Spike in Brent Crude overnight. It scraped up near $120 at one point.
An sober seeming economist on AJ said $150 by end of month and $200 before this is over. That would be bad, m'kay?
Over on TikTok, Mr Global pointed out some great reasoning why there are issues with the reporting of the oil markets.
We're all aware that the markets are paper. Nothing actually gets traded despite "trading," its all speculative guessing.
With that said, current various oil markets around the world are trading at around $130/bbl (Dubai, Arab light, Kuwaiti, etc.) but some of that oil is trapped on a boat right now in the Strait of Hormuz. So the physical cost is slightly higher than the paper markets, adding up to $30/bbl more. So around $160/bbl.
But ours is currently trading at $90/bbl (spiking as you pointed out to $120/bbl overnight) which is damn cheap compared to paper $130/bbl or actual $160/bbl. And once the outside markets swoop in and start buying our "cheaper" oil, the price is going to start to equal.
The *other* tipping point Mr. Global has pointed out is that due to the reduction of tankers in the strait, we're approaching maximum capacity of storage in the Middle East. Production will start to slow soon if storage space, and the strait, don't resume full flow.
Which will cause the price per barrel to jump again.