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COVID-19 The 7th Part: We're Gonna Be Number One Soon!

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Re: COVID-19 The 7th Part: We're Gonna Be Number One Soon!

dxmnkd316 said:
I don’t think we’re seeing the same thing.

There hasn’t been a sharp drop in ..

Oh wait, are you saying the IHME models are assuming Gaussian still? Like, in the face of almost universal proof to the contrary? Jeebus.
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Sorry, should have been more clear. Overestimating the decline, not overestimating in general.

And yeah, I think their original models put too much stock in China/Iran appearing to be able to squash the virus (but who knows the real numbers out of there) and South Korea being able to contain it to a degree (cultural and governmental differences in action, here). I think some of the weirdness comes from trying to update the model in real time without changing their early (seemingly incorrect) assumptions about the tail end.
 
Re: COVID-19 The 7th Part: We're Gonna Be Number One Soon!

jflory81 said:
Sorry, should have been more clear. Overestimating the decline, not overestimating in general.

And yeah, I think their original models put too much stock in China/Iran appearing to be able to squash the virus (but who knows the real numbers out of there) and South Korea being able to contain it to a degree (cultural and governmental differences in action, here). I think some of the weirdness comes from trying to update the model in real time without changing their early (seemingly incorrect) assumptions about the tail end.
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Bingo on SK.
 
Re: COVID-19 The 7th Part: We're Gonna Be Number One Soon!

So the anti-body tests that have been rumored to be ramping up because they're quicker?

https://www.cnn.com/2020/04/14/health/coronavirus-antibody-tests-scientists/index.html

Whoops.

First, the US Food and Drug Administration relaxed its rules, and now companies can sell antibody tests without submitting validation data that shows they actually work.
The American Public Health Lab Association says that has resulted in "crappy" tests flooding the market.
"It's like the wild, wild West out there -- or wild East," said association CEO Scott Becker, a reference to the fact that at least half the companies making these tests are in China.

...

The tests would then end up telling people they had antibodies to the pandemic coronavirus when they didn't, and people might think they're immune when they're not.

...

Second, there are good tests in the midst of the bad ones, but they're not yet widely and easily available throughout the country.

Third, it's not entirely clear that having antibodies to Covid-19 means that you truly have immunity and won't get the disease again.
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Re: COVID-19 The 7th Part: We're Gonna Be Number One Soon!

aparch said:
So the anti-body tests that have been rumored to be ramping up because they're quicker?

https://www.cnn.com/2020/04/14/health/coronavirus-antibody-tests-scientists/index.html

Whoops.
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Just imagine how many Americans that bloated orange tard is going to harm before this is all over.

Historians will have their way with him and his voters' kids will deny knowing their parents, but the pain is now. The sooner Zeus or Huītzilōpōchtli or whoever's in charge has had enough of the POS, the better.
 
Re: COVID-19 The 7th Part: We're Gonna Be Number One Soon!

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">The CNN anchor said she felt like she was wrung through a washing machine. <a href="https://t.co/c9z7yPMPfv">https://t.co/c9z7yPMPfv</a></p>— HuffPost (@HuffPost) <a href="https://twitter.com/HuffPost/status/1250291380049416194?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">April 15, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
 
dxmnkd316 said:
Wait, holy crap, if NY added another 3,800 that means somewhere in the neighborhood of 755 deaths per 1MM. That’s just crazy to think about. Almost one in a thousand New Yorkers died from this in a month. And we aren’t even close to being done with the first wave.
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Relax, its just the flu.
 
Re: COVID-19 The 7th Part: We're Gonna Be Number One Soon!

Still can't get tested. He called it a hoax at his last rally.

This is ****ing bs.
 
Re: COVID-19 The 7th Part: We're Gonna Be Number One Soon!

ScoobyDoo said:
Still can't get tested. He called it a hoax at his last rally.

This is ****ing bs.
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Wait- is dumpy holding rallies with people in attendance??? I'm in 110% approval of that. Lets see more and more of those events all over the country. Pack the house!!!!
 
alfablue said:
Wait- is dumpy holding rallies with people in attendance??? I'm in 110% approval of that. Lets see more and more of those events all over the country. Pack the house!!!!
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No, he's canceled them. His daily Coronavirus update has turned into his rallies.
 
This is COVID-19, not COVID-1 folks...

