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The 2015 Pairwise, Bracketology and History Thread

  • Thread starter Thread starter Priceless
  • Start date Start date
Re: The 2015 Pairwise, Bracketology and History Thread

Moy has correctly picked the field every year - so basically he can read the pairwise, just like everyone else. His actually bracket is usually pretty close, but he's certainly not perfect there.

Wodon's final prediction from CHN is up.
He's keeping Mankato in South Bend.

Nice of Wodon to quote me without quoting me :p

There's a line of thinking that, because of this, Miami could be in South Bend to help attendance there, and Minnesota State is flying no matter what. I don't think that will happen. I think these are the four No. 1 seeds.
 
Re: The 2015 Pairwise, Bracketology and History Thread

Moy has correctly picked the field every year - so basically he can read the pairwise, just like everyone else. His actually bracket is usually pretty close, but he's certainly not perfect there.

Wodon's final prediction from CHN is up.
He's keeping Mankato in South Bend.

I agree with Wodon. I came up with the same pairings except I had Manchester and Providence groups switched.
 
Re: The 2015 Pairwise, Bracketology and History Thread

I agree with Wodon. I came up with the same pairings except I had Manchester and Providence groups switched.

Can't wait to see if attendance in South Bend can drop below even the B1G tournament! (actual attendance, not announced attendance. that's a bunch of crap)
 
Re: The 2015 Pairwise, Bracketology and History Thread

I agree with Wodon. I came up with the same pairings except I had Manchester and Providence groups switched.

I had MIA in SB, and MSU going east, due to "it's still a flight" reasoning. Tech fans are obviously P1SSED right now.
 
Re: The 2015 Pairwise, Bracketology and History Thread

Looking further, I actually see 3 good possibilitis. Well, more actually.

Like Priceless, I think that the committee's public statements in regard to possibly going back to some on-campus playoffs means that they are concerned with the atmosphere of the regionals. Therefore, I am going to work on the idea that Miami plays at South Bend, because there is no other local draw.

Also, being from Minnesota, I am not sure how choose between Manchester and Providence, so I am going to guess here.

Manchester: 1-MSUM v 16-RIT; 8-Omaha v 9-Harvard.
This piece stays the same in all brackets.

Then, A: Fargo: 2-NoDak v 15-PC; 7-MTU v 12-SCSU
South Bend: 4-Miami v 13-Yale; 5-Denver v 10-Minny
Providence: 3-BU v 14-Quinny; 6-UMD v 11-BC

or, B: Fargo: 2-NoDak v 15-PC; 7-MTU v 12-SCSU
South Bend: 4-Miami v 13-Yale; 6-UMD v 10-Minny
Providence: 3-BU v 14-Quinny; 5-Denver v 11-BC

or, C: Fargo: 2-NoDak v 15-PC; 6-UMD v 10-Minny
South Bend: 4-Miami v 13-Yale; 7-MTU v 12-SCSU
Providence: 3-BU v 14-Quinny; 5-Denver v 11-BC

Choice C has the fewest flights, but also the least bracket integrity because 4 and 7 are in the same bracket. A and B have the same number of flights. I think it's possible a few UMD fans might make it to South Bend rather than Denver fans. So, in some ways, I see advantage to B. But, A has the 1/8, 2/7, 3/6, 4/5 thing going for it.

Ultimately, I am less sure what the committee might do this year than ever.
 
Re: The 2015 Pairwise, Bracketology and History Thread

Numbers: being from MN, I likened the Manch/Prov for BU/BC like St Cloud and Mankato to Minnesotans. We can't explain it, it's a culture thing, but St Cloud would be the favorite, as you easterners (from what I gathered) favor Manch.
 
Re: The 2015 Pairwise, Bracketology and History Thread

My guess. Preserves top 8 intact. #1 overall gets #16. Keeps St. Cloud from playing a conference opponent in first round. Attendance is as good as possible and travel to a minimum.

South Bend:
1. Minnesota State vs. 16. Rochester Institute of Technology
8. Omaha vs.10. Minnesota

Fargo:
2 North Dakota vs.14. Quinnipiac
7 Michigan Tech vs. 12.St. Cloud

Manchester:
3 Boston University vs. 13. Yale
6 Minnesota-Duluth vs. 9. Harvard


Providence:
4 Miami vs. 15. Providence
5 Denver vs. 11.Boston College
 
Re: The 2015 Pairwise, Bracketology and History Thread

Looking further, I actually see 3 good possibilitis. Well, more actually.

Like Priceless, I think that the committee's public statements in regard to possibly going back to some on-campus playoffs means that they are concerned with the atmosphere of the regionals. Therefore, I am going to work on the idea that Miami plays at South Bend, because there is no other local draw.

Also, being from Minnesota, I am not sure how choose between Manchester and Providence, so I am going to guess here.

Manchester: 1-MSUM v 16-RIT; 8-Omaha v 9-Harvard.
This piece stays the same in all brackets.

