Cornell has 1 win against a team ranked in the Top 17 PWR (Harvard @Lynah).
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ECAC Projected Standings 2017-18
- Thread starter lugnut92
- Start date
Cornell has 1 win against a team ranked in the Top 17 PWR (Harvard @Lynah).
hockeyplayer1015
Capt
Cornell has 1 win against a team ranked in the Top 17 PWR (Harvard @Lynah).
That's more a factor of their schedule though, as opposed to numerous missed opportunities.
SLU has just 1 point thus far (Thanks, RPI!), and it's totally conceivable they go 0-fer until March.
FlagDUDE08
Banned
Re: ECAC Projected Standings 2017-18
We thought the same thing about Colgate in the 10-11 season, and then they came out of nowhere. With how y'all did over the Christmas break, I wouldn't be surprised if you get a couple wins and/or a good playoff run.
That's more a factor of their schedule though, as opposed to numerous missed opportunities.
SLU has just 1 point thus far (Thanks, RPI!), and it's totally conceivable they go 0-fer until March.
We thought the same thing about Colgate in the 10-11 season, and then they came out of nowhere. With how y'all did over the Christmas break, I wouldn't be surprised if you get a couple wins and/or a good playoff run.
Re: ECAC Projected Standings 2017-18
<img src="https://i.imgur.com/jPoyRZC.png">
Basically, the rest of the teams they play are all bad (except Cornell and kind of Harvard), so they're expected to go about .250 in the match-up between awful and bad.
I find it funny that the simulation finds SLU will magically receive 5 points during the remainder of the season.
<img src="https://i.imgur.com/jPoyRZC.png">
Basically, the rest of the teams they play are all bad (except Cornell and kind of Harvard), so they're expected to go about .250 in the match-up between awful and bad.
Re: ECAC Projected Standings 2017-18
And you thought SLU couldn't "magically" get 5 points. Well I guess they only got 4 this weekend, but now the model thinks they'll probably pull another 5 before season's end. All that said, who really cares if SLU ends in last or second to last, and whether they do it with 5 points or 9 or whatever. What we do care about is the breaklines. The bye line is significantly tightened after Harvard went oh-fer, but Colgate is still almost a whole win behind. The home ice line remains the much tighter race, at a near tie between Princeton and Yale. While the Tiger-Bulldog race is incredibly close, they're the only teams really battling at this line. Quinnipiac isn't very likely to fall to 9th and Brown almost definitely won't climb up to 8th.
Simulated Final Standings (Monte Carlo simulation of 10<sup>21.47</sup> possibilites; n=1,000,000):
Rank and Points breakdown:
Playoff Matchups:
And you thought SLU couldn't "magically" get 5 points. Well I guess they only got 4 this weekend, but now the model thinks they'll probably pull another 5 before season's end. All that said, who really cares if SLU ends in last or second to last, and whether they do it with 5 points or 9 or whatever. What we do care about is the breaklines. The bye line is significantly tightened after Harvard went oh-fer, but Colgate is still almost a whole win behind. The home ice line remains the much tighter race, at a near tie between Princeton and Yale. While the Tiger-Bulldog race is incredibly close, they're the only teams really battling at this line. Quinnipiac isn't very likely to fall to 9th and Brown almost definitely won't climb up to 8th.
Simulated Final Standings (Monte Carlo simulation of 10<sup>21.47</sup> possibilites; n=1,000,000):
- Cornell
- Clarkson
- Union
- Harvard
————— - Colgate
- Dartmouth
- Quinnipiac
- Princeton
————— - Yale
- Brown
- RPI
- SLU
Rank and Points breakdown:
Code:
| KRACH | 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 |Avg Rk |AvgPts
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Cr | 688.2 | [B]74.5[/B] 25.3 0.1 0.0 x x x x x x x x | 1.26 | 38.32
Ck | 424.3 | 25.4 [B]74.1[/B] 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 x x x x x x | 1.75 | 35.88
Un | 106.1 | 0.0 0.4 [B]56.7[/B] 25.3 12.7 4.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 x x x | 3.66 | 27.28
Ha | 111.9 | x 0.1 26.8 [B]39.4[/B] 22.6 9.4 1.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 x x | 4.20 | 25.67
