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2018 Pairwise Predictor

TonyTheTiger20

TonyTheTiger20

#SOAR
IT'S THAT TIME OF YEAR!

My annual Pairwise predictor is live. Instructions are self-explanatory, but basically input results in the drop downs and it will spit out the resulting Pairwise rankings.

Let me know if you have any questions or any other bug reports. And also, any interesting scenarios you can find.

NOTE THAT IT'S A HUGE FILE IT WILL SOMETIMES TAKE 5 SECONDS OR SO TO UPDATE THE NEXT ROUNDS WITH THE RESULTS YOU ENTERED. It will also not include the autobids until all results are entered.

Enjoy!

https://www.bcinterruption.com/bost...nsin-boston-college-clarkson-colgate-pairwise

<a href="https://www.bcinterruption.com/boston-college-bc-eagles-womens-hockey/2018/2/18/17016236/ncaa-womens-hockey-tournament-bracket-frozen-four-wisconsin-boston-college-clarkson-colgate-pairwise">
<img src="https://i.imgur.com/BlzhlCf.png" alt="Click here to go to the Predictor!" width="750" height="750">
</a>
 
Re: 2018 Pairwise Predictor

TonyTheTiger20 said:
IT'S THAT TIME OF YEAR!

My annual Pairwise predictor is live. Instructions are self-explanatory, but basically input results in the drop downs and it will spit out the resulting Pairwise rankings.

Let me know if you have any questions or any other bug reports. And also, any interesting scenarios you can find.

NOTE THAT IT'S A HUGE FILE IT WILL SOMETIMES TAKE 5 SECONDS OR SO TO UPDATE THE NEXT ROUNDS WITH THE RESULTS YOU ENTERED. It will also not include the autobids until all results are entered.

Enjoy!
Click to expand...

Great job, as usual.

I can come VERY close to getting St Lawrence in and Minnesota out with St Lawrence beating Clarkson in the ECAC semi-final (and BC winning and Wisconsin winning, etc.) without having to have Minnesota drop a game to St Cloud. But can't find the last .0003 or .0005 or .0007 to get them over the hump. So I guess I need two well-placed upsets.
 
Re: 2018 Pairwise Predictor

I have yet to come up with any scenario where todays Top 4 (Wisco, BC, CCT and Colgate) remain the top 4 in some order. Even when BC, CCT and Colgate lose their opening round series in 2 games, Ohio State wins all their matchups, including beating Minny and Wisco for the WCHA title and the 8th place finisher in HE (UVM) and in the ECAC (Yale) win the tourneys. Ohio State still cannot get into a top 4 pairwise slot.
 
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Re: 2018 Pairwise Predictor

robertearle said:
Great job, as usual.
Click to expand...
Thank you sir

robertearle said:
Great job, as usual.
Click to expand...
I can come VERY close to getting St Lawrence in and Minnesota out with St Lawrence beating Clarkson in the ECAC semi-final (and BC winning and Wisconsin winning, etc.) without having to have Minnesota drop a game to St Cloud. But can't find the last .0003 or .0005 or .0007 to get them over the hump. So I guess I need two well-placed upsets.[/QUOTE]I feel like I saw a scenario that had SLU in but I don't remember if it had UM losing to St. Cloud or not. Usually when you can get to those last few ten-thousandths, though, there's something there that'll do it. Try giving Holy Cross the NEWHA win? They played Harvard so that might marginally help SLU.

Interestingly, St. Lawrence actually holds the Common Opponents comparison on Minnesota 2.500 to 2.000 -- I originally thought that the committee might consider kicking out the Gophers in favor of SLU if the RPI was a virtual tie, but there's no way they would do that with the Gophers also having the CoOpp advantage.

vicb said:
I have yet to come up with any scenario where todays Top 4 (Wisco, BC, CCT and Colgate) remain the top 4 in some order. Even when BC, CCT and Colgate lose their opening round series in 2 games, Ohio State wins all their matchups, including beating Minny and Wisco for the WCHA title and the 8th place finisher in HE (UVM) and in the ECAC (Yale) win the tourneys. Ohio State still cannot get into a top 4 pairwise slot.
Click to expand...
Yeah I believe that's accurate.
 
