While I won't be attending the games this weekend (My friend and I have 4 kids under the age of 5 between us, and apparently babysitters aren't lining up to give up Friday nights) I am excited at the possibilities of the weekend. Any of these teams can win, and the mere fact that UNH has a realistic shot at the autobid is amazing when you think of where we were 3 weeks ago needing a come from behind win and a mini miracle (BU sweep) just to host a playoff game. The weekend in Durham showed UNH matched up well against Notre Dame, however they appear to be a different team now just over a month later. Providence and UML have been close games the past couple of years and a meeting with them could go either way (Slight edge to UML in a head to head but anything could happen).
The problem I fear will arise this weekend is Umile's (this is not an indictment of his coaching style just an observation) tendency to have the team back off and simply gain center ice, dump, change, and repeat to protect the lead. While I can understand his thinking (Inconsistent offense, stellar D at times) that keeping games low scoring is to his benefit that stats for the year show that they can't rely on that. To reference the weekly release in 21 wins 88 goals scored and just 34 allowed. In 17 losses 34 goals scored and 66 allowed. They get their best defense when they are attacking on offense. There is obviously more to it than that but trying to protect the lead is not the right course of action. Back to this weekend I fear that will be the downfall because it almost cost the team their season last week. Against Northeastern they shut it down with a big lead on Saturday and couldn't flip the switch back on. On Sunday they appeared to shut it down again in the second period and got fortunate their top line showed up to play.
At this point anything could happen this weekend, but ultimately I feel UNH will fall, and it will be a game in which they jump out to an early lead. Regardless of what happens I'm satisfied with the way the season has ended. While I felt they played below their potential at times they still suffered some injury problems that leads me to think they actually overachieved a little in the last few weeks.