Re: ECAC Playoffs
A few thoughts on the ECAC playoff possibilities for NCAAs --
-- RPI is right on the cusp of finishing the year with a .500 RPI (ratings percentage index
). If RPI gets swept, I think they fall out. This is good news for Harvard 0-2 vs. RPI, bad news for Cornell 2-0 vs. RPI. Harvard's record against such opponents would improve to 7-3-4. Cornell's would fall to 3-8-4.
But Cornell probably has to win the ECAC autobid anyway. Their 1-6 nonconference record (all teams with RPI > .500) means they lose every comparison to other bubble teams, even if they finish with a top RPI.
-- Harvard, UNH, and Clarkson are in contention for the last home ice quarterfinal. It may be possible for Harvard to lose to Clarkson in the ECAC semis and still hold on to 4th, but of course that'd require neither UNH or Clarkson winning their conference titles.
Anyway, I hope at least one of those teams really WINS the last home ice spot rather than backing into it, and having it be decided by games from before Christmas. Looks like Clarkson finally showed up last night.
One other random thought. Harvard played all 7 of its nonconference games at home this year, going 5-0-2. They then went 6-3-2 on the road in ECAC play, their six wins coming against the teams that finished 7th through 12th in the league.
-- There's some chance the ECAC could get 4 teams in NCAAs. It'd take Cornell winning the league, UNH winning Hockey East, Minnesota or UMD winning the WCHA, and Quinnipiac finishing ahead of Connecticut and Providence in the PWR. UConn would have to lose to Northeastern, and in that scenario Quinnipiac probably beats RPI and then loses to Cornell. Quinnipiac I think then wins the comparison with UConn by a hair. This is not a farfetched scenario.
-- The ECAC is guaranteed at least two teams in NCAAs. Clarkson and Harvard did so well against Hockey East there's no way they can fall behind those teams. The only way Clarkson doesn't make NCAAs is if there are upsets in all three conferences.