Re: UNH Wildcats 2016-17 Vol II -- We Do Have a Hockey Season Here!?!
WIS Productions weighs in with its RS post-mortem in the latest edition of "Umile's Last Stand - _____ for 600"
"Umile's Last Stand - The Quest for 600"
Coach Umile's current career wins total: 583
Wins Remaining to the next round number: 17
*Games Remaining (Next 2 Seasons - Min.): 38
Win Pct. Required to Hit Target: 44.7%
WIS Estimated Likelihood of Success: 50%

2016/2017 Cupcake Conversion Ratio (CCR): 9/17 (53%)
* - minimum games remaining assumes 34 regular season games, and at least 2 games in the MBPBEGAM "playoffs"
With an increasing sense of deja vu, this year's UNH squad limped home down the stretch of the regular season with another sweep at the hands of a slumping UConn team that may have been the only team in HE playing as poorly as your 'Cats down the stretch. Turns out last weekend's 3rd period capitulation to BU was just painful foreshadowing of a pair of must-win games that UNH managed to trail pretty much from the outset, spare for the opening Salvaggio goal on Friday night. But any time UNH was faced with adversity, the team seemed to crumble into bits. Not a great reflection on the coaching staff or the team's leadership, to be frank. And with players beginning to fill the trainer's room as things have snowballed ... it's hard not to objectively ask the painful but fitting question as to whether certain elements of this team have already pretty much checked out on this season (if not on their UNH careers). And with Coach Umile's frank confession this past week about not knowing what to say or do about his team's recent performances ... can it be that time is really, finally up on his long and overall successful career in Durham?
A 10th place finish was predicted by some at the start of the season - frankly, I forget what I predicted, but it was probably somewhere in that neighborhood - but the way it happened was especially painful. Frittering away way too many OOC cupcake games should have been the early distant warning, but an artificially strong start in Hockey East conference play buoyed spirits. Remember - this team was above the .500 mark until about a month ago. Now, for a second straight season, the 'Cats make the short trip to their former "home away from home" Lawler Volpe Community Center, or whatever that glorified HS shed is called these days. There is absolutely no reason for any level of optimism. As noted above, it looks like a fair section of the squad has already checked out of the season, and it may have crossed their minds that in laying down like a bunch of lambs, they can affect a change at the top of the program. Say what you want about Coach Umile (and Lord knows I've said plenty, pro and con) ... but having a team apparently quit on him down the stretch this season is hardly a fitting way to see his career come to an end. Hopefully, enough of the players still giving it their all will pull an unlikely surprise out of their hats next week/end. But I think it's fair to say that more than ever before, the end of the Umile era may only be a couple of games away.
The Big Picture - the only realistic goals of relevance down the stretch were (1) earning some home "post-season" games, and (2) finding a way to make sure Coach Umile's career ends successfully around this time next season with a happy ending to
The Quest. Clearly, Part (1) didn't materialize, and Part (2) badly needs another pair of wins against Merrimack next weekend to give Coach Umile even a realistic glimmer of hope. I questioned his team's lack of intestinal fortitude in the 3rd period of the BU game last Saturday, and sadly his team looked as ready to compete this weekend against a mediocre UConn team as Sonny Liston did over 50 years ago when he showed up in Lewiston ME for the rematch with Cassius Clay/Muhammad Ali. It was just a bad look over the last 7 periods of the regular season. And it would be shocking to see this team somehow rediscover its competitive desire when more and more players clearly aren't up to the fight.
Win this series, though, and steal a game in the QF round against the likes of BU, and
The Quest lives to improbably fight on for another season. In "heart over head" style, here are my hedged predictions for next week/end:
Predictions:
HEART
Game One: UNH 5 @ Merrimack 3
Game Two: @ Merrimack 4 UNH 1
Game Three: UNH 4 @ Merrimack 3 (OT)
HEAD
Game One: @ Merrimack 5 UNH 2
Game Two: @ Merrimack 2 UNH 0
NEXT CUPCAKE ON THE SHELF (PROJECTED): AIC (10/13/17); @ AIC (10/14/17)
IS BS35+4 PAYING ATTENTION YET?
Oh yes, he most certainly is. This season - these last two seasons, actually - were not supposed to go this way. 40 wins over 3 seasons was a professional layup for a guy who used to routinely win that many games in about half that time, and even with the state of the UNH Men's Hockey program right now, that goal should have been wrapped up by midseason next season at the latest. 15 W's last season, 15 W's this season, and 10 by midseason next year with a cupcake laden schedule that's likely to make last season's OOC schedule look like The Bataan Death March by comparison. The successor-in-waiting is starting to finally hit his stride on the recruiting trails, and exposing his fragile progress on this front to another embarrassing late season collapse by his mentor is not going to make any of this easier. It all rests on this coming week's MBPGEGAM round at Merrimack. This is "High Noon" for Coach Umile, as more and more of his players have left him exposed to an ignominious ending to his storied and widely successful career. BS35+4 won't be anywhere near the scene of the crime next weekend, but he will have clarity on his decision for next season by the time next week's games are completed.
The only question I have is, would Coach resign voluntarily before he gets pushed? He has to be devastated with how things have turned out this season down the stretch. For the first time ever, I think that answer may be "yes". The kicker, though, is ... we may never know. I do know it's going to be an interesting next few weeks in UNH-land.