Cg | 88.0 | x 0.0 13.2 23.7 [B]33.5[/B] 20.4 6.5 2.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 | 4.92 | 23.91
Da | 82.2 | x 0.0 2.6 10.5 24.0 [B]38.9[/B] 16.0 5.9 1.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 | 5.82 | 22.27
Qu | 74.7 | x 0.0 0.1 0.6 3.4 11.6 [B]33.0[/B] 25.5 16.4 7.3 1.7 0.4 | 7.69 | 18.88
Pr | 74.5 | x x 0.0 0.2 1.8 8.6 21.1 [B]27.1[/B] 22.9 14.5 3.0 0.7 | 8.19 | 17.87
Ya | 66.4 | x x 0.0 0.3 2.0 6.3 17.7 28.7 [B]32.1[/B] 12.0 0.8 0.0 | 8.21 | 17.76
Br | 45.3 | x x x 0.0 0.1 0.6 3.3 9.8 23.0 [B]52.7[/B] 9.4 1.1 | 9.56 | 14.92
RP | 28.2 | x x x x 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.8 8.3 [B]63.0[/B] 26.4 | 11.13 | 11.31
SL | 36.8 | x x x x 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.4 4.8 22.1 [B]71.3[/B] | 11.62 | 9.92
| KRACH | 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 |AvgPts
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Cr | 688.2 | x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.7 4.2 8.5 15.0 19.9 [B]23.2[/B] 15.7 11.0 | 38.32
Ck | 424.3 | x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.7 3.8 6.8 11.9 15.1 [B]19.5[/B] 16.3 14.7 5.9 3.4 x | 35.88
Un | 106.1 | x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x 0.2 0.5 1.9 3.4 7.6 9.8 15.1 14.6 [B]16.2[/B] 11.8 9.7 5.0 2.9 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 x x x x x | 27.28
Ha | 111.9 | x x x x x x x x x x x x x x 0.2 0.5 2.3 3.8 9.8 11.6 [B]19.2[/B] 15.6 18.0 9.2 7.3 1.7 0.9 x x x x x x x x x x | 25.67
Cg | 88.0 | x x x x x x x x x x 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.5 4.3 8.6 10.9 15.7 14.8 [B]16.0[/B] 10.8 8.6 3.8 2.1 0.5 0.2 x x x x x x x x x x | 23.91
Da | 82.2 | x x x x x x x x x x 0.1 0.3 1.6 2.8 7.3 9.5 16.0 15.1 [B]17.7[/B] 11.9 10.1 4.3 2.6 0.5 0.2 x x x x x x x x x x x x | 22.27
Qu | 74.7 | x x x x x 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 2.9 4.8 8.8 11.0 [B]15.1[/B] 14.4 14.7 10.6 8.2 4.2 2.4 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 x x x x x x x x x x x x x | 18.88
Pr | 74.5 | x x x x 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 2.9 4.8 8.9 11.1 [B]15.1[/B] 14.4 14.7 10.5 8.1 4.2 2.4 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 x x x x x x x x x x x x x x | 17.87
Ya | 66.4 | x x x x x x x x 2.1 3.3 10.6 11.7 [B]19.6[/B] 15.5 16.9 9.2 7.0 2.5 1.3 0.2 0.1 x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x | 17.76
Br | 45.3 | x x x x x x 4.6 6.3 16.4 15.3 [B]20.6[/B] 13.8 12.2 5.8 3.5 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x | 14.92
RP | 28.2 | x x x 7.6 10.4 [B]19.8[/B] 18.0 18.3 11.8 8.0 3.7 1.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x | 11.31
SL | 36.8 | 2.2 3.9 10.0 12.1 [B]17.2[/B] 15.3 14.9 10.1 7.3 3.8 2.0 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x | 9.92
[b]Bold[/b] is each team's most likely outcome.
0.0 means the outcome occurred, but fewer than 500 times.
x means the outcome never occurred.Playoff Matchups:
Code:
| Cr Ck Un Ha Cg Da Qu Pr Ya Br RP SL | BYE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Cr | x x x x x x x x x x x | YES
Ck | x x x x x x x x x 0.0 0.0 | 100.0
Un | x x 0.0 x 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.9 6.2 10.0 | 82.4
Ha | x x x 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.2 1.8 12.5 18.0 | 66.3
Cg | x x x 0.0 0.0 1.4 2.6 1.3 6.4 22.4 28.3 | 36.9
Da | x x 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.2 4.7 4.2 14.1 31.5 27.1 | 13.1
Qu | x x 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 13.2 15.8 25.8 11.4 6.8 | 0.6
Pr | x x 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 7.5 18.9 18.8 8.2 4.3 | 0.3
Ya | x x 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 9.8 14.7 18.2 6.5 4.4 | 0.3
Br | x x x 0.0 0.1 0.3 3.2 4.7 4.1 0.8 0.5 | 0.0
RP | x x x x 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 | NO
SL | x x x x 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 | NO
Hosts on the left, visitors across the top.Re: ECAC Projected Standings 2017-18
Our borders which had previously been so interesting are now separated by over 2.5 points. Cornell is, despite their recent embarrassment, cruising to the Cleary with a sizeable lead over Clarkson. Unfortunately we're still dealing with uneven games played (stupid Beanpot), but that will be taken care of next weekend.
