Re: The 114th Congress: How Low Can They Go?
Correct. Kirk and Johnson are gone given the Dem leans of their states in Prez elections and strong opponents regardless of the Presidential election. In a Dem win Ayotte can't survive a wave in NH vs a sitting governor. That leaves Toomey who's challenger is TBD, Florida which is an open seat, and Ohio with the Portman-Strickland contest. Goopers also better hope ancient knucks Grassley and McCain answer the bell.
If Hillary wins the White House then the Senate flips. R has a big issue with the Senate elections this year. They're defending everywhere. And from what I heard the Dems are getting their top picks for candidates to run in those swing state Senate elections.
Correct. Kirk and Johnson are gone given the Dem leans of their states in Prez elections and strong opponents regardless of the Presidential election. In a Dem win Ayotte can't survive a wave in NH vs a sitting governor. That leaves Toomey who's challenger is TBD, Florida which is an open seat, and Ohio with the Portman-Strickland contest. Goopers also better hope ancient knucks Grassley and McCain answer the bell.