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ECAC Projected Standings 2015-16

Re: ECAC Projected Standings 2015-16

One game for points this weekend, a number of games to affect KRACH, including one outside the conference to eliminate the hypothetical tie. That said, all those games led to exactly one flip in the standings, as Dartmouth and Clarkson swapped spots (but are still separated by less than a point).

Simulated Final Standings (1,000,000 simulations of 10^45.80 possibilities):
  1. Quinnipiac
  2. Harvard
  3. Cornell
  4. Yale
    —————
  5. SLU
  6. RPI
  7. Dartmouth
  8. Clarkson
    —————
  9. Brown
  10. Union
  11. Colgate
  12. Princeton
Reminder: KRACH doesn't do ties. KRACH doesn't do prediction, it does retrodiction. KRACH cares not about your momentum, injuries, home-ice, etc. KRACH thinks you're exactly as good as your record.

Rank and Points breakdown:
Code: 
   |  KRACH |     1     2     3     4     5     6     7     8     9    10    11    12 |Avg Rk |AvgPts
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Qu | 5336.5 |  [B]88.2[/B]  11.0   0.7   0.1   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x |  1.13 | 38.35
Ha | 1643.4 |  10.8  [B]68.2[/B]  14.4   4.5   1.5   0.4   0.0     x     x     x     x     x |  2.19 | 34.10
Cr |  580.3 |   0.4   9.3  [B]30.2[/B]  24.9  19.2  13.9   1.8   0.3   0.0   0.0     x     x |  4.03 | 28.64
Ya |  539.6 |   0.3   4.9  23.3  [B]26.6[/B]  23.7  18.8   2.1   0.3   0.0   0.0   0.0     x |  4.35 | 27.90
SL |  439.5 |   0.1   3.8  16.6  21.4  25.3  [B]27.9[/B]   4.0   0.7   0.1   0.0   0.0     x |  4.72 | 27.03
RP |  323.2 |   0.1   2.7  14.7  21.8  27.6  [B]27.8[/B]   4.5   0.7   0.1   0.0   0.0     x |  4.80 | 26.63
Da |  151.4 |     x   0.0   0.1   0.4   1.5   6.0  [B]37.8[/B]  27.6  16.3   8.9   1.2   0.2 |  7.82 | 18.09
Ck |  189.5 |     x   0.0   0.0   0.2   0.9   4.0  [B]29.5[/B]  29.2  20.2  13.3   2.2   0.4 |  8.14 | 17.36
Br |   91.0 |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.8   9.9  21.2  [B]31.5[/B]  30.0   5.5   0.9 |  9.00 | 14.90
Un |  126.8 |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.5  10.2  19.1  27.8  [B]32.5[/B]   7.7   2.0 |  9.13 | 14.62
Cg |   30.6 |     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.1   0.4   1.7   7.2  45.2  [B]45.5[/B] | 11.34 |  8.26
Pr |   33.8 |     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.1   0.5   2.3   8.0  38.1  [B]51.0[/B] | 11.37 |  8.12

   |  KRACH |     2     3     4     5     6     7     8     9    10    11    12    13    14    15    16    17    18    19    20    21    22    23    24    25    26    27    28    29    30    31    32    33    34    35    36    37    38    39    40    41    42 |AvgPts
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Qu | 5336.5 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.4   1.1   2.4   4.9   8.8  13.6  17.8  [B]19.5[/B]  16.8  10.4   4.0 | 38.35
Ha | 1643.4 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.3   0.7   1.4   2.6   4.5   7.1  10.0  12.8  14.5  [B]14.6[/B]  12.5   9.4   5.6   2.8   0.9   0.3     x | 34.10
Cr |  580.3 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.4   0.8   1.6   2.7   4.3   6.4   8.5  10.6  11.9  [B]12.3[/B]  11.5   9.9   7.4   5.3   3.1   1.8   0.8   0.3   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0     x | 28.64
Ya |  539.6 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.5   1.1   2.1   3.6   5.7   8.0  10.4  12.2  [B]13.1[/B]  12.4  10.8   8.1   5.6   3.2   1.7   0.7   0.3   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x | 27.90
SL |  439.5 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.3   0.6   1.3   2.3   3.7   5.7   7.8   9.9  11.4  [B]12.2[/B]  11.7  10.4   8.2   6.0   3.9   2.3   1.2   0.6   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x | 27.03
RP |  323.2 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.6   1.3   2.4   4.2   6.4   9.0  11.2  [B]12.8  12.8[/B]  11.9   9.7   7.3   4.7   2.9   1.5   0.7   0.3   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x | 26.63
Da |  151.4 |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.5   1.1   2.2   3.8   5.9   7.9  10.1  11.5  [B]12.1[/B]  11.4  10.1   8.1   6.0   4.0   2.5   1.4   0.7   0.3   0.1   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 18.09
Ck |  189.5 |   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.5   1.0   1.9   3.3   5.1   7.3   9.4  11.2  [B]11.9[/B]  11.8  10.6   8.7   6.5   4.5   2.9   1.6   0.8   0.4   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 17.36
Br |   91.0 |     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.2   0.7   1.6   3.5   5.8   9.1  11.5  13.4  [B]13.5[/B]  12.4  10.0   7.5   4.9   3.0   1.6   0.8   0.4   0.1   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 14.90
Un |  126.8 |   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.5   1.2   2.3   4.2   6.5   9.3  11.4  [B]13.0[/B]  12.9  11.8   9.5   7.0   4.6   2.8   1.5   0.7   0.3   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 14.62
Cg |   30.6 |     x   1.3   3.6   8.0  12.0  15.2  [B]15.9[/B]  14.4  11.3   8.0   5.0   2.7   1.4   0.6   0.3   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x |  8.26
Pr |   33.8 |   0.7   2.0   5.0   8.5  12.2  14.5  [B]15.0[/B]  13.4  10.7   7.6   4.9   2.8   1.5   0.7   0.3   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x |  8.12

[b]Bold[/b] is each team's most likely outcome.
0.0 means the outcome occurred, but fewer than 500 times.
x means the outcome never occurred.

