Re: RPI 2009 - 2010 -- RIP Nathan Marsters
3 points on home weekends, 2 points on road weekends, and you've got a bye. Points vs. Union become bonus points.
So, I looked back through 02-03, which is when the playoff format changed to the current structure.
In theory, this strategy holds. In the past three years, 24, 25, and 26 points gave the team a first-round bye. So, even one point against Union gives us home-ice in the second round.
Code:
Year Pts Record Team
02-03 26 13-9-0 Yale
03-04 27 10-5-7 Dartmouth
04-05 29 13-6-3 Vermont
05-06 27 13-8-1 Harvard
06-07 24 10-8-4 Cornell
07-08 25 10-7-5 Union
08-09 26 11-7-4 St. Lawrence
However, no fourth-place team in the past seven years has had a record less than two games over .500. Meaning that we would have to be two games under .500 in non-conference games.
Embarrassing losses to Sacred Heart and ZooMass last year should be motivation enough to get those early wins. A win against at least one of the Alaska teams, Army, AIC, Niagara, and Bentley leaves us at 6-8. A possible game against MTU for the consolation of the GLI or LSSU in our home tourney plus a game against Union are all opportunities to go .500 in non-conference play.
I'm hopeful, but I don't see us going from 7-25-2 to above .500 in one year, even with our incoming recruits. So, if we go .500 in non-conference play, that means that we go .500 in ECAC play, too. Theoretically, that's good enough to give us a bye, but empirical data varies.
But, then again, that's just my opinion. And, as I've said before, there's a reason they play the games. So, let's drop the puck already!