Re: UNH Wildcats 2014/2015 - Wait 'Til Next Year!!!
I think the STAT in and of itself is not that relevant and a moot point ...
You have become enlightened. My work here is done.
... but the PROCESS of getting shots to the net and creating opportunities is a relevant conversation. SOGs are a result of that process and goals are too. You can't have goals without SOGs!! The process of getting shots to the net is what it is all about on offense.
In summary, saying the "SOG count is/was meaningless" doesn't tell the whole story. The process is what is meaningful. It just doesn't always produce the desired results!!
Dammit, you had to go qualify things. Couldn't leave well enough alone, could ya??
Seriously though ... I can't disagree too much with that, e.cat. My only edit to what you've said above is I'd probably add the word
quality in front of every time you wrote the word "shots" and "opportunities".
I'll also point out that a team with better
quality finishers won't need as many SOG's to generate more goals than an opponent lacking
quality finishers, whether that's on any given night, or (more likely) over a longer period of time (I think that's what the stats geeks call "sample size"). Right now, I think that's part of what's hurting UNH. Lots of quantity, but not enough quality. Yet.
The best way I've always tried to explain it is this ... a successful team is one that gets a lead, preserves a lead with smart strategic and disciplined play, works to its strengths, and forces opponents away from their own strengths. If you're a good team and you have a one-goal lead in the second or (especially) the third period against a lesser opponent, you know the opponent is eventually going to try to break out of their own comfort zone and start committing more players to the attack. That opens their defense up, and while you're preserving your one goal lead by forcing the opponent out towards the edges, they're trying to get the puck to the front in search of a stick or lucky bounce, and probably piling up some numbers. But all it takes is a goof or two by the trailing team, and all of a sudden, the good team with the one-goal lead has a breakaway or an odd-man rush or two, which are usually better quality chances than just throwing pucks in volume at the net from wide angles or long distances. And then the good team has a two goal lead, 99% lights out.
I'll challenge our posters to try something the next time you turn on a game, and you don't know the score (and don't peek). Turn off the sound too. Watch how the two teams play in the 3rd period. I bet most of you will be able to figure out which team is winning, and which team is losing. The losing team is almost always the one playing with the most urgency; the winning team is usually the one who is playing it more disciplined and safe, true to whatever system they use. If you can't tell, it's either a tie game or a blowout.
Just a fun suggestion for fellow hockey fans after you all chow down on the usual turkey and trimmings this weekend.