Playoff Matchups:
Code: 
   |    Qu    Ha    Cr    Ya    SL    RP    Da    Ck    Br    Un    Cg    Pr |   BYE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Qu |           x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0 | 100.0
Ha |     x           x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.9   1.0 |  97.9
Cr |     x     x         0.0   0.0   0.0   0.3   0.6   1.7   2.0  15.2  15.3 |  64.8
Ya |     x     x     x         0.0   0.0   0.5   0.8   2.0   2.8  19.4  19.5 |  55.1
SL |     x     x   0.0   0.0         0.0   0.7   1.4   3.1   4.3  24.6  23.8 |  41.9
RP |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0         0.7   1.4   3.5   4.8  25.3  25.0 |  39.3
Da |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0        12.1  23.6  23.4   6.7   7.1 |   0.5
Ck |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   9.4        23.6  20.5   4.8   5.3 |   0.2
Br |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   6.7  10.1        12.0   1.8   1.3 |   0.0
Un |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   8.0   9.5  10.2         1.0   1.2 |   0.0
Cg |     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.1   0.1   0.1         0.0 |    NO
Pr |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.2   0.1   0.0       |    NO

Hosts on the left, visitors across the top.
 
Last edited:
Re: ECAC Projected Standings 2015-16

Twelve games close out the ECAC schedule for the calendar year. We've got some high quality teams here in the EZAC.

Simulated Final Standings (1,000,000 simulations of 10^40.08 possibilities):
  1. Quinnipiac
  2. Cornell
  3. Harvard
  4. SLU
    —————
  5. RPI
  6. Yale
  7. Dartmouth
  8. Union
    —————
  9. Princeton
  10. Clarkson
  11. Brown
  12. Colgate
Reminder: KRACH doesn't do ties. KRACH doesn't do prediction, it does retrodiction. KRACH cares not about your momentum, injuries, home-ice, etc. KRACH thinks you're exactly as good as your record.

Rank and Points breakdown:
Code: 
   |  KRACH |     1     2     3     4     5     6     7     8     9    10    11    12 |Avg Rk |AvgPts
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Qu | 4478.9 |  [B]95.3[/B]   4.5   0.2   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x |  1.05 | 38.91
Cr |  849.9 |   4.0  [B]64.3[/B]  24.8   5.3   1.3   0.3   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x |  2.37 | 32.99
Ha |  725.9 |   0.7  26.3  [B]48.4[/B]  17.2   5.7   1.6   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x |  3.06 | 30.49
SL |  341.1 |   0.0   3.3  15.7  [B]35.9[/B]  25.3  16.0   3.2   0.6   0.1   0.0   0.0     x |  4.47 | 26.48
RP |  219.5 |   0.0   0.9   5.8  21.9  [B]33.7[/B]  28.8   7.1   1.4   0.3   0.1   0.0   0.0 |  5.13 | 24.54
Ya |  298.0 |   0.0   0.7   5.0  18.7  29.2  [B]35.0[/B]   8.4   2.2   0.6   0.2   0.0   0.0 |  5.31 | 24.12
Da |  134.6 |     x   0.0   0.1   0.9   3.6  11.1  [B]36.8[/B]  24.0  12.6   6.5   3.1   1.2 |  7.66 | 18.13
Un |  134.0 |     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.6   4.0  24.4  [B]28.8[/B]  19.1  12.3   7.1   3.5 |  8.44 | 16.49
Pr |   71.2 |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.2   1.3   7.6  16.4  [B]22.9[/B]  22.6  17.4  11.5 |  9.55 | 14.07
Ck |  116.5 |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.2   1.3   7.0  12.7  18.8  [B]20.9[/B]  20.3  18.8 |  9.87 | 13.63
Br |   70.9 |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.6   4.2  10.4  17.8  23.2  [B]27.0[/B]  16.7 | 10.06 | 13.12
Cg |   47.3 |     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   1.2   3.5   7.7  14.2  25.0  [B]48.3[/B] | 11.03 | 11.03

   |  KRACH |     2     3     4     5     6     7     8     9    10    11    12    13    14    15    16    17    18    19    20    21    22    23    24    25    26    27    28    29    30    31    32    33    34    35    36    37    38    39    40    41    42 |AvgPts
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Qu | 4478.9 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.5   1.2   2.9   6.0  10.8  16.4  [B]20.6[/B]  20.5  14.7   6.4 | 38.91
Cr |  849.9 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.4   0.8   1.6   3.0   5.0   7.5  10.4  12.7  [B]14.1[/B]  13.6  11.9   8.6   5.7   2.8   1.3   0.3   0.1     x | 32.99
Ha |  725.9 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.5   1.1   2.2   3.9   6.3   9.0  11.8  13.4  [B]14.2[/B]  12.7  10.3   6.9   4.2   1.9   0.8   0.2   0.0     x     x     x | 30.49
SL |  341.1 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.4   0.9   1.6   2.9   4.6   6.8   8.9  11.1  12.1  [B]12.5[/B]  11.3   9.6   7.0   4.8   2.7   1.5   0.6   0.3   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x | 26.48
RP |  219.5 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.6   1.2   2.4   4.1   6.7   9.2  11.7  12.9  [B]13.4[/B]  11.8   9.8   6.9   4.5   2.5   1.2   0.5   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x | 24.54
Ya |  298.0 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.5   1.0   1.9   3.3   5.3   7.5  10.0  11.7  [B]12.9[/B]  12.3  11.1   8.6   6.3   3.7   2.1   0.9   0.4   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x | 24.12
Da |  134.6 |     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.4   0.9   1.9   3.3   5.5   7.8  10.3  11.8  [B]12.8[/B]  11.9  10.7   8.3   6.0   3.8   2.3   1.2   0.6   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 18.13
Un |  134.0 |     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.6   1.2   2.5   4.3   7.0   9.4  12.0  12.9  [B]13.2[/B]  11.6   9.4   6.7   4.3   2.4   1.2   0.5   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 16.49
Pr |   71.2 |     x     x     x     x   0.1   0.4   1.5   3.0   5.7   8.3  11.4  13.0  [B]13.7[/B]  12.5  10.5   7.8   5.3   3.3   1.8   0.9   0.4   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 14.07
Ck |  116.5 |   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.7   1.4   2.8   4.5   6.9   9.0  11.2  12.0  [B]12.3[/B]  11.1   9.3   7.0   4.9   3.1   1.8   0.9   0.5   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 13.63
Br |   70.9 |     x     x     x     x   0.4   1.0   2.9   5.1   8.7  11.2  13.7  [B]13.8[/B]  13.0  10.5   7.9   5.3   3.3   1.7   0.9   0.4   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 13.12
Cg |   47.3 |     x     x     x   0.9   2.2   5.5   8.7  12.5  14.2  [B]14.8[/B]  13.0  10.5   7.4   4.8   2.8   1.5   0.7   0.3   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 11.03

[b]Bold[/b] is each team's most likely outcome.
0.0 means the outcome occurred, but fewer than 500 times.
x means the outcome never occurred.

Note: I find it very funny that Colgate's average point total and rank are the same. That takes effort. Also, is there any way that Quinnipiac could actually finish the season only dropping three more points? It seems crazy, but they've been crazy good so far.

