Six months is an eternity in terms of "better in goal". Consider someone like Maddie Rooney: okay as a rookie, improving as a sophomore and great by the end of that season, won Gold the next year, and was inconsistent last year. Compare Campbell to Rigsby, who played almost all of the minutes her first three years but missed some games due to injury as a senior. If it becomes a battle of both teams' second goalie, you may not be as confident. Your opinion that UW is better in goal in September won't necessarily mean it will be true come March.
On paper, UW gains at forward. The Badgers graduated more, but they also added a lot more. I think that the Gophers gain on the blue line. UW won't have any fifth-year seniors this time, and barring injury, UM figures to be stronger at the position than it was last year.
A lot of the separation between the teams was that Wisconsin played better in the postseason; the two teams had been equal to that point. And I thought that a lot of the gain was that Pankowski played better in the tourneys than she had to that point in the H2H.