Simulated Final Standings (Monte Carlo simulation of 10<sup>16.70</sup> possibilites; n=1,000,000):
Rank and Points breakdown:
Playoff Matchups:
Our borders which had previously been so interesting are now separated by over 2.5 points. Cornell is, despite their recent embarrassment, cruising to the Cleary with a sizeable lead over Clarkson. Unfortunately we're still dealing with uneven games played (stupid Beanpot), but that will be taken care of next weekend.
Simulated Final Standings (Monte Carlo simulation of 10<sup>16.70</sup> possibilites; n=1,000,000):
- Cornell
- Clarkson
- Union
- Harvard
————— - Colgate
- Princeton
- Dartmouth
- Quinnipiac
————— - Yale
- Brown
- RPI
- SLU
Rank and Points breakdown:
Code:
| KRACH | 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 |Avg Rk |AvgPts
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Cr | 504.7 | [B]92.3[/B] 7.6 0.2 0.0 x x x x x x x x | 1.08 | 36.68
Ck | 287.9 | 7.6 [B]81.0[/B] 9.2 1.9 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 x x x x | 2.06 | 31.93
Un | 110.6 | 0.1 5.8 [B]51.0[/B] 32.3 8.0 2.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 x x x | 3.51 | 27.78
Ha | 125.5 | 0.0 5.4 34.6 [B]43.9[/B] 13.2 2.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 x x x | 3.74 | 26.84
Cg | 88.0 | x 0.3 4.4 16.0 [B]40.4[/B] 20.5 11.5 5.3 1.6 0.1 0.0 x | 5.41 | 23.58
Pr | 102.6 | x 0.0 0.3 3.1 17.6 [B]33.1[/B] 24.5 15.4 5.1 0.9 0.0 x | 6.49 | 21.92
Da | 80.4 | x 0.0 0.2 2.0 12.9 23.1 [B]30.4[/B] 22.1 8.0 1.1 0.1 x | 6.86 | 21.37
Qu | 84.1 | x 0.0 0.0 0.7 5.9 14.6 23.6 [B]36.0[/B] 16.0 2.9 0.4 0.0 | 7.50 | 20.48
Ya | 77.4 | x x 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.0 8.1 18.1 [B]53.5[/B] 13.2 1.2 0.0 | 8.62 | 17.93
Br | 43.8 | x x x 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.7 13.9 [B]64.9[/B] 17.0 0.5 | 9.95 | 14.69
RP | 32.7 | x x x x 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.9 16.6 [B]78.4[/B] 2.8 | 10.81 | 12.65
SL | 33.1 | x x x x x x x 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.9 [B]96.7[/B] | 11.96 | 8.17
| KRACH | 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 |AvgPts
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Cr | 504.7 | x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.8 6.2 13.2 18.1 [B]25.8[/B] 17.2 15.5 | 36.68
Ck | 287.9 | x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 3.8 6.1 12.8 14.5 [B]21.3[/B] 15.2 15.6 5.3 3.6 x x x | 31.93
Un | 110.6 | x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x 0.7 1.3 5.4 7.2 15.0 14.4 [B]19.7[/B] 13.2 12.7 5.5 3.7 0.8 0.3 x x x x x | 27.78
Ha | 125.5 | x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x 0.3 0.8 3.9 5.8 15.0 14.8 [B]23.5[/B] 14.1 14.8 4.2 2.9 x x x x x x x x | 26.84
Cg | 88.0 | x x x x x x x x x x x x 0.2 0.5 2.5 4.1 10.4 12.0 [B]19.6[/B] 15.6 17.5 8.6 6.7 1.6 0.8 x x x x x x x x x x | 23.58
Pr | 102.6 | x x x x x x x x x x 0.1 0.3 1.7 3.1 8.4 10.6 18.5 16.0 [B]19.1[/B] 10.2 8.5 2.2 1.2 x x x x x x x x x x x x | 21.92
Da | 80.4 | x x x x x x x x x x 0.3 0.6 3.0 4.8 11.6 12.8 [B]20.0[/B] 15.1 16.3 7.8 5.7 1.3 0.6 x x x x x x x x x x x x | 21.37
Qu | 84.1 | x x x x x x x x x 0.2 0.6 2.8 4.4 11.0 12.3 [B]19.8[/B] 15.4 16.8 8.2 6.3 1.5 0.7 x x x x x x x x x x x x x | 20.48
Ya | 77.4 | x x x x x x x x 1.8 2.9 9.7 10.9 [B]19.0[/B] 15.3 17.4 10.0 7.9 2.9 1.6 0.3 0.1 x x x x x x x x x x x x x x | 17.93
Br | 43.8 | x x x x x x 5.8 7.5 17.9 16.1 [B]20.2[/B] 13.1 10.7 4.8 2.8 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x | 14.69
RP | 32.7 | x x x x x 12.9 13.2 [B]25.4[/B] 17.2 16.9 7.7 4.7 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x | 12.65
SL | 33.1 | 8.7 10.6 [B]21.4[/B] 17.5 18.5 10.8 7.5 3.1 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x | 8.17
[b]Bold[/b] is each team's most likely outcome.