Playoff Matchups:
Code: 
   |    Qu    Cr    Ha    SL    RP    Ya    Da    Un    Pr    Ck    Br    Cg |   BYE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Qu |           x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0 | 100.0
Cr |     x           x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.2   0.3   0.3   0.8 |  98.4
Ha |     x     x           x   0.0   0.0   0.2   0.3   1.0   1.3   1.5   3.1 |  92.6
SL |     x     x     x         0.0   0.0   0.9   2.4   6.7   8.9   9.3  16.7 |  54.9
RP |     x     x     x   0.0         0.0   1.8   4.7  10.6  13.8  15.2  24.8 |  28.6
Ya |     x     x     x   0.0   0.0         2.2   5.0  12.0  14.8  17.0  23.7 |  24.4
Da |     x     x     x   0.0   0.1   0.2        10.5  18.2  16.8  17.7  12.0 |   1.0
Un |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   6.8        16.4  13.9  13.2   7.4 |   0.1
Pr |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   3.8   7.7         5.6   5.8   2.5 |   0.0
Ck |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   4.6   5.2   4.9         4.0   2.2 |   0.0
Br |     x     x     x   0.0   0.1   0.1   2.4   5.1   3.3   2.5         1.9 |   0.0
Cg |     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.9   1.2   1.1   0.9   0.7       |   0.0

Hosts on the left, visitors across the top.
 
Re: ECAC Projected Standings 2015-16

No league games, but some shifts in the projections. There's a sizeable pile-up at the Bye-Home Ice transition, with 4th and 6th separated by less than a point. That said, there's a huge gap between 6th and 7th.

Simulated Final Standings (1,000,000 simulations of 10^40.08 possibilities):
  1. Quinnipiac
  2. Cornell
  3. Harvard
  4. SLU
    —————
  5. Yale
  6. RPI
  7. Union
  8. Dartmouth
    —————
  9. Clarkson
  10. Princeton
  11. Brown
  12. Colgate
Reminder: KRACH doesn't do ties. KRACH doesn't do prediction, it does retrodiction. KRACH cares not about your momentum, injuries, home-ice, etc. KRACH thinks you're exactly as good as your record.

Rank and Points breakdown:
Code: 
   |  KRACH |     1     2     3     4     5     6     7     8     9    10    11    12 |Avg Rk |AvgPts
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Qu | 2003.2 |  [B]88.8[/B]  10.0   1.1   0.1   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x |  1.12 | 37.81
Cr |  749.5 |   8.9  [B]58.4[/B]  24.9   5.8   1.6   0.4   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x |  2.34 | 33.00
Ha |  659.1 |   2.1  26.4  [B]46.7[/B]  16.3   6.3   2.1   0.1   0.0   0.0     x     x     x |  3.05 | 30.59
SL |  272.9 |   0.1   2.3  11.6  [B]28.2[/B]  27.9  24.7   4.1   0.9   0.2   0.0   0.0   0.0 |  4.78 | 25.82
Ya |  332.0 |   0.0   1.4   8.1  24.3  29.5  [B]30.3[/B]   4.9   1.2   0.3   0.1   0.0   0.0 |  5.00 | 25.18
RP |  219.8 |   0.1   1.4   7.6  24.8  [B]31.8[/B]  28.4   4.6   1.0   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0 |  4.97 | 25.15
Un |  146.0 |     x   0.0   0.0   0.2   1.0   5.6  [B]36.6[/B]  26.2  15.1   8.7   4.6   2.0 |  8.03 | 17.42
Da |   96.8 |     x   0.0   0.0   0.3   1.5   5.7  27.3  [B]28.0[/B]  17.9  10.6   5.8   2.8 |  8.23 | 16.91
Ck |  116.2 |     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.2   1.4   9.3  15.5  [B]20.2[/B]  20.1  17.9  15.3 |  9.63 | 14.15
Pr |   62.4 |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.9   7.4  14.0  21.5  [B]23.2[/B]  19.0  13.7 |  9.70 | 13.81
Br |   63.7 |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.5   4.3   9.5  16.6  22.7  [B]28.0[/B]  18.3 | 10.14 | 13.01
Cg |   44.5 |     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   1.4   3.8   7.9  14.4  24.6  [B]47.8[/B] | 11.00 | 11.13

   |  KRACH |     2     3     4     5     6     7     8     9    10    11    12    13    14    15    16    17    18    19    20    21    22    23    24    25    26    27    28    29    30    31    32    33    34    35    36    37    38    39    40    41    42 |AvgPts
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Qu | 2003.2 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.4   0.9   2.1   4.2   7.3  11.3  15.1  [B]17.6[/B]  16.9  13.4   7.5   3.1 | 37.81
Cr |  749.5 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.4   0.9   1.7   3.1   5.1   7.5  10.4  12.5  [B]13.8[/B]  13.3  11.7   8.6   5.8   3.0   1.5   0.4   0.1     x | 33.00
Ha |  659.1 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.5   1.1   2.2   3.8   6.2   8.7  11.4  13.1  [B]13.8[/B]  12.7  10.6   7.2   4.6   2.2   1.0   0.3   0.1     x     x     x | 30.59
SL |  272.9 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.3   0.7   1.4   2.4   4.1   6.0   8.4  10.3  11.9  [B]12.2[/B]  11.7   9.9   7.9   5.4   3.5   1.9   1.0   0.4   0.2   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x | 25.82
Ya |  332.0 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.4   0.9   1.8   3.2   5.0   7.5   9.7  11.9  12.7  [B]12.9[/B]  11.0   9.0   6.2   4.0   2.1   1.0   0.4   0.1   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x | 25.18
RP |  219.8 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.3   0.8   1.6   3.0   5.2   7.6  10.3  12.1  [B]13.4[/B]  12.6  11.2   8.5   6.0   3.6   2.0   0.9   0.4   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0     x   0.0     x     x     x | 25.15
Un |  146.0 |     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.6   1.4   2.6   4.6   7.0   9.8  11.7  [B]13.3[/B]  12.7  11.6   9.1   6.6   4.2   2.4   1.2   0.6   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 17.42
Da |   96.8 |     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.2   0.4   1.1   2.0   3.9   5.9   8.7  10.6  12.5  [B]12.6[/B]  11.9   9.9   7.8   5.3   3.4   1.9   1.0   0.5   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 16.91
Ck |  116.2 |   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.5   1.0   2.0   3.5   5.7   7.8  10.2  11.5  [B]12.4[/B]  11.7  10.4   8.2   6.0   4.0   2.5   1.3   0.7   0.3   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 14.15
Pr |   62.4 |     x     x     x     x   0.2   0.5   1.8   3.5   6.4   9.1  12.1  13.3  [B]13.6[/B]  12.1   9.8   7.1   4.7   2.8   1.6   0.7   0.3   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 13.81
Br |   63.7 |     x     x     x     x   0.4   1.1   3.1   5.4   9.0  11.6  [B]13.9  13.9[/B]  12.8  10.3   7.6   5.0   3.0   1.6   0.8   0.4   0.1   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 13.01
Cg |   44.5 |     x     x     x   0.8   2.1   5.2   8.3  12.1  14.0  [B]14.8[/B]  13.2  10.9   7.7   5.1   2.9   1.6   0.7   0.3   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 11.13

[b]Bold[/b] is each team's most likely outcome.
0.0 means the outcome occurred, but fewer than 500 times.
x means the outcome never occurred.

