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NY FED: Percentage of households who think their financial situation will be better off over the next year: Matches a two-year low. @nicktimiraos.bsky.social https://www.newyorkfed.org/microeconomics/sce#/
bsky.app
Interesting things to note (and I commented the same on B'sky) on that chart. And yes I know this is nothing more than gas bubbles passing as gut feelings...
- Quite the plateau in financial feel by households during the first Trump administration.
- Despite a bump after the Covid drop, the feeling again plateaus under Trump 1.
- The feeling of "Yay! We can go out again!" has cold water quickly thrown on it when inflation catches up with a year and a half of nothing.
- Things improve under Biden on the back end of his tenure, including a big spike when Kamala appears to be the winner.
- Holy hell that drop when Kamala doesn't win.
A reporter asked why a bailout was necessary if things were going so well. The answer was that this was a "bridge" to tide them over to next year when the economy really picks up.
It seems they're learning from Jacob Rees-Mogg, who famously said it might take 10 years or more for England to realize the financial benefits of Brexit. "Two weeks" just won't cut it anymore.
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