Re: NCAA Change the Tourney
I think it's helpful to show what exactly I am talking about when I recommend a format that is the same as the men's Division I lacrosse tournament. The lacrosse tournament's general structure is exactly the same as hockey--16 teams over 3 weeks with 4 teams at the final site--so a transition to their format would be essentially painless, with no need to reschedule the regular season or the already-booked frozen fours.
The priorities in the first round--(1) Seeds 1-8 host seeds 9-16, (2) avoid intraconference matchups, (3) minimize flights, (4) bracket integrity. If this is adapted for hockey, it could be single-elimination like the other 3 rounds, or it could be best-of-3. Let's say it's single-elimination.
FIRST ROUND
Colorado College at #1 Yale
Notre Dame at #2 North Dakota
Rensselaer at #3 Boston College
Nebraska-Omaha at #4 Miami
Minnesota-Duluth at #5 Michigan
Western Michigan at #6 Merrimack
Air Force at #7 Denver
New Hampshire at #8 Union
The quarterfinals in men's lacrosse are held at sites determined before the start of the season, one doubleheader in each region. Let's say that this year, they are in Milwaukee and Manchester. The quarterfinals are paired by straight seeding, assuming the highest seeds advance. The matchups must be 1-8, 2-7, 3-6, 4-5.
QUARTERFINALS
East Quarterfinals at Manchester, NH
#3 Boston College/Rensselaer winner v #6 Merrimack/Western Michigan winner
#1 Yale/Colorado College winner v #8 Union/New Hampshire winner
West Quarterfinals at Milwaukee, WI
#2 North Dakota/Notre Dame winner v #7 Denver/Air Force winner
#4 Miami/Nebraska-Omaha winner v #5 Michigan/Minnesota-Duluth winner
The frozen four will be paired as usual, bracketing the teams so that #1 plays #4 if they advance, and #2 plays #3.
So...what would attendance be like? Even if the first round is single-elimination, I would conservatively expect 44,000 fans, which is the total attendance for the fourth-largest crowd in each arena this season. The second round would draw, conservatively, 13,000 fans, for a total of 57,000 fans in 10 sessions for the first two rounds. This year's regionals drew about 46,000 fans in 8 sessions. I think the lacrosse system is a net gain.
What about travel? Under this year's system, 11 teams had to fly to their regional sites. Under the men's lacrosse system, 5 teams would have to fly in the first round and, assuming the higher seeds win, 3 teams would be flying to their second-round game, for a total of 8 flights for the first 2 rounds.
The men's lacrosse system will draw more fans, will reduce travel and hotel costs, and make more money than the current system is making, all without having to cut the tournament down to 12.
Great thread. Lots of fine thinking on all sides of the question. After some reflection, I've come to the conclusion that Alton's proposal is the best.
I'll try not repeat points that have already been made, but would like to offer some comments in support of Alton:
1. Home Ice Home ice during NCAA play isn't a problem per se. But UNEARNED Home Ice is a major problem. Under both the current system and the six team regional format, a team can barely qualify for the tournament, yet enjoy home ice advantage. Alton's system eliminates this problem by having the top 8 teams earn their home ice. For me, that's a major selling point.
2. March Madness The elephant in the room is the NCAA Hoops tourney. People have made some mention of this, but it needs to be said directly. Casual fans won't be attending our regionals anytime in the foreseeable future. They'll be home watching hoops. In addition, March is a time when a plethora of high school championships are decided. Take that into account and you realize you're competing with a herd of elephants.
We've got to put these games where the hard-core fans want them. The casual fan isn't coming.
3. Ticket Sales The first round games on campus sites will sell very well. I'm really going to show my age with the next reference, but here goes. I attended the 1979 Minnesota/BG game at Williams Arena that opened that year's NCAA tournament. (Yes, it was Williams Arena for many years before it became "Old Mariucci.") The place was packed; the atmosphere was great. It was everything an early round NCAA game should be. The fact it was one game, winner-take-all format helped, IMHO. Everyone who was interested had to make it to that one special game.
Bottom Line: If a great on-campus crowd for the first round was possible "back in the day," it's certainly possible now.
4. Building Conflicts Single games for the first round will also help with building conflicts. Potential teams need only hold open Friday, Saturday OR Sunday. The other two days can be booked with other events.
5. Fan Travel I'm not bothered by the fact that relatively few fans of the #9 through #16 teams would travel to the first round games. The same people aren't traveling under the current format.
6. The Second Round A double-header at each of two neutral sites is a nice compromise. Provided the neutral sites are in hockey hotbeds, and each double-header has its own day, decent crowds are at least a possibility. This is especially true in the East, where large numbers could see "the whole show" without needing overnight lodging. TV coverage would undoubtedly be available for both venues. Viewers at home would be served their hockey in manageable portions: Two games on Saturday, two games on Sunday.
7. Cash Considerations Reading multiple Alton posts together, I'm comfortable believing that his format is cost and revenue neutral -- at the very least. In any event, the Frozen Four is the cash cow. As long as the regionals more or less break even, we should be fine.
8. Future Prospects Granted, there's less upside potential if smaller facilities are used in the early rounds. But if we ever get to the point where unacceptable numbers are being turned away from the first two rounds, we can change things up again. My guess is that Alton's format would prove to be satisfactory for many years to come.