Playoff Matchups:
Code: 
   |    Qu    Cr    Ha    SL    Ya    RP    Un    Da    Ck    Pr    Br    Cg |   BYE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Qu |           x     x     x     x     x   0.0     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0 | 100.0
Cr |     x           x     x     x     x   0.0   0.1   0.3   0.3   0.4   0.9 |  98.0
Ha |     x     x           x   0.0   0.0   0.2   0.4   1.3   1.3   1.9   3.5 |  91.5
SL |     x     x     x         0.0   0.0   2.1   2.6   9.9   9.8  13.1  20.1 |  42.2
Ya |     x     x     x   0.0         0.0   2.5   3.4  11.1  11.4  15.3  22.1 |  33.8
RP |     x     x     x   0.0   0.0         2.7   3.1  11.1  10.8  15.0  23.1 |  33.9
Un |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.0        10.7  15.9  17.7  15.3   9.7 |   0.2
Da |     x     x     x   0.1   0.1   0.1   7.6        14.9  16.5  14.7   8.6 |   0.3
Ck |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.1   4.9   7.7         5.9   4.9   2.9 |   0.0
Pr |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.1   5.4   4.9   5.3         4.5   2.2 |   0.0
Br |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.0   3.8   3.1   2.7   2.8         1.8 |   0.0
Cg |     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   1.1   1.3   1.0   1.1   0.7       |   0.0

Hosts on the left, visitors across the top.
 
Re: ECAC Projected Standings 2015-16

Welcome back! We've had a few league games played since the break now, and it's time to get back to these lovely projections. While we may be on the back nine of the season at large, we still have about 60% of this season to play, so here we go!

Simulated Final Standings (1,000,000 simulations of 10^37.22 possibilities):
  1. Quinnipiac
  2. Cornell
  3. Harvard
  4. SLU
    —————
  5. Yale
  6. RPI
  7. Union
  8. Dartmouth
    —————
  9. Clarkson
  10. Princeton
  11. Brown
  12. Colgate
Reminder: KRACH doesn't do ties. KRACH doesn't do prediction, it does retrodiction. KRACH cares not about your momentum, injuries, home-ice, etc. KRACH thinks you're exactly as good as your record.

Rank and Points breakdown:
Code: 
   |  KRACH |     1     2     3     4     5     6     7     8     9    10    11    12 |Avg Rk |AvgPts
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Qu | 1553.1 |  [B]96.6[/B]   3.4   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x |  1.04 | 38.90
Cr |  563.8 |   3.3  [B]65.6[/B]  23.5   5.6   1.5   0.4   0.1   0.0   0.0     x     x     x |  2.38 | 32.47
Ha |  482.4 |   0.2  26.1  [B]49.7[/B]  16.4   5.7   1.8   0.2   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x |  3.08 | 29.81
Ya |  290.9 |   0.0   2.7  13.3  [B]32.9[/B]  26.6  16.9   5.5   1.6   0.4   0.1   0.0   0.0 |  4.67 | 25.44
RP |  174.1 |   0.0   1.4   7.8  25.5  [B]31.2[/B]  22.5   8.7   2.2   0.5   0.1   0.0   0.0 |  5.04 | 24.40
SL |  153.6 |   0.0   0.7   5.2  16.1  23.8  [B]29.8[/B]  15.7   6.0   1.9   0.5   0.1   0.0 |  5.62 | 23.16
Da |  132.5 |   0.0   0.0   0.3   3.0   8.4  17.5  [B]31.0[/B]  22.5  10.0   4.5   2.0   0.7 |  7.22 | 19.44
Un |  158.3 |     x   0.0   0.0   0.4   2.0   7.9  25.0  [B]31.8[/B]  18.0   9.2   4.2   1.5 |  8.07 | 17.72
Br |   78.2 |     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.5   1.9   6.5  14.9  [B]23.9[/B]  23.7  19.2   9.2 |  9.54 | 14.63
Pr |   53.0 |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.6   3.5  11.1  24.0  [B]27.7[/B]  21.1  11.7 |  9.84 | 14.04
Ck |   84.2 |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.2   0.7   2.9   7.2  14.2  19.4  25.7  [B]29.8[/B] | 10.44 | 12.75
Cg |   42.1 |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.8   2.7   7.0  14.7  27.6  [B]47.1[/B] | 11.06 | 11.24

   |  KRACH |     2     3     4     5     6     7     8     9    10    11    12    13    14    15    16    17    18    19    20    21    22    23    24    25    26    27    28    29    30    31    32    33    34    35    36    37    38    39    40    41    42 |AvgPts
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Qu | 1553.1 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.2   0.5   1.3   3.1   6.3  10.8  16.3  19.6  [B]20.1[/B]  13.8   7.8 | 38.90
Cr |  563.8 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.1   0.3   0.7   1.4   2.6   4.2   6.5   8.9  11.4  12.8  [B]13.4[/B]  12.1  10.1   7.0   4.6   2.3   1.1   0.3   0.1     x | 32.47
Ha |  482.4 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.4   0.9   1.8   3.3   5.4   8.1  10.8  13.3  [B]14.0[/B]  13.7  11.1   8.4   4.8   2.7   0.9   0.3     x     x     x     x     x | 29.81
Ya |  290.9 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.4   0.8   1.6   2.8   4.5   6.7   9.0  11.3  12.4  [B]12.8[/B]  11.5   9.7   6.9   4.7   2.5   1.3   0.5   0.2   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x | 25.44
RP |  174.1 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.6   1.3   2.5   4.6   6.9   9.8  11.9  [B]13.5[/B]  12.9  11.8   9.0   6.6   4.0   2.3   1.1   0.5   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x | 24.40
SL |  153.6 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.6   1.2   2.2   3.7   5.7   7.7   9.9  11.1  [B]11.9[/B]  11.4  10.3   8.3   6.2   4.2   2.6   1.5   0.7   0.3   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x | 23.16
Da |  132.5 |     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.4   0.9   1.6   3.1   4.8   7.1   9.2  11.3  12.1  [B]12.3[/B]  10.9   9.2   6.7   4.6   2.8   1.6   0.7   0.3   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 19.44
Un |  158.3 |     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.4   0.9   2.0   3.6   6.2   8.7  11.7  13.0  [B]13.9[/B]  12.2  10.4   7.2   4.8   2.6   1.3   0.5   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 17.72
Br |   78.2 |     x     x     x     x   0.1   0.3   1.1   2.1   4.4   6.7   9.8  11.7  [B]13.3[/B]  12.8  11.6   9.2   6.9   4.5   2.8   1.5   0.8   0.3   0.1   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 14.63
Pr |   53.0 |     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.8   1.8   5.4   8.0  12.8  14.1  [B]15.8[/B]  13.4  11.2   7.4   4.7   2.5   1.3   0.5   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 14.04
Ck |   84.2 |   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.6   1.3   2.5   4.5   6.5   9.1  10.8  [B]12.1  12.1[/B]  11.2   9.3   7.3   5.1   3.3   1.9   1.1   0.5   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 12.75
Cg |   42.1 |     x     x     x   0.7   1.9   4.9   7.9  11.8  13.7  [B]14.7[/B]  13.3  11.1   8.0   5.4   3.2   1.8   0.9   0.4   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 11.24

