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Final Computer Rankings of the First Semester

Re: Final Computer Rankings of the First Semester

NorthernLite said:
...irony, no doubt....however ,
there will be no Pool C controversy...it will take awhile before two MCHA teams make the tournament
Click to expand...

Don't be so quick...if Adrian goes undefeated until the MCHA championship game and slips up, there may still be room for them to squeeze in with a Pool C bid...the ECAC-W certainly isn't playing up to their history and the West in general has been pretty inconcsistent so far this year (see Wis-_______). Right now, I think SUNYAC (Platty/Oswego) would have a strong case for a Pool C bid, but who else? Maybe St Norbert/St Scholastica? Anyone else?
 
Re: Final Computer Rankings of the First Semester

Webb, while I'm a fan of the MIAC, I wasn't aware the MCHA AQ was beig given as a consolation prize to the miac runner up. ;)
 
Re: Final Computer Rankings of the First Semester

Ozz said:
Don't be so quick...if Adrian goes undefeated until the MCHA championship game and slips up, there may still be room for them to squeeze in with a Pool C bid...
Click to expand...


For selection purposes Adrian was undefeated last year and didn't even crack the West Region NCAA Rankings. It got hammered for the low OWP and OOWP which is something the committee evidently put a ton of weight into. Nothing will change this year aside from Adrian's four games against MIAC teams. The Bulldogs have already beaten two of them (Concordia and St. John's) and if (and thats a gigantic "if") they convincingly beat Hamline twice it will help, and the question then becomes "how much does it help?"

Speculating, I still don't see them getting ranked high enough in the West to even be in pool C discussion should they lose in the MCHA tournament. They weren't even close last year and I don't think two wins over Hamline, as good as they may be, will be enough to make up that many spots in the committee's eyes.

Fwiw, the final West rankings had a ten loss team ahead of Adrian, so based on last year a few more losses by the top NCHA teams due to the 18 game league schedule shouldn't make a relative difference as far as where Adrian ends up.

So long as the committee remains consistent, that is.
 
Re: Final Computer Rankings of the First Semester

NUProf said:
Don't count on that :rolleyes: :rolleyes:

Sometimes the committee has used one way of weighting the criteria, sometimes another[/QUOTE
What if Adrian goes without a loss till the MCHA finals and looses to Lawrance
in the finals by 1 goal. How does the NCAA justify them not being in the dance.
By theire system they will not be there.
Click to expand...
 
Re: Final Computer Rankings of the First Semester

ADRdogs said:
What if Adrian goes without a loss till the MCHA finals and looses to Lawrance
in the finals by 1 goal.
Click to expand...

Their season would be over....winning is the only way to get in.


How does the NCAA justify them not being in the dance.
By theire system they will not be there
Click to expand...

Because more than 80% of Adrian's wins would come against MCHA teams that don't compete well outside the conference.

see Matthew's post #25 above which pretty much tells the story.
Click to expand...
 
Re: Final Computer Rankings of the First Semester

NorthernLite said:
Because more than 80% of Adrian's wins would come against MCHA teams that don't compete well outside the conference.

see Matthew's post #25 above which pretty much tells the story.
Click to expand...

What I see when I look inside the numbers of my computer rankings is symptomatic of the problem they face concerning the Pool C bid (and the possibility of being seeded high enough to get a home game in the NCAAs). Adrian OWP is dead last in the nation according to the way that I calculate it. I use (opponents total wins)/(opponents total games), which is slightly different from the NCAA calculations, but I would bet the results are similar. Their OOWP is middle of the pack, but when you combine them, it is not a pretty picture.
 
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