0.0 means the outcome occurred, but fewer than 500 times.
x means the outcome never occurred.Playoff Matchups:
Code:
| Cr Ck Un Ha Cg Pr Da Qu Ya Br RP SL | BYE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Cr | x x x x x x x x x x x | YES
Ck | x x x x x x x 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 | 99.7
Un | x x x 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.0 7.8 | 89.2
Ha | x x x 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.5 12.8 | 83.9
Cg | x x 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 1.4 4.5 12.0 19.1 39.7 | 20.6
Pr | x x x 0.0 0.1 1.5 2.8 13.5 23.9 30.7 18.1 | 3.4
Da | x x 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 4.5 18.7 27.0 24.1 13.3 | 2.2
Qu | x x x 0.0 0.4 1.6 2.0 29.8 23.8 16.2 6.3 | 0.7
Ya | x x 0.0 0.0 0.8 2.6 4.5 9.3 8.0 4.8 1.8 | 0.2
Br | x x x x 0.1 0.5 0.6 1.1 1.1 0.3 0.0 | 0.0
RP | x x x x 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 | NO
SL | x x x x x x 0.0 x x x x | NO
Hosts on the left, visitors across the top.Re: ECAC Projected Standings 2017-18
Finally, everyone has played the same number of games and we're in the final stretch of the ECAC season. A small amount of intrigue has crept back into the home-road dividing line, with Yale's win over Quinnipiac catapulting them into eighth place, and a mere 1.2 points separating 9th from 6th. Cornell, Clarkson, and Union are all set to coast to byes, while SLU, RPI, and Brown are just playing out the string to find out where they'll be headed in two weeks.
Simulated Final Standings (Monte Carlo simulation of 282,429,536,481 possibilites; n=1,000,000):
Rank and Points breakdown:
Playoff Matchups:
Finally, everyone has played the same number of games and we're in the final stretch of the ECAC season. A small amount of intrigue has crept back into the home-road dividing line, with Yale's win over Quinnipiac catapulting them into eighth place, and a mere 1.2 points separating 9th from 6th. Cornell, Clarkson, and Union are all set to coast to byes, while SLU, RPI, and Brown are just playing out the string to find out where they'll be headed in two weeks.
Simulated Final Standings (Monte Carlo simulation of 282,429,536,481 possibilites; n=1,000,000):
- Cornell
- Clarkson
- Union
- Harvard
————— - Colgate
- Princeton
- Dartmouth
- Yale
————— - Quinnipiac
- Brown
- RPI
- SLU
Rank and Points breakdown:
Code:
| KRACH | 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 |Avg Rk |AvgPts
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Cr | 487.0 | [B]97.5[/B] 2.3 0.2 x x x x x x x x x | 1.03 | 36.58
Ck | 287.2 | 1.8 [B]80.7[/B] 15.9 1.6 0.0 x x x x x x x | 2.17 | 31.76
Un | 128.9 | 0.7 16.6 [B]80.3[/B] 2.3 0.0 x x x x x x x | 2.84 | 29.99
Ha | 116.4 | x 0.3 3.5 [B]78.0[/B] 14.1 3.0 0.9 0.2 0.0 x x x | 4.20 | 25.59
Cg | 81.6 | x x 0.1 11.7 [B]36.7[/B] 21.7 14.0 10.0 5.8 0.0 x x | 5.91 | 22.43
Pr | 97.8 | x x x 1.4 16.9 [B]28.6[/B] 24.7 17.4 11.0 0.0 0.0 x | 6.73 | 21.29
Da | 78.3 | x x x 1.2 15.5 21.1 [B]24.3[/B] 20.9 16.9 0.2 x x | 7.00 | 21.01
Ya | 94.9 | x x x 3.6 12.2 14.7 18.7 23.9 [B]26.8[/B] 0.1 0.0 x | 7.28 | 20.48