[b]Bold[/b] is each team's most likely outcome.
0.0 means the outcome occurred, but fewer than 500 times.
x means the outcome never occurred.

Playoff Matchups:
Code: 
   |    Qu    Cr    Ha    Ya    RP    SL    Da    Un    Br    Pr    Ck    Cg |   BYE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Qu |           x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0     x   0.0   0.0 | 100.0
Cr |     x           x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.2   0.3   0.6   0.9 |  98.0
Ha |     x     x         0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   1.0   1.1   2.1   3.1 |  92.4
Ya |     x     x   0.0         0.0   0.1   0.9   1.9   7.4   8.7  13.6  18.1 |  48.9
RP |     x     x   0.0   0.0         0.1   1.0   2.9  10.0  11.3  17.0  22.5 |  34.7
SL |     x     x     x   0.0   0.0         1.6   4.2  13.6  15.2  18.7  21.9 |  22.0
Da |     x     x   0.0   0.1   0.1   0.5         7.3  18.8  20.2  17.3  15.3 |   3.3
Un |     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.1   0.6   5.2        17.9  19.5  13.7   9.4 |   0.4
Br |     x     x   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.7   3.1   8.0         5.3   3.3   3.1 |   0.1
Pr |     x     x   0.0   0.1   0.1   0.4   2.3   4.8   4.1         2.4   1.2 |   0.0
Ck |     x     x   0.0   0.1   0.1   0.2   2.3   2.7   2.4   2.2         1.0 |   0.0
Cg |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.7   1.0   0.6   0.8   0.5       |   0.0

Hosts on the left, visitors across the top.
 
Re: ECAC Projected Standings 2015-16

Well, it looks like we're in another 2013 situation with Quinnipiac running away and everyone else fighting for second place.

Simulated Final Standings (1,000,000 simulations of 10^31.97 possibilities):
  1. Quinnipiac
  2. Cornell
  3. Harvard
  4. Yale
    —————
  5. RPI
  6. Dartmouth
  7. SLU
  8. Union
    —————
  9. Clarkson
  10. Colgate
  11. Princeton
  12. Brown
Reminder: KRACH doesn't do ties. KRACH doesn't do prediction, it does retrodiction. KRACH cares not about your momentum, injuries, home-ice, etc. KRACH thinks you're exactly as good as your record.

Rank and Points breakdown:
Code: 
   |  KRACH |     1     2     3     4     5     6     7     8     9    10    11    12 |Avg Rk |AvgPts
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Qu | 1427.8 |  [B]99.6[/B]   0.4   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x |  1.00 | 38.88
Cr |  361.2 |   0.3  [B]40.9[/B]  26.0  18.1  10.5   3.7   0.5   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0     x |  3.11 | 28.96
Ha |  397.8 |   0.0  [B]33.2[/B]  30.2  21.7  11.7   2.6   0.4   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0     x |  3.22 | 28.50
Ya |  313.8 |   0.0  16.9  24.5  [B]26.7[/B]  21.1   8.2   2.1   0.4   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0 |  3.87 | 27.05
RP |  184.6 |   0.0   7.8  15.7  23.8  [B]31.0[/B]  16.9   3.9   0.6   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0 |  4.48 | 25.69
Da |  157.6 |   0.0   0.8   3.0   8.0  19.2  [B]41.7[/B]  17.4   6.2   2.4   0.9   0.3   0.1 |  5.95 | 22.27
SL |  117.1 |   0.0   0.1   0.4   1.6   5.2  17.8  [B]39.7[/B]  18.4   9.0   4.6   2.3   0.9 |  7.29 | 19.25
Un |  133.3 |     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.4   4.0  13.3  [B]24.0[/B]  21.7  16.5  12.1   7.9 |  9.00 | 16.20
Ck |  103.4 |     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.6   2.9  10.4  20.4  [B]20.7[/B]  17.6  14.8  12.5 |  9.32 | 15.73
Cg |   53.7 |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   1.0   4.1  10.4  16.2  21.0  23.4  [B]23.9[/B] | 10.18 | 14.00
Pr |   51.2 |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.6   3.7  10.0  16.1  21.1  24.0  [B]24.4[/B] | 10.23 | 13.94
Br |   72.7 |     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.7   4.4   9.4  13.7  18.1  23.2  [B]30.3[/B] | 10.35 | 13.54

