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The GQP Thread: Cause the other one is broken.

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Net 52m gen z voters? I like it

That seems highly suspect.

Let's assume -18M Olds and +34M Kids. Let's further assume the Olds were .55 GOP and the Kids are .45 GOP.

That would mean the GOP have added .45 x 34 - .55 x 18 = 5.4M votes since 2016, while the Dems have added .55 x 34 - .45 x 18 = 10.6M votes. That is a net add of 5.2M votes, independent of any party switching.
 
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What the ****?

It's the greatest tweet in history.

7m1pr06cbag51.jpg
 
We will see but I have never seen any polling that shows Gen Z that high for the GOP and I guarantee when 2024 is broken down it won't show it anywhere near there.
 
I agree with Kepler here. The idiots produce more vermin than the educated. The only thing keeping that in check is they live about 20 years less.

unfortunately, the 'r[SUB]idiot[/SUB]' is larger than 'r[SUB]smart'[/SUB] and eventually overwhelms longevity.
 
The conservative mind.

A big part of the reason liberal women are so damn angry all the time is because woke, liberal men are unable to sexually satisfy them. They understand that to be satisfied they need to sleep with conservative men, who they absolutely hate. Conservative men don’t want to sleep with them because they typically resemble hyenas. It’s a conundrum that just leads them to be completely miserable all the time. They latched on to BLM marches hoping to find some pipe to satisfy them there but that hardly worked for them either for the same reason. That’s why you see them by the time they hit fifty and they just look like the picture of hell.

https://twitter.com/JoeyMannarinoUS/status/1683831801846824960
 

That is from 2018...to say it is outdated is an understatement. Hell Here is Pew just 2 years later saying Millennials and Gen Z favored Biden by 20 points. (with Trump gaining with Millennials)

A lot of the "experts" blamed the GOP's crap showing in 2022 on Gen Z organizing against them. They may not be fans of the geriatrics that are in charge but they do care about their rights and even in Red areas they tend to be the loudest voices of protest and good lord are they motivated and organized these days. As I said in the previous post, I would say at best it is .35 of Gen Z votes GOP.

We won't know though for sure until next year so we will wait and see. Between now and then there will be all sort of BS fear mongering or TD dancing about Gen Z based on 5 people some schmuck at the NYTimes saw at a Starbucks while he/she was waiting for a Machiatto and an application for work. By about November 15th 2024 we will have the data we need :^)
 
Having done no research I would say it is closer to .35 and I bet that ends up high.

Yeah, the part I was saying Kepler is right on was about the 52M being suspect. It seemed very high. I replied before I read through the rest of the posts.

I'd also guess Gen Z is somewhere in the .35 range. I don't think .25 is out of the realm of possibilities. The probability distribution is skewed though. 0.25 is probably 10x the likelihood of 0.5.
 
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