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Boring 2018 Bracketology Thread - Here we go again...

Re: Boring 2018 Bracketology Thread - Here we go again...

Again, in order:
1- UMD lose: Minnesota is in, BC is out. UMD tie, UMD is in, and BC is out. UMD win, UMD is in.
2- Princeton win: Princeton is in, and UND/BC are out. Clarkson win: UMD/Minn is in.
3- BU wins: BU in, and either UND/BC are out (if not already), or UMD/Minn is out. Prov/NE wins: UMD/Minn is in (if not already) or UND/BC are still alive.
In the event that UND/BC are still alive at this point, revert to 1. A UND w/t there puts UND in and BC out.
4- If the last spot is yet to be decided, then NMU=BC and MTU=UND
 
Re: Boring 2018 Bracketology Thread - Here we go again...

One further comment:
Tomorrow afternoon's UND v UMD game, the NCHC conso game, has A LOT of meaning. I'm not sure I can remember a year where it was BOTH teams with huge motivation to win that one.

Should be good for the fans who go this way.
 
Re: Boring 2018 Bracketology Thread - Here we go again...

Numbers said:
One further comment:
Tomorrow afternoon's UND v UMD game, the NCHC conso game, has A LOT of meaning. I'm not sure I can remember a year where it was BOTH teams with huge motivation to win that one.

Should be good for the fans who go this way.
Click to expand...

Actually, both teams should meet before hand. A draw is the most-beneficial result. Minnesota Duluth clinches a spot, and North Dakota doesn't have to worry about the WCHA Final. We could have a repeat of the 1986 World Cup...both teams just passing it back to each other in the neutral zone for 65 minutes. :p:D:D
 
Re: Boring 2018 Bracketology Thread - Here we go again...

Fighting Sioux 23 said:
Actually, both teams should meet before hand. A draw is the most-beneficial result. Minnesota Duluth clinches a spot, and North Dakota doesn't have to worry about the WCHA Final. We could have a repeat of the 1986 World Cup...both teams just passing it back to each other in the neutral zone for 65 minutes. :p:D:D
Click to expand...

1982 World Cup ;) West Germany vs Austria
 
Re: Boring 2018 Bracketology Thread - Here we go again...

Providence just tied the Hockey East semifinal with 1:51 remaining in regulation. This could be a while. BU is hoping for multiple overtimes. BC and North Dakota aren't.
 
Re: Boring 2018 Bracketology Thread - Here we go again...

Correct me if I'm wrong, but this seems to be solid:

St Cloud vs RMU/AFA
ND/OSU winner vs NMU/MTU winner in Allentown
Penn State the 3 Allentown
Notre Dame and Cornell 1 seeds
Mankato and Providence 2 seeds
Clarkson and Northeastern 3 seeds
 
Re: Boring 2018 Bracketology Thread - Here we go again...

ticapnews said:
Correct me if I'm wrong, but this seems to be solid:

St Cloud vs RMU/AFA
ND/OSU winner vs NMU/MTU winner in Allentown
Penn State the 3 Allentown
Notre Dame and Cornell 1 seeds
Mankato and Providence 2 seeds
Clarkson and Northeastern 3 seeds
Click to expand...

Clarkson can still go to a #2 seed

SCSU - #1 overall and will play the RMU/AFA winner
Cornell - #2 or 3 overall and will play in W'Cester or B'port
NoDame - #2 or #4 overall
OSU/Den - 4, 5, or 6....
B10 winner will play in Allentown, but might get Princeton if PU makes it, because they can't play Cornell, and you might have BU or BC in as the other #4.
Last #1 - NoDame, or Den, will play in the far east.

#1/2s: OSU, Den
#2s: Mankato, Providence
2/3: Clarkson, Mich, PSU, NE
2/3/4: UMD
3/4: Minn
#4s: UND, BC and the autobids
 
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Re: Boring 2018 Bracketology Thread - Here we go again...

I read the wrong line for Clarkson. They're a 3 seed if they lose, a 2 seed if they win.

Yeah, Princeton could go to Allentown...bonus for the NCAA is that it's only 90 miles so the Tigers wouldn't have to fly.
 
Re: Boring 2018 Bracketology Thread - Here we go again...

And, actually, in respect to Jim Dahl....

I can't find a way to get UMD as high as he does, if they lose tomorrow. They keep coming out 13th, no matter what I try.

Never mind. There is the "tie" possibility, which means 0 wins.
 
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Re: Boring 2018 Bracketology Thread - Here we go again...

Go BU or Princeton keep North Dakota out i dont want to drive to Sioux Falls.
 
Numbers said:
And, actually, in respect to Jim Dahl....

I can't find a way to get UMD as high as he does, if they lose tomorrow. They keep coming out 13th, no matter what I try.

Never mind. There is the "tie" possibility, which means 0 wins.
Click to expand...

Yep, I throw that infernal tie in with a loss as 0 wins. All my record keeping is in big matrices by number of wins and I've never felt it worth rewriting to accommodate this weird scenario.

Anyway, here's what I came up with on what each team needs. Unlike the forecast itself, this was a manual exercise quite prone to error, so please point out any mistakes!

https://blog.collegehockeyranked.com/2018/03/17/who-can-make-the-ncaas-saturday-morning-outlook/
 
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Re: Boring 2018 Bracketology Thread - Here we go again...

ticapnews said:
The NCHC nightmare scenario.
http://pwp.uscho.com/rankings/pairwise-predictor/?uniq=pwp_5aacc93be4a44
Click to expand...

Following Jim, above, that actually goes like this:
UND wins
BU wins
Princeton win
(The ECAC and HE results narrow the window to one more berth)
(UND winning puts Minnesota in the drivers seat over UMD)
And, one of the following comes in:
SCSU
OSU
RMU
NMU
win, which puts UMTC ahead of UMD in RPI.

That is actually not far fetched at all. Basically, 3 games - NCHC conso, ECAC and HE, or a 1/8 chance, and then, if that chance comes in, 15/16 chance because of all the possibilities after that.
 
Re: Boring 2018 Bracketology Thread - Here we go again...

Lacking a way to compare after today's games, but the current KRACH is interesting:
Top 5 as in PWR. Mankato alone at 6. Minnesota higher (9), but that's the worst discrepancy, and surely is a result of losing 4 straight to PSU.
It would be NOrtheastern and NoDak on the bubble there, with BC no chance, really.
But a very good chance it would give the same field.
 
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