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Grand unified 2020 election thread
- Thread starter Kepler
- Start date
- Status
Kepler
Si certus es dubita
Pelosi has said this is her farewell tour. She belongs as HML one more time. I hope she takes a strong heir apparent under her wing and makes her a co-pilot.
ericredaxe
Veteran
Anyone seen commentary on what is left out there to count from Nevada and Arizona? And does what is left give any sort of assumed edge to one candidate over the other? They don't seem to have moved in a while.
psych
Well-known member
I’m no good at math either, but at that rate, either they’re somehow counting all of the Biden votes now and saving the Trump ones for later, or Biden is going to win Pa.
French Rage
NICKERSON HAS [CENSORED]
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French Rage
NICKERSON HAS [CENSORED]
Sorry, is this later turn good or bad?
Kepler
Si certus es dubita
If that trending holds Biden wins PA by about 260k.
ericredaxe
Veteran
Thanks... Maricopa county seems to lean Dem? So a hopeful sign if you are a Biden supporter? (Knowing there are no guarantees of course)
French Rage
NICKERSON HAS [CENSORED]
I guess; he gives good arguments in both directions though; it does make me wonder what those who have called it know.
The Sicatoka
Kicizapi Cetan
I was going to ask about Wisconsin and the claims of "more votes than voters" but I found that WI has same day voter registration. I'd says it's nearly guaranteed that updated registered voter number is not being used in the comparisons so the claim is almost surely baseless.
D
Deutsche Gopher Fan
Guest
And Perez. I didn’t think he was the right choice and I don’t think he is now either
rufus
rock and roller
AZ is mostly Maricopa county(Phoenix), I believe, so favors Biden. NV I believe is mail-in, so likewise.
I hope this link works! It's amazing:
https://www.facebook.com/694361624/videos/10157358448531625/
How do people do these so quickly???
https://www.facebook.com/694361624/videos/10157358448531625/
How do people do these so quickly???
French Rage
NICKERSON HAS [CENSORED]
"feeling PA isn't gonna happen" meaning they won't win or it won't switch? Cuz if they don't win PA then AZ doesn't matter.
French Rage
NICKERSON HAS [CENSORED]
WeAreNDHockey
\../ \../
Where did Biden or a Democratic Senate candidate outperform the 538 forecast? Now same question about trump and republican Senate candidates?
The 538 snake had PA, FL, GA and NC in the Biden camp, and Biden is behind in or lost all 4. Biden's vote totals in WI, MI and NV all will fall far short of both the polls and the predicted totals on the 538 site. PA will too, it is only left to see how much, and I also still believe PA is lost to Biden. The pollsters he aggregates all supposedly shored up their methodology and 538 also adjusted how they graded polls and how they did the other things to wind up with what were their predictions.
All the errors that mattered, much like 2016, were in trump's (or another republican's) favor. Frankly, 538 did worse this time than they did in 2016.
Of course the real villains in this horror movie aren't the pollsters. The real villains are the American voters. I know Kep thinks we're growing more human and less ape all the time. I think that is utter and complete bull5h!t. We're suffering the worst crisis we've seen in multiple generations. We have literally just lived through 4 years of the most corrupt president that has ever served and almost without a doubt the most inept. He is also the worst human person we've ever had for a president. If we were a stagnant species as far as our evolution from ape to human, trump would have lost in a no brainer and Biden's coattails would have carried a Democratic Senate with him. We are moving backwards. It isn't even a slow move back, and it is accelerating. And all of that is how I feel IF Biden somehow hangs on to his 270 Electoral College votes.
The 538 snake had PA, FL, GA and NC in the Biden camp, and Biden is behind in or lost all 4. Biden's vote totals in WI, MI and NV all will fall far short of both the polls and the predicted totals on the 538 site. PA will too, it is only left to see how much, and I also still believe PA is lost to Biden. The pollsters he aggregates all supposedly shored up their methodology and 538 also adjusted how they graded polls and how they did the other things to wind up with what were their predictions.
All the errors that mattered, much like 2016, were in trump's (or another republican's) favor. Frankly, 538 did worse this time than they did in 2016.
Of course the real villains in this horror movie aren't the pollsters. The real villains are the American voters. I know Kep thinks we're growing more human and less ape all the time. I think that is utter and complete bull5h!t. We're suffering the worst crisis we've seen in multiple generations. We have literally just lived through 4 years of the most corrupt president that has ever served and almost without a doubt the most inept. He is also the worst human person we've ever had for a president. If we were a stagnant species as far as our evolution from ape to human, trump would have lost in a no brainer and Biden's coattails would have carried a Democratic Senate with him. We are moving backwards. It isn't even a slow move back, and it is accelerating. And all of that is how I feel IF Biden somehow hangs on to his 270 Electoral College votes.
Handyman
Hug someone you care about...
He is so lame and boring would anyone notice if we just locked him out of the building and moved on?
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