Qu | 83.5 | x x x 0.3 4.6 10.8 17.4 27.6 [B]39.0[/B] 0.3 0.0 x | 7.86 | 20.07
Br | 39.7 | x x x x x 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 [B]74.7[/B] 22.2 2.6 | 10.27 | 13.26
RP | 31.4 | x x x x x x 0.0 0.0 0.2 21.7 [B]68.4[/B] 9.7 | 10.88 | 12.01
SL | 37.3 | x x x x x x x x x 3.0 9.4 [B]87.6[/B] | 11.85 | 9.53
| KRACH | 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 |AvgPts
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Cr | 487.0 | x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.5 5.8 11.0 25.7 23.1 [B]32.3[/B] | 36.58
Ck | 287.2 | x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x 0.2 0.5 3.0 5.0 14.6 15.3 [B]28.4[/B] 14.9 18.1 x x x x | 31.76
Un | 128.9 | x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x 2.9 4.0 15.7 13.8 [B]26.8[/B] 14.1 16.3 3.8 2.5 x x x x | 29.99
Ha | 116.4 | x x x x x x x x x x x x x x 1.1 2.0 9.8 11.0 [B]25.8[/B] 16.5 22.5 6.2 5.1 x x x x x x x x x | 25.59
Cg | 81.6 | x x x x x x x x x x x 1.7 2.6 11.8 11.8 [B]25.7[/B] 15.4 20.2 5.7 4.9 x x x x x x x x x x x x | 22.43
Pr | 97.8 | x x x x x x x x x x 1.6 2.7 12.5 12.8 [B]27.8[/B] 15.5 19.0 4.7 3.4 x x x x x x x x x x x x x | 21.29
Da | 78.3 | x x x x x x x x x x 2.6 3.7 15.6 14.0 [B]27.4[/B] 14.3 16.2 3.8 2.4 x x x x x x x x x x x x x | 21.01
Ya | 94.9 | x x x x x x x x x x 5.4 6.2 21.0 15.7 [B]25.6[/B] 11.6 11.1 2.3 1.2 x x x x x x x x x x x x x | 20.48
Qu | 83.5 | x x x x x x x x x 2.2 3.4 14.8 13.9 [B]28.2[/B] 14.7 16.5 3.8 2.5 x x x x x x x x x x x x x x | 20.07
Br | 39.7 | x x x x 17.3 14.6 [B]29.0[/B] 15.8 15.1 5.0 2.7 0.4 0.1 x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x | 13.26
RP | 31.4 | x x x 21.0 16.8 [B]29.0[/B] 14.8 12.4 3.8 1.8 0.3 0.1 x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x | 12.01
SL | 37.3 | 14.4 12.6 [B]27.5[/B] 15.9 17.5 6.4 4.4 0.8 0.4 x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x | 9.53
[b]Bold[/b] is each team's most likely outcome.
0.0 means the outcome occurred, but fewer than 500 times.
x means the outcome never occurred.Playoff Matchups:
Code:
| Cr Ck Un Ha Cg Pr Da Ya Qu Br RP SL | BYE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Cr | x x x x x x x x x x x | YES
Ck | x x x x x x x x x 0.0 0.0 | 100.0
Un | x x x x x x x x x x 0.0 | 100.0
Ha | x x x 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 1.6 4.3 12.0 | 81.8
Cg | x x x 0.0 1.7 1.9 1.5 4.9 17.1 21.6 33.7 | 11.8
Pr | x x x 0.0 0.4 4.8 5.7 6.6 23.8 27.1 19.2 | 1.4
Da | x x x 0.0 1.3 1.4 5.4 12.8 24.4 19.8 16.8 | 1.2
Ya | x x x 0.0 1.5 3.5 3.9 15.0 17.5 15.4 12.8 | 3.6
Qu | x x x 0.0 2.6 4.4 6.3 14.3 15.6 11.7 5.6 | 0.3
Br | x x x x 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | NO
RP | x x x x 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 x x | NO
SL | x x x x x x x x x x x | NO
Hosts on the left, visitors across the top.Re: ECAC Projected Standings 2017-18
MIDWEEK UPDATE.
Simulated Final Standings (Monte Carlo simulation of 387,420,489 possibilites; n=1,000,000):
Rank and Points breakdown:
Playoff Matchups:
MIDWEEK UPDATE.
