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2026 Bracketology: The Road to the Aud

I can concede that SNC has enough "bad" losses (Eau Claire, Olaf, CUW) that they deserve to be behind some teams with weaker schedules (like Salve).

The Adrian/Utica comparison is the one I can't get over.

Adrian has losses to #7 Aurora (x5...ok maybe that is the problem) and #17 Trine (x2).

Utica has losses to #10 Adrian (x2), #1 Hobart (x2), #2 Hamilton, #13 Geneseo (x2).

Same number of losses. Similar "quality" of losses.

Adrian has two more wins than Utica (including two wins over Utica). Both teams have one tie against top 20 teams (Adrian's tie is "higher quality" but that is splitting hairs).

Both teams have taken care of business elsewhere.

Utica will probably be in regardless, while Adrian's season is probably over.
Looking over their profiles, one thing that stands out is that Adrian has played 16 games against teams outside the NPI top 50.
 
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