Re: POTUS 45.59: It Was a Great Phone Call
Umm...
Putting Biden aside for a minute, on what planet does Bernie Sanders win by a larger margin than Elizabeth Warren? She's a superior candidate in every way plus she's 8 years younger and doesn't have heart issues or the baggage that Sanders has?
Note too that these polls are actually "backwards" in that they contact potential or likely voters and ask them who they are voting for. But the electorate isn't potential or likely voters; it's the people who actually show up on Election Day.
Polls of people who voted before tell us nothing about people who may vote for the first time (or the first time in a while) next time. So, the Biden numbers are the most accurate since that election will draw out a voter pool most like prior election's. Warren will expand the pool somewhat and Sanders would expand it most of all. This expansion is not necessarily beneficial for the Dem -- for example a candidate with very high negatives could motivate more new negative than positive votes. I tend to doubt it in practice, though. Elections are run on negative campaigning so the type of person who is magnetized by negatives is already going to the polls. Some pro-Hillary voters may have stayed home but every single anti-Hillary voter went to the polls.
My take is that Dump would lose to Biden by 9, Warren by 11, and Sanders by 13. This does not of course take into consideration Russian meddling, voter suppression, and outright electoral fraud like that in NC or other GOP strongholds.
Umm...
Putting Biden aside for a minute, on what planet does Bernie Sanders win by a larger margin than Elizabeth Warren? She's a superior candidate in every way plus she's 8 years younger and doesn't have heart issues or the baggage that Sanders has?