Simulated Final Standings (Monte Carlo simulation of 387,420,489 possibilites; n=1,000,000):
- Cornell
- Union
- Clarkson
- Harvard
————— - Dartmouth
- Princeton
- Colgate
- Yale
————— - Quinnipiac
- Brown
- RPI
- SLU
Rank and Points breakdown:
Code:
| KRACH | 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 |Avg Rk |AvgPts
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Cr | 493.9 | [B]98.8[/B] 1.2 0.0 x x x x x x x x x | 1.01 | 36.82
Un | 136.0 | 1.2 [B]51.1[/B] 47.1 0.6 x x x x x x x x | 2.47 | 30.86
Ck | 255.5 | 0.0 [B]47.3[/B] 44.2 8.5 x x x x x x x x | 2.61 | 30.12
Ha | 122.9 | x 0.4 8.7 [B]83.4[/B] 5.9 1.4 0.2 0.0 x x x x | 4.00 | 26.22
Da | 89.7 | x x x 2.0 [B]39.0[/B] 25.1 18.8 12.6 2.4 x x x | 6.08 | 22.66
Pr | 103.9 | x x x 0.9 [B]25.7[/B] 25.7 24.0 18.1 5.7 x x x | 6.50 | 21.95
Cg | 77.9 | x x x 0.9 13.4 24.4 24.6 [B]24.6[/B] 12.2 x x x | 6.95 | 21.44
Ya | 102.6 | x x x 3.7 15.7 21.1 [B]25.2[/B] 25.0 9.3 x x x | 6.80 | 21.41
Qu | 81.1 | x x x x 0.3 2.4 7.2 19.7 [B]70.3[/B] 0.1 0.0 x | 8.58 | 19.29
Br | 39.1 | x x x x x x x x 0.1 [B]81.9[/B] 16.9 1.1 | 10.19 | 12.93
RP | 30.1 | x x x x x x x x 0.0 16.6 [B]77.1[/B] 6.2 | 10.89 | 11.45
SL | 35.4 | x x x x x x x x x 1.4 6.0 [B]92.6[/B] | 11.91 | 8.86
| KRACH | 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 |AvgPts
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Cr | 493.9 | x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x 0.1 0.6 4.2 8.0 25.6 21.8 [B]39.7 [/B]| 36.82
Un | 136.0 | x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x 8.0 7.9 [B]29.2[/B] 16.4 27.2 6.3 5.0 x x x x | 30.86
Ck | 255.5 | x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x 1.5 2.4 12.6 12.6 [B]31.8[/B] 15.5 23.6 x x x x x x | 30.12
Ha | 122.9 | x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x 4.8 5.8 25.4 16.2 [B]30.6[/B] 8.5 8.7 x x x x x x x x x | 26.22
Da | 89.7 | x x x x x x x x x x x x 3.0 4.0 18.7 14.7 [B]32.8[/B] 11.7 15.1 x x x x x x x x x x x x x | 22.66
Pr | 103.9 | x x x x x x x x x x x x 6.7 7.3 [B]29.7[/B] 16.4 27.2 6.7 6.1 x x x x x x x x x x x x x | 21.95
Cg | 77.9 | x x x x x x x x x x x 3.8 4.9 21.7 15.7 [B]32.6[/B] 9.9 11.4 x x x x x x x x x x x x x x | 21.44
Ya | 102.6 | x x x x x x x x x x x x 13.7 10.9 [B]32.7[/B] 15.3 20.5 4.2 2.7 x x x x x x x x x x x x x | 21.41
Qu | 81.1 | x x x x x x x x x 4.0 5.2 23.6 16.6 [B]34.0[/B] 8.6 7.9 x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x | 19.29
Br | 39.1 | x x x x 22.8 15.1 [B]32.0[/B] 12.8 13.2 2.6 1.6 x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x | 12.93
RP | 30.1 | x x x [B]32.2[/B] 19.1 30.0 10.3 7.0 1.1 0.3 x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x | 11.45
SL | 35.4 | 24.1 15.6 [B]31.7[/B] 12.5 12.3 2.4 1.4 x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x | 8.86
[b]Bold[/b] is each team's most likely outcome.
0.0 means the outcome occurred, but fewer than 500 times.
x means the outcome never occurred.Playoff Matchups:
Code:
| Cr Un Ck Ha Da Pr Cg Ya Qu Br RP SL | BYE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Cr | x x x x x x x x x x x | YES
Un | x x x x x x x x x x x | YES
Ck | x x x x x x x x x x x | YES
Ha | x x x x x x x 0.0 0.2 1.6 5.6 | 92.5
Da | x x x x 0.1 0.7 0.2 11.7 20.7 23.9 38.3 | 2.0
Pr | x x x x 0.6 0.6 1.5 15.4 24.1 25.1 26.2 | 0.9
Cg | x x x x 0.5 1.4 1.3 21.5 23.9 24.7 13.7 | 0.9
Ya | x x x x 0.2 0.8 2.0 21.9 24.3 21.9 15.7 | 3.7
Qu | x x x x 1.2 3.4 8.8 6.3 6.7 2.8 0.5 | NO
RP | x x x x x x x x x x x | NO
Br | x x x x x x x x x x x | NO
SL | x x x x x x x x x x x | NO
Hosts on the left, visitors across the top.Re: ECAC Projected Standings 2017-18
One weekend, and Clarkson still sucks. Not in the standings or on the ice or anything, but you know, yeah. The bye teams are set, as are three of the four road teams. Quinnipiac is more likely that not to be on the road next week, but they have a pretty reasonable shot to jumping into the middle four.
Simulated Final Standings (EXHAUSTIVE simulation of 531,441 possibilites):
Note: I've continued to be lazy and never implemented tie-breaking for more than three teams or beyond the second tiebreaker. I just flip a coin. That introduces some fuzziness in the middle of the standings, since we could theoretically have a five-way tie there. So don't take these odds as gospel and hope that I decide to fix it some time before next February.