Re: 2018 Pairwise Predictor

The Pairwise Predictor is updated so that all the completed games will default to what actually happened, which will cut down a ton on the number of selections you need to make.

One thing that appears true is that even though BC is currently #2 in the Pairwise, the Eagles have no shot at the #2 seed unless SLU or Cornell win the ECAC. If Colgate or Clarkson win, they'll be the 2 seed.
 
Re: 2018 Pairwise Predictor

TonyTheTiger20 said:
The Pairwise Predictor is updated so that all the completed games will default to what actually happened, which will cut down a ton on the number of selections you need to make.

One thing that appears true is that even though BC is currently #2 in the Pairwise, the Eagles have no shot at the #2 seed unless SLU or Cornell win the ECAC. If Colgate or Clarkson win, they'll be the 2 seed.
Click to expand...


I was playing with the predictor previously and I saw that.


LETS GO TECH !!!! :)
 
Re: 2018 Pairwise Predictor

It looks like the only scenario in which Minnesota doesn't end up at #7 is if they win the WCHA tournament, in which case they can climb as high as #5. So, their own results are irrelevant at this point towards securing an at large bid. If BC wins Hockey East and St Lawrence does not win the ECAC, they're in. If either of those does not happen, they're out unless they win twice.

TonyTheTiger20 said:
If Colgate or Clarkson win, they'll be the 2 seed.
Click to expand...

Unless Wisconsin loses the WCHA tournament, in which case a victorious Colgate or Clarkson would grab the #1 seed.
 
Re: 2018 Pairwise Predictor

Still Eeyore said:
Unless Wisconsin loses the WCHA tournament, in which case a victorious Colgate or Clarkson would grab the #1 seed.
Click to expand...

Which is entirely possible. It seems like UW plays down to opponents this year instead of just obliterating them, which will happen with a young team.
 
Re: 2018 Pairwise Predictor

Timothy A said:
Which is entirely possible. It seems like UW plays down to opponents this year instead of just obliterating them, which will happen with a young team.
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... or an overrated one.
 
Re: 2018 Pairwise Predictor

ARM said:
... or an overrated one.
Click to expand...

I would agree that in a one game elimination that the Badgers can be taken. I do believe they would be significant favorites if they were a series rather than one game. As for for overrated, I guess with the best record in the nation, in the toughest division in the nation, where would you put them? If getting swept by on overrated Wisconsin team 4 games and the Gophers suffered losses to Vermont, Bemidji and Merrimack, along with OT wins over Lindenwood, St Cloud and Mercyhurst. Not to mention more losses. Based on Wisconsin being overrated, perhaps the Gophers should not be in the post season discussion at all? Unless...does Kessel have another year?
 
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ARM said:
... or an overrated one.
Click to expand...

I would not qualify them as overrated. I would suggest that they far exceeded expectations. Not many of us would have predicted that on Feb 27th, 2018 the Badgers would be ranked #1 in the nation. They have come down to earth of late but their season should be recognized as a tremendous accomplishment. Personally, I see them playing Sunday and they will win the WCHA crown. As for a National title, I really like Colgate.
 
Re: 2018 Pairwise Predictor

HockeyThumper said:
Based on Wisconsin being overrated, perhaps the Gophers should not be in the post season discussion at all?
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The Gophers have certainly tried to recuse themselves from the postseason discussion. But as with most things in 2017-18, thus far, they've had little success.

IMO, Bemidji State, with the way they're playing right now and their new starting goalie, is likely the most underated team in a WCHA that is otherwise overrated as a whole. However, Wisconsin is a bad matchup for the Beavers, and that's been true for a long, long time.
 
Re: 2018 Pairwise Predictor

HockeyThumper said:
...does Kessel have another year?
Click to expand...

My second favorite thing about Kessel's return, after the joy of watching such an outstanding player demonstrate she ability, is the amount of whining it has caused. Thanks so much for making me laugh out loud this morning.
 
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