...

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Kellyanne Conway: "This is COVID-19, not COVID-1 folks, and so you would think the people in charge of the World Health Organization, facts and figures, would be on top of that." <a href="https://t.co/losQ3H4ZhW">pic.twitter.com/losQ3H4ZhW</a></p>— Bobby Lewis (@revrrlewis) <a href="https://twitter.com/revrrlewis/status/1250395628305362944?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">April 15, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
 
Re: COVID-19 The 7th Part: We're Gonna Be Number One Soon!

aparch said:
No, he's canceled them. His daily Coronavirus update has turned into his rallies.
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Be bold- prove it's a hoax, and pack stadiums with your supporters, dumpy. I'm sure Faux news would be more than happy to cover them.

And make sure there is plenty of yelling.
 
Re: COVID-19 The 7th Part: We're Gonna Be Number One Soon!

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">👀 Trump advisers are trying to persuade "prominent figures" to let themselves be thrown under the bus for the potential deaths of tens of thousands. <a href="https://t.co/QUNxSG4aDn">https://t.co/QUNxSG4aDn</a> <a href="https://t.co/B1zphifstO">pic.twitter.com/B1zphifstO</a></p>— Taniel (@Taniel) <a href="https://twitter.com/Taniel/status/1250264535757438976?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">April 15, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
 
Re: COVID-19 The 7th Part: We're Gonna Be Number One Soon!

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Illinois governor didn't want the US government to seize the masks and gloves he was buying to protect his state, so he has kept the details secret about the shipments from China<a href="https://t.co/h2VbnLBb4u">https://t.co/h2VbnLBb4u</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/Suntimes?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@Suntimes</a></p>— David Beard (@dabeard) <a href="https://twitter.com/dabeard/status/1250378083552710656?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">April 15, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
 
dxmnkd316 said:
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Illinois governor didn't want the US government to seize the masks and gloves he was buying to protect his state, so he has kept the details secret about the shipments from China<a href="https://t.co/h2VbnLBb4u">https://t.co/h2VbnLBb4u</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/Suntimes?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@Suntimes</a></p>— David Beard (@dabeard) <a href="https://twitter.com/dabeard/status/1250378083552710656?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">April 15, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
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I love my Governor.
 
Re: COVID-19 The 7th Part: We're Gonna Be Number One Soon!

aparch said:
This is COVID-19, not COVID-1 folks...

...

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Kellyanne Conway: "This is COVID-19, not COVID-1 folks, and so you would think the people in charge of the World Health Organization, facts and figures, would be on top of that." <a href="https://t.co/losQ3H4ZhW">pic.twitter.com/losQ3H4ZhW</a></p>— Bobby Lewis (@revrrlewis) <a href="https://twitter.com/revrrlewis/status/1250395628305362944?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">April 15, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
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Jesus I thought people were joking when that was floating out there the other day...
 
Re: COVID-19 The 7th Part: We're Gonna Be Number One Soon!

dxmnkd316 said:
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Illinois governor didn't want the US government to seize the masks and gloves he was buying to protect his state, so he has kept the details secret about the shipments from China<a href="https://t.co/h2VbnLBb4u">https://t.co/h2VbnLBb4u</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/Suntimes?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@Suntimes</a></p>— David Beard (@dabeard) <a href="https://twitter.com/dabeard/status/1250378083552710656?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">April 15, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
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Good lord...
 
Re: COVID-19 The 7th Part: We're Gonna Be Number One Soon!

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">“Leaked CDC and FEMA plan warns of ‘significant risk of resurgence of the virus’ with phased reopening” <a href="https://t.co/SXO90HHUTe">https://t.co/SXO90HHUTe</a></p>— Rachel Maddow MSNBC (@maddow) <a href="https://twitter.com/maddow/status/1250430704938188801?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">April 15, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
 
Re: COVID-19 The 7th Part: We're Gonna Be Number One Soon!

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">NEW POLL: 81 percent of voters say keep social distancing despite damage to economy <a href="https://t.co/2w3yfQ5ahb">https://t.co/2w3yfQ5ahb</a> <a href="https://t.co/EaMADbTGO0">pic.twitter.com/EaMADbTGO0</a></p>— The Hill (@thehill) <a href="https://twitter.com/thehill/status/1250420880187854850?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">April 15, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
 
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