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NCHA: Still the Unquestioned Best Conference?

nysportsfan29

Repping The 'Sweeg in JC
This was something I had rolling around in my brain and I didn't really know where to post it so I figured I'd start a new thread.

There are a couple of reasons I have even begun to think it's even possible to have a discussion where there are two opposing viewpoints on the matter. One is Stout's abysmal showing in the Primelink which is supposed to be the cream of the crop when it comes to holiday tournaments featuring 3 of the best eastern programs there are. Outside of those two NC games, Stout beat two teams whose combined record is 5-17-2 (St. Thomas/Mary's) to give them a .500 record in NC games.

1st place right now in the NCHA belongs to perennial power St. Norbert. You could, IMO, argue that thaeir out of conference record isn't that impressive either. They have a loss to a tough eastern opponent (Sal. State) and a tie to, arguably, the best team in the MIAC (Hamline). Their NC record is 3-1-1 which isn't bad, however their wins have come against Lake Forest, Bethel and Lawrence (a 2-1 nail biter over the latter) whose combined record is 13-17.

I figured since St. Norbert is currently in first place in the NCHA and since Stout won it last year and made it all the way to Placid, it's possible those points could give way to a possible debate.

Without going into the Poll Predictions too much (since I'm sure there will be a thread up later in the day) I know that there are currently 4 teams in the poll, however St. Norbert is the only one in the top 5. It's possible they could drop out with Adrian, Norwich, and Elmira all going 2-0 on the weekend in rather convincing fashion for the most part. And who knows if Superior will stick around in the top 10 after a split on the weekend?

Lastly, if I'm not mistaken, the NCHA plays most of their out of conference games against the MIAC; a conference whose collective record is 39-45-13 (91 out of a possible 194 points if my math is correct). So despite the overall out of conference record being well above .500, is that only because they've played inferior competition? It's also important to note that the NCHA is 1-3-1 against the two best teams in the MIAC- Hamline and Gustavus Adolphus

I'll add a disclaimer and say that I do believe that the NCHA is still the best conference in D-III (without having ever seen one of the teams play). My only question is do we continue to take it as the "God's Honest Truth"? It certainly helps that the ECAC-W appears to be down this year, but is that the case for the NCHA as well? Is it more than just possible, for the sake of being possible, that the conference will decline down the road?

What do you all think?
 
Re: NCHA: Still the Unquestioned Best Conference?

I'm not sure anyone ever thought it was the "God's Honest Truth".

I've contended for the past five years that it's without a question the deepest conference in the nation, but that is a separate entity from whether or not is has multiple teams that could be considered elite, and perhaps therefore the "best" - whatever exactly that might even mean. The NCHA's boon is those teams in the 4-7 spots so while it is deep, it's relative conference strength is impossible to determine without a legitimate sample size of games between teams from different regions.

No, the NCHA is not going to decline. It's getting better.

Anything beyond that is ****ing into the wind and a waste of time.
 
Re: NCHA: Still the Unquestioned Best Conference?

As of right now, I think it is unquestioned, or at least it is the most competitive, and I realize best and most competitive are not the same thing.

The poll has the NCHA as the most competitive conference after someone voted for the ECAC-East.
 
Re: NCHA: Still the Unquestioned Best Conference?

I think other conferences have one or maybe two contenders and the rest of the teams are weak but in the NCHA the quality is deeper with only a team or two being weak. The depth is in this league.
 
Re: NCHA: Still the Unquestioned Best Conference?

so nobody thinks that SUNYAC is a strong conferece ???

Nobody cares.

Or, let me put it another way, this debate is endless, proves nothing, and never can come to a conclusion.

Ergo, my bench clearing brawl comment.
 
Re: NCHA: Still the Unquestioned Best Conference?

Nobody cares.

Or, let me put it another way, this debate is endless, proves nothing, and never can come to a conclusion.

Ergo, my bench clearing brawl comment.

I completely agree i was just adding fuel to the fire or instgating the fight either way .
 
Re: NCHA: Still the Unquestioned Best Conference?

I think other conferences have one or maybe two contenders and the rest of the teams are weak but in the NCHA the quality is deeper with only a team or two being weak. The depth is in this league.
forrrrrrrrrrrnax may object to this, but the NCHA helped itself top to bottom by losing the weakest in the herd when Lake Forrrrrrest went to the MCHA. You only have to go back about 4 or 5 years to see when the Forrrrrrresters were competitive, but changes at the school gave a good coach very little chance of success against the powers in the NCHA. There really aren't any easy points on the schedule anymore like there were the last several years with Lake Forrrrrrest.
 
Re: NCHA: Still the Unquestioned Best Conference?

Lastly, if I'm not mistaken, the NCHA plays most of their out of conference games against the MIAC; a conference whose collective record is 39-45-13 (91 out of a possible 194 points if my math is correct). So despite the overall out of conference record being well above .500, is that only because they've played inferior competition? It's also important to note that the NCHA is 1-3-1 against the two best teams in the MIAC- Hamline and Gustavus Adolphus
If the MIAC's record as a whole is the basis of your questioning the NCHA, you have a gaping flaw in the center of your argument.

http://www.uscho.com/stats/inter-confd3.php

The MIAC is 1-1-0 against the SUNYAC, 5-2-0 against the MCHA and 4-13-1 against the NCHA.

Considering the primary out of conference games for both the MIAC and the NCHA is each other (and it has been this wayfor at least a few years now), obviously when one conference dominates play, the other's overall record will suffer. After all, all your conference games add up to a .500 record no matter how good you are; the only flex in your record comes from non conference games.

So the only reason the MIAC appears to be a weaker conference is *because* the NCHA does well against them. You can't use the MIAC's overall lower record as an argument against the NCHA, the only way the MIAC's win % would be higher is if they were beating the NCHA more often.

So basically the way you have this argument set up, if the NCHA loses, they're not as strong since they're not winning as many games. And if they win, they're not as strong because most of their non conference games are against a conference with a below .500 record. Who else are they supposed to play?
 
Re: NCHA: Still the Unquestioned Best Conference?

Are they a Big Dog or a Big Frog in a little pond?
 
Re: NCHA: Still the Unquestioned Best Conference?

............, if the NCHA loses, they're not as strong since they're not winning as many games. And if they win, they're not as strong because most of their non conference games are against a conference with a below .500 record. Who else are they supposed to play?

.....I got an idea..they can play Adr.....oh nevermind.....:(
 
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