) to 2018" edition of "Umile's Last Stand - The _____ for 600".
"Umile's Last Stand - The March to 600"
Coach Umile's current career wins total: 59
5
Wins Remaining to NRN (Next Round Number):
5
Games Remaining (plus 2 min. MBPBEGAM games): 19
Win Pct. Required to Hit Target: 26.3%
WIS Estimated Likelihood of Success: 87%
2017/2018 Cupcake Conversion Ratio (CCR): 5/9 (55.6%)
Looking back ... we left off after a promising win against Providence, and WIS correctly predicted that win would translate into a (rare) midweek win on the road at RPI. That set things up with a final pre-break weekend at home against cupcake twins Army and Merrimack, with visions of a Top Ten ranking dancing in the heads of players, fans, coaches and BS35+5 alike. But those dreams turned into a 'mare with back-to-back subpar performances that saw UNH fall behind, and fail to claw themselves back a win in either contest (WIS did see a non-win against the 'Mack) . And what was looking to be a stellar 11-5-1 record at the break turned into an adequate but sobering 9-7-1 record that chilled a lot of the optimism that was going on around the place about the program's chances of sending off its iconic coach in storybook fashion. Every team encounters some sort of adversity in any season, and hopefully UNH has gotten theirs out of the way, and with 3 eminently winnable games coming up to christen the 2018 calendar, UNH still has a terrific opportunity to kick start its season and get pointed back in the right direction.
Looking at the big picture ... WIS' panel of experts projected in the preseason that Coach Umile's Wildcats would amass at least 10 wins in the opening 19 game stretch of the season through completion of the Ledyard Bank Classic, before we turn the calendar into 2018. UNH slipped to #16 in the polls, and a couple more missteps this weekend - as unthinkable as those prospects might seem - would not only drop the team to .500, but likely see them falling out of the Top 20 ... AND in doing so, failing to meet the 10 wins before 2018 threshold that seemed a mere formality just two games ago. To get to WIS' subsequent projection of 12 wins by the time Brown depart Durham in their 2018 debut, UNH needs to sweep the next 3 games. The WIS panel's last meeting saw much burning of the midnight oil before we decided to keep the outlook for the NRN as a
March instead of a
Quest ... but
March status is going to be in serious jeopardy of returning to a
Quest if things don't turn around quickly. Here are the predictions for this coming weekend:
Predictions:
Friday: UNH 4 @ Dartmouth 1
Saturday: UNH 3 Yale 2
NEXT CUPCAKE ON THE SHELF: 1/6/18 v. Brown
WIS CONTEST - GUESS THE DATE COACH HITS THE NRN!!!
So here is the final qualifying list of the NRN predictions. Winner buys the first round at Libby's on date/time TBD. HR or another suitably qualified candidate will be inviting the GOH to the event (while WIS runs for cover

):
<s>1/06/18 vs. Brown @ home: Snively65, HockeyRef</s>
<s>1/12/18 vs. BU @ home: phb, e.cat</s>
---------------------------------------------------------------
1/19/18 vs. UMaine @ Alfond: Dan, deltabravo, Nifty16
1/20/18 vs. UMaine @ Alfond: After the Whistle, Scott, scoreboard, Darius
1/26/18 vs. UConn @ home: Aerman
2/03/18 vs. UMass @ home: WIS
So far, three of our contestants are off the hook for the *victory* in our NRN contest. The earliest date now for the magical event to be taking place is mid-January at Conte Forum, of all places (assuming 4 straight preceding wins out of the chute, including at home vs. BU). Realistically, the focus now settles on the group predicting the NRN will be accomplished during the UMaine weekend. I'm liking Aerman's prediction the best right now ... which might be worth the wait, if only so we can enjoy the plethora of empty platitudes that would no doubt be flowing from that <s>Eddie Haskell</s> Luce Canaan character behind the opposing bench on that occasion.
GO UNH - GOT TO GET THE GOODBYE TOUR TO THE GAHDEN!!!