Then, A: Fargo: 2-NoDak v 15-PC; 7-MTU v 12-SCSU
South Bend: 4-Miami v 13-Yale; 5-Denver v 10-Minny
Providence: 3-BU v 14-Quinny; 6-UMD v 11-BC

or, B: Fargo: 2-NoDak v 15-PC; 7-MTU v 12-SCSU
South Bend: 4-Miami v 13-Yale; 6-UMD v 10-Minny
Providence: 3-BU v 14-Quinny; 5-Denver v 11-BC

or, C: Fargo: 2-NoDak v 15-PC; 6-UMD v 10-Minny
South Bend: 4-Miami v 13-Yale; 7-MTU v 12-SCSU
Providence: 3-BU v 14-Quinny; 5-Denver v 11-BC

Choice C has the fewest flights, but also the least bracket integrity because 4 and 7 are in the same bracket. A and B have the same number of flights. I think it's possible a few UMD fans might make it to South Bend rather than Denver fans. So, in some ways, I see advantage to B. But, A has the 1/8, 2/7, 3/6, 4/5 thing going for it.

Ultimately, I am less sure what the committee might do this year than ever.
I really hope they go with C but I doubt it.
 
Numbers: being from MN, I likened the Manch/Prov for BU/BC like St Cloud and Mankato to Minnesotans. We can't explain it, it's a culture thing, but St Cloud would be the favorite, as you easterners (from what I gathered) favor Manch.

I like Providence more than Manchester in terms of cities...Prov is more of a little Boston while Manchester is interesting and not as good to visit but great rink
 
Re: The 2015 Pairwise, Bracketology and History Thread

I like Providence more than Manchester in terms of cities...Prov is more of a little Boston while Manchester is interesting and not as good to visit but great rink

Maybe that "great rink" is what swayed them? Just taking a stab. SCSU's and MSU's rinks are both horrible, although SCSU did have a recent upgrade. The actual city is slightly better with a little more to do there. But that's not saying much.
 
Re: The 2015 Pairwise, Bracketology and History Thread

My guess. Preserves top 8 intact. #1 overall gets #16. Keeps St. Cloud from playing a conference opponent in first round. Attendance is as good as possible and travel to a minimum.

South Bend:
1. Minnesota State vs. 16. Rochester Institute of Technology
8. Omaha vs.10. Minnesota

Fargo:
2 North Dakota vs.14. Quinnipiac
7 Michigan Tech vs. 12.St. Cloud

Manchester:
3 Boston University vs. 13. Yale
6 Minnesota-Duluth vs. 9. Harvard


Providence:
4 Miami vs. 15. Providence
5 Denver vs. 11.Boston College

So I agree with what Numbers said about there being a lot of options/considerations this year. I also think addressing possible attendance concerns is about the only reason the committee exists. Moy wrote earlier this week about the split in east/west participation creating the opportunity to keep most eastern teams in the east and that this would be good for attendance. I strongly agree with that. The movement that happened in the PWR complicated it (things were a little more cut and dry last Monday). That said, I think the committee will have to make some adjustments (impacting integrity) that bring balance to the two eastern regionals. The bracket that BC/HE came up with is addressing this issue. Moving PC back from Fargo and having BC there makes it so you've got about as good of attendance as you're going to get. They'll do something like this. I figure DU could play either Harvard, the Gophs or BC in the first round. If we are placed with Miami (and I think we will be) I'd rather see Miami have Yale than PC.
 
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Re: The 2015 Pairwise, Bracketology and History Thread

If this article is correct, I was dead wrong on the MSU/MIA location. The 4 seeds, I didn't really pay attention to. The MSU-MIA was the big question in my mind.
 
Re: The 2015 Pairwise, Bracketology and History Thread

Manchester: 1-MSUM v 16-RIT; 8-Omaha v 9-Harvard.

Your Manchester bracket will not happen, it's an attendance disaster. RIT is 400 miles away and Harvard has very few hockey fans. Not a chance at least one of BU and BC is not in Manchester. This bracket would be lucky to get 3K in the door.
 
Re: The 2015 Pairwise, Bracketology and History Thread

Moy must've broken his pencil or run out of paper due to all the possibilities. He's taking a long time!
 
Re: The 2015 Pairwise, Bracketology and History Thread

Moy must've broken his pencil or run out of paper due to all the possibilities. He's taking a long time!

Before the MIA game was over, SteveMN and I were trying to break things down. We gave up (location, not seeds). 4 way tie for the 4 seed does that (that game meant THAT much for locations).
 
Your Manchester bracket will not happen, it's an attendance disaster. RIT is 400 miles away and Harvard has very few hockey fans. Not a chance at least one of BU and BC is not in Manchester. This bracket would be lucky to get 3K in the door.

What if you swap it for Providence?
 
Re: The 2015 Pairwise, Bracketology and History Thread

What if you swap it for Providence?

Makes it worse, increases the distance from RIT. (I assume you mean swap the site, not the teams?) Harvard has a baaaaaaaaaaad reputation for fan support around here. Them being the only eastern team in a regional here would be unnecessarily stupid, considering you have BU, BC, QU, Yale, and PC as options to increase attendance numbers.
 
Re: The 2015 Pairwise, Bracketology and History Thread

Northeast Regional is the regional of death.
 
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