Rank and Points breakdown:
Playoff Matchups:
One weekend, and Clarkson still sucks. Not in the standings or on the ice or anything, but you know, yeah. The bye teams are set, as are three of the four road teams. Quinnipiac is more likely that not to be on the road next week, but they have a pretty reasonable shot to jumping into the middle four.
Simulated Final Standings (EXHAUSTIVE simulation of 531,441 possibilites):
- Cornell
- Union
- Clarkson
- Harvard
————— - Dartmouth
- Colgate
- Princeton
- Yale
————— - Quinnipiac
- Brown
- RPI
- SLU
Note: I've continued to be lazy and never implemented tie-breaking for more than three teams or beyond the second tiebreaker. I just flip a coin. That introduces some fuzziness in the middle of the standings, since we could theoretically have a five-way tie there. So don't take these odds as gospel and hope that I decide to fix it some time before next February.
Rank and Points breakdown:
Code:
| KRACH | 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 |Avg Rk |AvgPts
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Cr | 512.7 | [B]99.5[/B] 0.5 x x x x x x x x x x | 1.00 | 37.26
Un | 142.9 | 0.5 [B]91.4[/B] 8.1 x x x x x x x x x | 2.08 | 31.76
Ck | 229.1 | x 8.1 [B]58.7[/B] 33.2 x x x x x x x x | 3.25 | 28.76
Ha | 136.9 | x x 33.2 [B]66.8[/B] x x x x x x x x | 3.67 | 27.65
Da | 92.8 | x x x x [B]63.9[/B] 19.9 9.3 6.0 0.9 x x x | 5.60 | 23.36
Cg | 79.7 | x x x x 18.8 [B]44.1[/B] 21.6 10.8 4.7 x x x | 6.38 | 22.17
Pr | 96.5 | x x x x 7.5 15.2 [B]32.1[/B] 29.6 15.5 x x x | 7.30 | 21.07
Ya | 98.1 | x x x x 9.5 16.5 24.6 [B]28.2[/B] 21.1 x x x | 7.34 | 20.88
Qu | 83.6 | x x x x 0.3 4.3 12.3 25.3 [B]57.8[/B] x x x | 8.36 | 19.97
Br | 36.1 | x x x x x x x x x [B]86.4[/B] 13.3 0.3 | 10.14 | 12.11
RP | 28.1 | x x x x x x x x x 13.0 [B]84.1[/B] 2.9 | 10.90 | 10.81
SL | 33.2 | x x x x x x x x x 0.6 2.6 [B]96.8[/B] | 11.96 | 8.20
| KRACH | 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 |AvgPts
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Cr | 512.7 | x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x 0.8 3.1 20.3 20.1 [B]55.5[/B] | 37.26
Un | 142.9 | x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x 21.0 13.3 [B]45.3[/B] 10.0 10.5 x x x x | 31.76
Ck | 229.1 | x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x 5.9 6.6 32.2 16.7 [B]38.6[/B] x x x x x x x x | 28.76
Ha | 136.9 | x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x 6.5 7.3 [B]35.7[/B] 16.0 34.5 x x x x x x x x x | 27.65
Da | 92.8 | x x x x x x x x x x x x x x 10.8 9.2 [B]39.7[/B] 14.0 26.2 x x x x x x x x x x x x x | 23.36
Cg | 79.7 | x x x x x x x x x x x x x 12.5 10.5 [B]44.4[/B] 12.8 19.8 x x x x x x x x x x x x x x | 22.17
Pr | 96.5 | x x x x x x x x x x x x 13.5 11.2 [B]46.7[/B] 12.1 16.5 x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x | 21.07
Ya | 98.1 | x x x x x x x x x x x x 21.2 12.4 [B]39.4[/B] 10.8 16.1 x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x | 20.88
Qu | 83.6 | x x x x x x x x x x x 15.6 11.8 [B]46.8[/B] 11.4 14.3 x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x | 19.97
Br | 36.1 | x x x x [B]42.7[/B] 17.6 29.7 5.7 4.4 x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x | 12.11
RP | 28.1 | x x x [B]52.5[/B] 19.6 23.2 3.6 1.0 x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x | 10.81
SL | 33.2 | [B]39.9[/B] 17.0 31.4 6.3 5.5 x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x | 8.20
[b]Bold[/b] is each team's most likely outcome.
