Re: Average Men's Attendance
I haven’t updated my men’s home attendance spreadsheet, but over on the BU thread there is currently a discussion about attendance at the Hockey East opening round games. I think it is a good idea to move the discussion into this thread, as I think it is more appropriate for such a discussion.
I have all Hockey East opening round and quarterfinal game attendance from 2002 up to today. I have also been compiling true home games game-by-game attendance of all Hockey East teams and currently have complete information back to the 2001-02 season for all teams and I am able to compare each team’s regular season average attendance with their playoff average attendance. As most of the discussion on the BU thread has been about the opening round I will focus on those games in this post.
This past weekend completed the fifth season Hockey East has had an opening round and the third in which it has been a best of three series. Most people forget Hockey East had an opening round 8 vs 9 game back in 1995, the first season Massachusetts was in the league. In that game Massachusetts upset Boston College before just 723 fans. When Hockey East brought back the opening round in 2014 it was single elimination and the three games had the best average attendance for the opening round, 3,841 per game. Since then the average attendance for the opening round games has decreased each year: 3,065 in 2015, 2,406 in 2016 and 2,266 this year.
However, looking deeper at the opening round shows a more complicated story. Since 2014 nine of the 12 teams in the league have hosted at least one opening round game/series. Both Northeastern and Vermont have hosted three times, Merrimack and Notre Dame have hosted twice, while Boston University, Connecticut, Maine, New Hampshire and Providence have hosted once each.
Of the 2 teams that have hosted 3 times we see different attendance patterns. For Northeastern, which has hosted for three consecutive seasons, attendance has been very poor. In 2015 they had a 2 game average of 1,673, a 40% (1,117) drop from their regular season average of 2,790. In 2016 they had a 2 game average of 1,261, a 52.1% (1,370) drop their regular season average of 2,630 and down 24.6% (412) from the playoff attendance the previous year. This year they had a 2 game average of 1,276, down 45.1% (1,049) from their regular season average, but up a tick from the playoff attendance last year.
For Vermont, which hosted in 2014 and 2015 before hosting again this year, attendance dipped, then improved. In 2014 Vermont hosted a single game which had an attendance of 2,823, a drop of 24% (892) from their regular season average of 3,715. In 2015 they had a 3 game average of 2,663, a drop of 33.2% (1,323), but only down 5.6% (160) from the playoff average the previous year. This year, after hosting no playoff games in 2016, Vermont’s 2 game average was 3,228, a drop of 12.4% (456) from their regular season average and an increase of 21.2% (565) from their playoff average of 2015 and an increase of 14.3% (405) from their playoff average of 2014.
Of the two which hosted twice Notre Dame had a sellout of 5,022 for the single elimination game in 2014, an increase of 4.5% (216) from their regular season average of 4,806. In 2015 they didn’t do as well, with a 3 game average of 3,884, down 15% (684) from their regular season average of 4,568. That average is only 1.6% (65) less than their 2016 2 game quarterfinal average of 3,949 and had a smaller drop from the regular season attendance (-15% (-684) vs -18.4% (-889)). And the average for the first two games of the 2015 opening round was 4,141, better than the 2016 quarterfinal round, before the poor attendance for the third game of the series (the lowest of any game that season) brought it down.
The other team to host twice, Merrimack, has seen their playoff attendance improve from 2016 to this year. In 2016 their 3 game average was 2,282, a drop of 3.8% (91) from their regular season average of 2,373. This year their 3 game average was 2,416, an increase of 4.3% (100) from their regular season average of 2,316.
Of the five teams to host an opening round just once only Boston University’s can be considered a complete disaster. Their 2016 2 game average was 1,835, a 60.8% (2,841) drop from their regular season average of 4,676. It was also their lowest playoff average since the 2002 quarterfinals hosted at Walter Brown Arena and they also had the lowest single playoff game attendance since then.
Connecticut, which also hosted in 2015, had what can be considered good attendance, with a 2 game average of 4,309. This was down -17.7% (930) from their regular season average of 5,238.
Maine, who hosted in 2014, had 3,678 for a single game. It was down 10.7% from their regular season average of 4,120. That was less than the 4,188 3 game average they had for the 2012 quarterfinals, but better than the 3,182 2 game average they had for the 2010 quarterfinals (and which was down 30.8% (1,389) from the 2009-10 regular season average of 4,510).
New Hampshire hosted in 2015 and had a 2 game average of 3,834. It was a drop of 26.5% (1,379) from their regular season average of 5,213. It was, however, better than their previous two quarterfinal series in 2014 and 2011. The previous year (2014) the 3 game quarterfinal average was 3,077, down 42.1% (2,235) from their regular season average of 5,312 and the 2011 2 game quarterfinal series average was 3,093, a drop of 48.7% (2,939) from their regular season average of 6,032. The 2015 opening round average was up 24.6% (757) over the 2014 quarterfinals and up 24% (741) over the 2011 quarterfinals.
Finally, Providence hosted an opening round series for the first time this year. The 2 game average attendance was 2,069, down 18.9% (483) from their regular season average of 2,552. It was also down 26.3% (740) from last year’s 2 game quarterfinal average of 2,809. It was better than their 2015 3 game quarterfinal average of 1,702 and on par with their 2014 2 game quarterfinal series average of 2,131 and their 2 game quarterfinal series average of 2,010.
Furthermore, the 2014 opening round 3 game average of 3,841 was better than the quarterfinal 11 game average of 3,421. It was also better than the quarterfinal averages back to 2007. The 2015 opening round 10 game average of 2,791 was again better than the quarterfinal 11 game average of 2,791 (the only quarterfinal average below 3,000 since 2002).
For complete regular season, playoff and overall attendance averages for every Hockey East team from 2001-to date you can view my
Hockey East Playoff Attendance spreadsheet. It lists each team's regular season attendance average, their playoff average if they hosted a series and their overall season average. It also shows how much the playoff attendance decreased or, on occasion, increased from the regular season attendance. It also shows the overall league averages for each season.
Sean