robertearle
Well-known member
As Zed said, the winner of the CHA tournament gets an auto-bid to the NCAA tournament. As far as an at-large bid, right now PSU is at #9 which is a "bubble" spot for an at-large bid given that 11 teams make the tournament and both the CHA & NEWHA tournament winners get auto-bids. So I'd say that PSU does need to win the CHA tournament to make the NCAA tournament, because if they lose in the CHA tournament, their pairwise ranking will probably drop.
That's probably right. But keep in mind that Clarkson (and maybe Vermont, but they're a ways back, so may not figure into the discussion) also likely has a tournament loss coming. So it might depend on how 'early' the losses come, and to whom. That is - with NEWHA team as #11 - If Clarkson loses early in the ECAC tournament and then PSU loses, it's still possible that 'upset winner of CHA' gets #10, and Penn State edges out Clarkson for the #9 slot. It is really close right now which of Clarkson vs Penn State would get it.
(And this is fun: how close? Well, the NPI chart at the USCHO web site shows Penn State with a better NPI than Clarkson, but the team-by-team comparisons under the Pairwise table shows Clarkson winning the comparison over Penn State because of a better NPI! One of them has to be wrong. We just don't know which.)