   |  KRACH |     6     7     8     9    10    11    12    13    14    15    16    17    18    19    20    21    22    23    24    25    26    27    28    29    30    31    32    33    34    35    36    37    38    39    40    41    42 |AvgPts
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Qu | 1427.8 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.6   1.4   3.2   6.4  10.9  16.2  19.4  [B]19.9[/B]  13.7   7.8 | 38.88
Cr |  361.2 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.4   0.9   1.8   3.3   5.3   8.0  10.3  12.7  13.2  [B]13.3[/B]  10.9   8.7   5.4   3.3   1.4   0.6   0.1   0.0     x     x     x     x | 28.96
Ha |  397.8 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.1   0.4   1.0   2.0   3.6   6.2   8.9  12.2  13.9  [B]15.1[/B]  13.0  10.9   6.6   4.1   1.4   0.6     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 28.50
Ya |  313.8 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.3   0.8   1.6   3.1   5.1   7.7  10.1  12.7  13.3  [B]13.5[/B]  11.2   9.0   5.6   3.4   1.5   0.7   0.1   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x | 27.05
RP |  184.6 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.3   0.8   1.7   3.7   5.8   9.3  11.5  [B]14.2[/B]  13.7  13.2   9.9   7.4   4.3   2.4   1.0   0.4   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x | 25.69
Da |  157.6 |     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.3   0.7   1.6   2.8   5.0   7.2  10.1  11.8  [B]13.4[/B]  12.6  11.6   8.8   6.4   3.8   2.2   1.0   0.4   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 22.27
SL |  117.1 |     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.2   0.6   1.5   2.8   5.2   7.4  10.5  12.1  [B]13.5[/B]  12.5  11.3   8.5   6.2   3.7   2.2   1.1   0.5   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 19.25
Un |  133.3 |     x   0.0   0.1   0.4   1.0   2.5   4.3   7.9  10.2  13.8  13.9  [B]14.5[/B]  11.3   9.0   5.4   3.3   1.4   0.7   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 16.20
Ck |  103.4 |   0.0   0.1   0.4   0.9   2.2   3.7   6.5   8.9  11.9  12.8  [B]13.5[/B]  11.9  10.0   7.0   4.8   2.8   1.5   0.7   0.3   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 15.73
Cg |   53.7 |     x     x   0.9   2.0   5.6   8.4  12.9  14.3  [B]15.3[/B]  13.1  10.7   7.3   4.7   2.6   1.3   0.6   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 14.00
Pr |   51.2 |     x     x   0.9   2.0   5.8   8.4  13.1  14.3  [B]15.6[/B]  13.0  10.8   7.1   4.6   2.4   1.2   0.5   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 13.94
Br |   72.7 |   0.2   0.6   2.1   3.8   7.3   9.7  13.0  13.6  [B]14.0[/B]  11.7   9.4   6.3   4.1   2.2   1.1   0.5   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 13.54

[b]Bold[/b] is each team's most likely outcome.
0.0 means the outcome occurred, but fewer than 500 times.
x means the outcome never occurred.

Playoff Matchups:
Code: 
   |    Qu    Cr    Ha    Ya    RP    Da    SL    Un    Ck    Cg    Pr    Br |   BYE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Qu |           x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0     x | 100.0
Cr |     x           x     x   0.0   0.0   0.2   1.3   2.0   3.7   3.6   4.0 |  85.3
Ha |     x     x           x     x   0.0   0.2   1.3   2.0   3.4   3.7   4.3 |  85.2
Ya |     x     x   0.0         0.0   0.0   0.4   3.0   4.1   7.5   7.7   9.1 |  68.1
RP |     x     x   0.0   0.0         0.1   0.8   5.6   7.3  12.2  12.6  13.9 |  47.4
Da |     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0         2.4  10.7  13.4  19.4  19.3  19.2 |  11.8
SL |     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.6        14.3  14.9  17.3  17.6  16.3 |   2.1
Un |     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   1.1   3.8        11.8   8.4   9.1   7.4 |   0.0
Ck |     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.7   3.4   9.7         7.1   6.9   6.3 |   0.1
Cg |     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.6   1.7   4.5   3.6         2.8   2.2 |   0.0
Pr |     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.3   1.7   3.7   3.7   2.3         2.6 |   0.0
Br |     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.3   2.2   4.0   2.9   3.1   2.2       |   0.0

Hosts on the left, visitors across the top.
 
Re: ECAC Projected Standings 2015-16

The last "light" weekend of the ECAC schedule is done and every weekend from here in will have at least 11 league contests. Quinnipiac still holds a massive lead, but we're set for an exciting run to the finish! We have close fights at both boundaries, with less than a two-point gap at each line.

Simulated Final Standings (1,000,000 simulations of 10^27.67 possibilities):
  1. Quinnipiac
    [*]Harvard
  2. Yale
  3. RPI
    —————
  4. Cornell
  5. Dartmouth
  6. SLU
  7. Clarkson
    —————
  8. Union
    [*]Princeton
  9. Colgate
    [*]Brown
Teams in italics have non-conference games remaining on their schedule.

Reminder: KRACH doesn't do ties. KRACH doesn't do prediction, it does retrodiction. KRACH cares not about your momentum, injuries, home-ice, etc. KRACH thinks you're exactly as good as your record.

Rank and Points breakdown:
Code: 
   |  KRACH |     1     2     3     4     5     6     7     8     9    10    11    12 |Avg Rk |AvgPts
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Qu | 1010.3 |  [B]99.2[/B]   0.8   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x |  1.01 | 37.73
Ha |  471.5 |   0.5  [B]64.9[/B]  21.7   8.8   3.2   0.9   0.1   0.0   0.0     x     x     x |  2.52 | 30.39
Ya |  303.5 |   0.1  14.1  [B]26.3[/B]  25.0  19.5  12.4   2.2   0.4   0.0   0.0   0.0     x |  3.98 | 27.12
RP |  218.2 |   0.2  13.1  [B]24.8[/B]  24.4  20.3  14.1   2.6   0.4   0.0   0.0   0.0     x |  4.06 | 27.08
Cr |  250.6 |   0.0   4.1  12.8  19.5  25.7  [B]29.5[/B]   6.8   1.3   0.2   0.0   0.0   0.0 |  4.91 | 25.33
Da |  195.2 |   0.0   3.0  14.1  21.0  26.9  [B]27.1[/B]   6.3   1.4   0.3   0.0   0.0   0.0 |  4.87 | 25.19
SL |  124.4 |   0.0   0.0   0.3   1.1   3.4  11.2  [B]50.6[/B]  22.4   8.0   2.3   0.5   0.1 |  7.25 | 19.82
Ck |  117.5 |     x   0.0   0.0   0.2   0.7   3.1  18.1  [B]36.1[/B]  24.0  11.6   4.7   1.4 |  8.39 | 17.62
Un |  122.2 |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.2   1.4   9.7  23.1  [B]30.8[/B]  19.1  10.5   5.1 |  9.08 | 16.02
Pr |   49.1 |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.2   2.5   8.9  19.0  [B]30.0[/B]  25.2  14.2 | 10.09 | 13.88
Cg |   49.4 |     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.9   4.5  12.7  24.1  [B]32.0[/B]  25.8 | 10.59 | 12.74
Br |   55.8 |     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.2   1.4   5.1  12.8  27.0  [B]53.5[/B] | 11.25 | 11.09

