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Pairwise Bracketology Part Deux: Playing with RHamilton's Tool

U

Umileated

White Jersey, Bliue Collar
Well, we maxed that first thread out.


Priceless, you cited this in the previous thread:

As it stands now
Mankato 96%
Notre Dame 95%
Niagara 93%
Yale 83%
St Cloud 82%

Two days ago St Cloud was 98%



I forget if you're running scenario odds, or KRACH weighted?
 
Re: Pairwise Bracketology Part Deux: Playing with RHamilton's Tool

As each result comes in today it would be nice if one of the wizards on here would post if any new locks are made for the tournament or if anyone gets locked out. Before the Quinnipiac win I believe there were 8 locks. How about now?
 
Re: Pairwise Bracketology Part Deux: Playing with RHamilton's Tool

I don't understand why Niagara makes it? They have only played 5 TUC teams. Does not that disqualify them?
 
Umileated said:
Well, we maxed that first thread out.


Priceless, you cited this in the previous thread:

As it stands now
Mankato 96%
Notre Dame 95%
Niagara 93%
Yale 83%
St Cloud 82%

Two days ago St Cloud was 98%



I forget if you're running scenario odds, or KRACH weighted?
Click to expand...

KRACH weighted. I am also on a cell phone. Can someone repost the links from the previous thread?

there are 8 teams in (plus three autobid teams). It appears Niagara will become the 9th.

ETA: Mankato is the 10th.
 
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Re: Pairwise Bracketology Part Deux: Playing with RHamilton's Tool

Dutchman said:
I don't understand why Niagara makes it? They have only played 5 TUC teams. Does not that disqualify them?
Click to expand...

Niagara is not disqualified by the number of TUC games. What happens is that because they've played fewer than 10 TUC games, that metric does not get considered in their comparisons with other teams.
 
Re: Pairwise Bracketology Part Deux: Playing with RHamilton's Tool

We might only have 1 at-large to hand out. We already have 10 teams in and each conference could be won by an autobid team. The door is closing fast.

ETA: Notre Dame already clinched as well. If BU and Michigan win the door is closed.
 
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Priceless said:
We might only have 1 at-large to hand out. We already have 10 teams in and each conference could be won by an autobid team. The door is closing fast.

ETA: Notre Dame already clinched as well. If BU and Michigan win the door is closed.
Click to expand...

If I haven't mishandled RHamilton's tool sitting on a freezing bench in AC, Yale needs a Lowell and ND win. Correct?
 
Re: Pairwise Bracketology Part Deux: Playing with RHamilton's Tool

With only 5 games remaining before the selection, how many remaining possibilities are there?
 
Re: Pairwise Bracketology Part Deux: Playing with RHamilton's Tool

So am I reading it correct, that a Union, BU and Mich win and SCSU doesn't make it. (never played with the pairwise predictor before.
 
Koho said:
So am I reading it correct, that a Union, BU and Mich win and SCSU doesn't make it. (never played with the pairwise predictor before.
Click to expand...
Correct.

As far as I can tell, if Lowell OR Notre Dame win, SCSU is in. If they both lose, SCSU is out. Can anybody prove otherwise?
 
Just 2 days ago Yale and St Cloud were mortal locks, eyeing #1 seeds. Now they are hoping Lowell and Notre Dame can bail them out.
 
Re: Pairwise Bracketology Part Deux: Playing with RHamilton's Tool

If I'm reading Notre Dame's status correctly from the RH tool:
* There are 32 remaining possibilities, and ND is in the Tournament in all of them.
* ND is a 1-seed with a win: if UML beats BU, then the #4; the other way around the #3.
* With a loss, ND is the #8, no matter the other results.

(edit: this matches the info from Jim Dahl's mid-Saturday update posted above)
 
Re: Pairwise Bracketology Part Deux: Playing with RHamilton's Tool

goblue78 said:
If I haven't mishandled RHamilton's tool sitting on a freezing bench in AC, Yale needs a Lowell and ND win. Correct?
Click to expand...
Correct. The other three games can go in any direction. Those are the only two that matter to Yale and they have to be UML and Notre Dame wins.
 
Re: Pairwise Bracketology Part Deux: Playing with RHamilton's Tool

burgie12 said:
Correct. That's what Jim posted on his blog, too.
Click to expand...

As I also noted, Yale just seems to be #2 in the same line as St Cloud St. It basically all seems decided.

There are 11 in. There are 3 games that will send the champ and take a slot. BU and Michigan could each take one of the final slots with a win, but if either or both miss they'll go to St Cloud St and Yale, in that order.

Caveat - that's my read of the situation, not computer generated, so let me know if I'm missing anything.
 
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