#12 Clarkson @ # 5 SLU
#11 Brown @ #6 RPI
#10 Dartmouth @ #7 Quinnipiac
#9 Harvard @ #8 Princeton
Seems like we (yes, I'm guilty, too!) do this every year. It's tough to predict who's going to win, so we all like to pick series to go 2-1. The reality is that even with two perfectly evenly matched teams, there's still a 50% chance that the series will be over in 2 games (i.e. that the game 1 winner also wins the second game), and any mismatch at all just increases the chance of a sweep above 50%. It seems like there are relatively few game 3's each year, which would back up this reasoning - anyone out there have time to check the stats? You'd think we'd learn...With 12 contestants early returns are:
Dartmouth 2-0
(I dont really like Quinnipiac)
Seems like we (yes, I'm guilty, too!) do this every year. It's tough to predict who's going to win, so we all like to pick series to go 2-1. The reality is that even with two perfectly evenly matched teams, there's still a 50% chance that the series will be over in 2 games (i.e. that the game 1 winner also wins the second game), and any mismatch at all just increases the chance of a sweep above 50%. It seems like there are relatively few game 3's each year, which would back up this reasoning - anyone out there have time to check the stats? You'd think we'd learn...
#12 Clarkson @ # 5 SLU
#11 Brown @ #6 RPI
#10 Dartmouth @ #7 Quinnipiac
#9 Harvard @ #8 Princeton
Seems like we (yes, I'm guilty, too!) do this every year. It's tough to predict who's going to win, so we all like to pick series to go 2-1. The reality is that even with two perfectly evenly matched teams, there's still a 50% chance that the series will be over in 2 games (i.e. that the game 1 winner also wins the second game), and any mismatch at all just increases the chance of a sweep above 50%. It seems like there are relatively few game 3's each year, which would back up this reasoning - anyone out there have time to check the stats? You'd think we'd learn...