   |  KRACH |     6     7     8     9    10    11    12    13    14    15    16    17    18    19    20    21    22    23    24    25    26    27    28    29    30    31    32    33    34    35    36    37    38    39    40    41 |AvgPts
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Qu | 1010.3 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.7   1.8   3.7   7.4  11.6  16.9  18.9  [B]19.2[/B]  12.0   7.5 | 37.73
Ha |  471.5 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.6   1.5   3.0   5.9   9.0  13.5  15.5  [B]17.6[/B]  13.8  11.5   5.0   2.7     x     x     x     x     x     x | 30.39
Ya |  303.5 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.2   0.5   1.2   2.4   4.7   7.1  10.9  12.8  [B]15.1[/B]  13.7  12.6   8.4   5.9   2.7   1.4   0.3   0.1     x     x     x     x     x     x | 27.12
RP |  218.2 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.2   0.5   1.2   2.7   4.6   8.0  10.4  13.9  14.0  [B]14.5[/B]  11.1   8.9   5.0   3.0   1.2   0.5   0.1   0.0     x     x     x     x     x | 27.08
Cr |  250.6 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.4   1.0   2.4   4.0   7.2   9.6  13.1  13.7  [B]14.7[/B]  11.8   9.9   5.9   3.8   1.5   0.7   0.1   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 25.33
Da |  195.2 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.2   0.5   1.1   2.6   4.4   7.6  10.0  13.5  13.8  [B]14.6[/B]  11.5   9.3   5.5   3.4   1.3   0.6   0.1   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 25.19
SL |  124.4 |     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.1   0.6   1.3   3.3   5.3   9.3  11.4  [B]14.7[/B]  14.0  13.6  10.1   7.6   4.4   2.5   1.1   0.5   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 19.82
Ck |  117.5 |     x     x     x   0.0   0.1   0.7   1.5   3.8   5.9   9.9  12.0  [B]15.0[/B]  13.9  13.1   9.5   7.0   3.9   2.2   0.9   0.4   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 17.62
Un |  122.2 |     x   0.0   0.1   0.5   1.1   2.9   4.8   8.6  10.8  [B]14.2[/B]  13.9  14.1  10.7   8.4   4.9   2.9   1.3   0.6   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 16.02
Pr |   49.1 |     x     x   1.0   2.1   5.9   8.6  13.5  14.5  [B]15.7[/B]  13.0  10.6   6.9   4.4   2.2   1.1   0.4   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 13.88
Cg |   49.4 |     x     x   2.4   4.4  10.7  13.3  [B]17.6[/B]  15.8  14.1   9.5   6.3   3.3   1.6   0.6   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 12.74
Br |   55.8 |   1.8   3.4   9.0  11.8  [B]16.6[/B]  15.7  15.2  10.9   7.7   4.2   2.3   1.0   0.4   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 11.09
[b]Bold[/b] is each team's most likely outcome.
0.0 means the outcome occurred, but fewer than 500 times.
x means the outcome never occurred.

Playoff Matchups:
Code: 
   |    Qu    Ha    Ya    RP    Cr    Da    SL    Ck    Un    Pr    Cg    Br |   BYE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Qu |           x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0     x   0.0   0.0   0.0 | 100.0
Ha |     x           x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.3   0.7   1.1   2.0 |  95.8
Ya |     x     x         0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   1.2   2.8   6.7   9.6  14.1 |  65.5
RP |     x     x   0.0         0.0   0.0   0.1   1.3   3.5   7.3  10.3  14.9 |  62.5
Cr |     x     x   0.0   0.0         0.0   0.4   2.8   6.1  13.4  17.8  22.8 |  36.4
Da |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0         0.4   2.8   5.8  13.0  17.4  22.4 |  38.1
SL |     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0        12.2  19.9  23.0  19.8  12.7 |   1.4
Ck |     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.1   3.9        21.4  15.0  11.5   6.1 |   0.2
Un |     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.1   3.6  14.5         8.2   5.5   2.5 |   0.0
Pr |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   1.5   4.6   3.4         1.3   0.6 |   0.0
Cg |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.6   1.9   1.7   0.9         0.2 |   0.0
Br |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.2   0.5   0.5   0.2   0.3       |     0

Hosts on the left, visitors across the top.
 
Re: ECAC Projected Standings 2015-16

Interesting that IE puts the teams in italics above their place number instead of on the same line while Chrome does it correctly.
 
Re: ECAC Projected Standings 2015-16

Ralph Baer said:
Interesting that IE puts the teams in italics above their place number instead of on the same line while Chrome does it correctly.
Click to expand...

I'm curious as to what you mean. Can you post a screenshot? I run OS X, so I don't have IE to test it. I write and post in Firefox.
 
Re: ECAC Projected Standings 2015-16

lugnut92 said:
I'm curious as to what you mean. Can you post a screenshot? I run OS X, so I don't have IE to test it. I write and post in Firefox.
Click to expand...


It starts with

1. Quinnipiac
Harvard
2.
3. Yale

etc.
(Harvard is properly indented, just not on the correct line.)
 
Re: ECAC Projected Standings 2015-16

We head into the last month of the regular season with Quinnipiac still flying high above the league. Below the Bobcats are three teams fighting for two bye spots, as Dartmouth threatens to make the jump into the top four. Let's see how it plays out!

Simulated Final Standings (1,000,000 simulations of 10^22.42 possibilities):
  1. Quinnipiac
  2. Harvard
  3. RPI
  4. Yale
    —————
  5. Dartmouth
  6. SLU
  7. Cornell
  8. Clarkson
    —————
  9. Union
  10. Princeton
  11. Colgate
  12. Brown
Teams in italics have non-conference games remaining on their schedule.

Reminder: KRACH doesn't do ties. KRACH doesn't do prediction, it does retrodiction. KRACH cares not about your momentum, injuries, home-ice, etc. KRACH thinks you're exactly as good as your record.

Rank and Points breakdown:
Code: 
   |  KRACH |     1     2     3     4     5     6     7     8     9    10    11    12 |Avg Rk |AvgPts
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Qu | 1062.5 |  [B]99.7[/B]   0.3   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x |  1.00 | 38.27
Ha |  475.2 |   0.3  [B]78.2[/B]  15.0   4.9   1.3   0.3   0.1   0.0   0.0     x     x     x |  2.30 | 30.78
RP |  212.3 |   0.0   9.4  27.4  [B]29.0[/B]  21.4   8.2   3.4   1.1   0.1   0.0     x     x |  4.06 | 26.64
Ya |  277.6 |   0.0   8.9  [B]30.3[/B]  28.4  19.3   8.3   3.6   1.2   0.1   0.0     x     x |  4.04 | 26.39
Da |  201.1 |   0.0   2.8  22.6  25.2  [B]28.5[/B]  12.4   5.8   2.3   0.5   0.0     x     x |  4.54 | 25.42
SL |  143.0 |     x   0.2   2.3   5.9  13.5  [B]30.7[/B]  28.1  15.5   3.6   0.2   0.0     x |  6.37 | 22.11
Cr |  180.2 |     x   0.2   2.0   5.2  11.6  26.2  [B]29.3[/B]  18.5   6.6   0.4   0.0   0.0 |  6.59 | 21.77
Ck |  136.2 |     x   0.0   0.4   1.4   3.8  10.5  20.9  [B]39.1[/B]  21.1   2.6   0.2   0.0 |  7.65 | 19.99
Un |  135.4 |     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.6   3.3   8.4  20.2  [B]51.4[/B]  12.5   2.8   0.6 |  8.70 | 17.36
Pr |   49.4 |     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.4   2.0  11.6  [B]46.6[/B]  24.4  14.9 | 10.37 | 13.13
Cg |   45.4 |     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   3.3  21.5  35.1  [B]40.0[/B] | 11.12 | 11.30
Br |   54.3 |     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   1.8  16.2  37.4  [B]44.5[/B] | 11.24 | 10.85