0.0 means the outcome occurred, but fewer than 500 times.
x means the outcome never occurred.Playoff Matchups:
Code:
| Da Cg Pr Ya Qu Br RP SL
----------------------------------------------------
Da | 0.2 0.2 0.1 5.5 10.8 19.8 62.5
Cg | 0.0 2.4 1.5 6.8 21.7 43.2 19.6
Pr | 0.4 0.4 6.5 22.4 31.6 15.5 7.7
Ya | 0.4 0.9 3.9 23.1 24.6 16.2 9.9
Qu | 0.1 3.3 9.0 13.0 11.3 5.3 0.3
Hosts on the left, visitors across the top.
Last edited:
Re: ECAC Projected Standings 2017-18
Last one of these! Only one playoff match-up is set, with Dartmouth and SLU locked into 5th and 12th, respectively. We don't know which team of the four jockeying in the middle will fall to ninth, though it'll probably be Yale. Colgate controls their own destiny, as a win tonight at RPI would lock in a rematch in Hamilton next weekend.
Simulated Final Standings (EXHAUSTIVE simulation of 729 possibilites):
Rank and Points breakdown:
Playoff Matchups:
Last one of these! Only one playoff match-up is set, with Dartmouth and SLU locked into 5th and 12th, respectively. We don't know which team of the four jockeying in the middle will fall to ninth, though it'll probably be Yale. Colgate controls their own destiny, as a win tonight at RPI would lock in a rematch in Hamilton next weekend.
Simulated Final Standings (EXHAUSTIVE simulation of 729 possibilites):
- Cornell
- Union
- Clarkson
- Harvard
————— - Dartmouth
- Colgate
- Princeton
- Quinnipiac
————— - Yale
- Brown
- RPI
- SLU
Rank and Points breakdown:
Code:
| KRACH | 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 |Avg Rk |AvgPts
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Cr | 522.7 | [B]100.0[/B] x x x x x x x x x x x | 1.00 | 37.50
Un | 138.7 | x [B]100.0[/B] x x x x x x x x x x | 2.00 | 31.50
Ck | 220.2 | x x [B]87.9[/B] 12.1 x x x x x x x x | 3.12 | 28.38
Ha | 120.4 | x x 12.1 [B]87.9[/B] x x x x x x x x | 3.88 | 26.12
Da | 99.7 | x x x x [B]100.0[/B] x x x x x x x | 5.00 | 24.36
Cg | 80.9 | x x x x x [B]80.4[/B] 10.1 7.4 2.0 x x x | 6.30 | 22.43
Pr | 99.2 | x x x x x 13.0 [B]54.4[/B] 25.8 6.8 x x x | 7.26 | 21.45
Qu | 86.7 | x x x x x 4.5 22.4 [B]44.7[/B] 28.4 x x x | 7.97 | 20.62
Ya | 90.9 | x x x x x 2.1 13.1 22.1 [B]62.8[/B] x x x | 8.46 | 19.88
Br | 41.0 | x x x x x x x x x [B]100.0[/B] x x | 10.00 | 13.64
RP | 27.4 | x x x x x x x x x x [B]100.0[/B] x | 11.00 | 10.57
SL | 31.6 | x x x x x x x x x x x [B]100.0[/B] | 12.00 | 7.55
| KRACH | 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 |AvgPts
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Cr | 522.7 | x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x 18.1 13.5 68.4 | 37.50
Un | 138.7 | x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x 68.4 13.5 18.1 x x x x x | 31.50
Ck | 220.2 | x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x 24.4 13.4 62.1 x x x x x x x x x | 28.38
Ha | 120.4 | x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x 37.2 13.5 49.3 x x x x x x x x x x x | 26.12
Da | 99.7 | x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x 25.2 13.4 61.3 x x x x x x x x x x x x x | 24.36
Cg | 80.9 | x x x x x x x x x x x x x x 21.9 13.5 64.6 x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x | 22.43
Pr | 99.2 | x x x x x x x x x x x x x 20.9 13.5 65.7 x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x | 21.45
Qu | 86.7 | x x x x x x x x x x x x x 62.1 13.4 24.4 x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x | 20.62
Ya | 90.9 | x x x x x x x x x x x x 49.3 13.5 37.2 x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x | 19.88
Br | 41.0 | x x x x x x 61.3 13.4 25.2 x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x | 13.64
RP | 27.4 | x x x 64.6 13.5 21.9 x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x | 10.57
SL | 31.6 | 65.7 13.5 20.9 x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x | 7.55
[b]Bold[/b] is each team's most likely outcome.
0.0 means the outcome occurred, but fewer than 500 times.
x means the outcome never occurred.Playoff Matchups:
Code:
| Cg Pr Qu Ya Br RP SL
----------------------------------------------
Da | x x x x x x 100.0
Cg | 0.9 3.3 3.2 10.1 80.4 x
Pr | x 7.4 18.4 54.4 13.0 x
Qu | 0.7 2.8 41.1 22.4 4.5 x
Ya | 1.3 3.1 17.7 13.1 2.1 x
Hosts on the left, visitors across the top.