   |  KRACH |     7     8     9    10    11    12    13    14    15    16    17    18    19    20    21    22    23    24    25    26    27    28    29    30    31    32    33    34    35    36    37    38    39    40    41 |AvgPts
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Qu | 1062.5 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.3   0.8   2.0   4.7   8.7  14.9  18.9  [B]22.5[/B]  15.9  11.3 | 38.27
Ha |  475.2 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.3   0.9   2.1   4.5   7.4  12.4  14.8  [B]18.5[/B]  15.1  13.9   6.3   3.8     x     x     x     x     x     x | 30.78
RP |  212.3 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.1   0.4   1.0   3.0   5.0   9.8  12.0  [B]16.6[/B]  14.9  15.3   9.7   7.2   3.0   1.6   0.3   0.1     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 26.64
Ya |  277.6 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.2   0.5   1.6   3.0   6.5   9.3  14.5  15.0  [B]17.4[/B]  12.5  10.7   4.9   3.0   0.7   0.3     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 26.39
Da |  201.1 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.2   0.6   1.8   3.3   6.8   9.2  13.9  14.2  [B]16.4[/B]  12.2  10.8   5.5   3.6   1.0   0.5     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 25.42
SL |  143.0 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.2   0.5   2.0   3.6   8.3  10.6  16.0  15.0  [B]16.1[/B]  11.1   8.8   4.3   2.4   0.8   0.3   0.1   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 22.11
Cr |  180.2 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.1   0.2   1.1   2.2   5.6   8.1  13.6  14.2  [B]17.1[/B]  13.2  11.7   6.4   4.1   1.5   0.7   0.1   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 21.77
Ck |  136.2 |     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.2   0.5   2.3   3.9   8.9  11.1  [B]16.3[/B]  15.0  15.8  10.6   8.2   3.9   2.2   0.7   0.3   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 19.99
Un |  135.4 |     x     x     x   0.1   0.4   1.6   3.0   7.2   9.6  15.1  14.8  [B]16.6[/B]  12.0   9.8   5.0   3.0   1.0   0.4   0.1   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 17.36
Pr |   49.4 |     x   1.7   3.1   8.9  11.1  [B]16.8[/B]  15.5  15.9  10.9   8.1   4.2   2.3   0.9   0.4   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 13.13
Cg |   45.4 |     x   7.2  10.1  [B]20.2[/B]  18.5  18.7  11.9   7.7   3.5   1.5   0.5   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 11.30
Br |   54.3 |   4.6   7.0  16.5  16.5  [B]20.0[/B]  14.1  11.0   5.6   3.0   1.1   0.4   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 10.85
[b]Bold[/b] is each team's most likely outcome.
0.0 means the outcome occurred, but fewer than 500 times.
x means the outcome never occurred.

Playoff Matchups:
Code: 
   |    Qu    Ha    RP    Ya    Da    SL    Cr    Ck    Un    Pr    Cg    Br |   BYE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Qu |           x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0     x     x | 100.0
Ha |     x           x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.3   0.6   0.6 |  98.4
RP |     x     x         0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   1.7   6.7  12.6  13.0 |  65.8
Ya |     x     x   0.0         0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   1.8   6.6  11.8  12.0 |  67.5
Da |     x     x   0.0   0.0         0.1   0.1   0.6   2.5  10.4  17.9  17.5 |  50.5
SL |     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0         0.7   3.4  14.3  24.5  22.1  22.7 |   8.4
Cr |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.6         4.9  15.3  23.9  20.4  20.6 |   7.4
Ck |     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   1.3   2.1        30.7  18.4  11.4  10.1 |   1.9
Un |     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.3   1.5   3.7  13.7         6.7   3.1   3.4 |   0.1
Pr |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.2   0.2   1.1   0.8         0.1   0.1 |   0.0
Cg |     x     x   0.0     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.0         0.0 |    NO
Br |     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.0   0.0       |    NO

Hosts on the left, visitors across the top.
 
Re: ECAC Projected Standings 2015-16

FlagDUDE08 said:
As far as I can tell, one point away from clinching home ice. Not sure they have the bye locked down, although I would be VERY surprised if they don't get it.
Click to expand...

I should let lugnut respond, but if I understand his table correctly, out of the 1,000,000 simulations which he ran, QU's lowest position was 5. Thus my comment. I realize that 1,000,000 is only a small sample, but ...
 
Re: ECAC Projected Standings 2015-16

Ralph Baer said:
I should let lugnut respond, but if I understand his table correctly, out of the 1,000,000 simulations which he ran, QU's lowest position was 5. Thus my comment. I realize that 1,000,000 is only a small sample, but ...
Click to expand...

It's 1,000,000 out of the large number of possibilities, meaning that's the lowest that came up. I did find a way to have QU in a tie for 8th with RPI, and by the head-to-head (thanks to that tie earlier in the season), QU ends up in 9th. Again, the odds of it happening are about as good as me becoming President of the United States, but it's still possible.
 
Re: ECAC Projected Standings 2015-16

Ralph Baer said:
I should let lugnut respond, but if I understand his table correctly, out of the 1,000,000 simulations which he ran, QU's lowest position was 5. Thus my comment. I realize that 1,000,000 is only a small sample, but ...
Click to expand...

This is right. Like Flag said, Quinnipiac certainly could end up toward the bottom of the standings, but it's incredibly unlikely.
 
FlagDUDE08 said:
It's 1,000,000 out of the large number of possibilities, meaning that's the lowest that came up. I did find a way to have QU in a tie for 8th with RPI, and by the head-to-head (thanks to that tie earlier in the season), QU ends up in 9th. Again, the odds of it happening are about as good as me becoming President of the United States, but it's still possible.
Click to expand...
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