Just for giggles I did a little math. I am a little shocked at Geneseo honestly. When you're losing nearly 50% of your offense and return the 8th best SUNYAC GAA goalie and even worse 11th best Save % goalie, you have just as many questions as other teams if not more. Keenan, Brink, and Mara are great, but lets see how they do with out Collins there to A. give them the puck and or B. take focus away from them.
Oswego, no ofense to Geneseo, has shown year after year after year after year after year.....okay get the point....the ability to reload, not rebuild. Love you Geneseo, but you're not Oswego, yet. That's one team (Oswego) I am the least concerned over. Until they pull together two or three seasons of mid-pack SUNYAC standings, they are not being overtaken as a top 2 SUNYAC team.
Which Plattsburgh team will show up? Their defensive mistakes last year at the beginning of the season was something out of the Bad News Bears. They (not just the defense) were making some of the most basic defensive mistakes you don't expect to see on a Bob Emery team. Part of that was the young age of the team and most mistakes were corrected by seasons end. Both Brady and Josh were up and down so maybe a fresh face will help. IF Plattsburgh can get some consistent goaltending, they will be one of the favorites as well. 5 home games followed by 7 away games will be a good test. However its the "Away" schedule year with games at Norwich, at Middlebury, at Williams and the Primelink away. It will set up the team nicely for the last regular season game.
Brockport and Fredonia will be tough. They are going to be in the mix. With the Top "3" having questions from lack of returners, % of returning scoring, and in net....combined with the strong group Brockport and Fredonia have (and the non issues in net).....you can't sleep on these two teams this year.
Buff State will need to replace DeLaVergne, but that has been something they've been able to do recently. Sheehan, (a few years off), to Carr, to DeLaVergne. Coach Murphy has put a lot in discipline for the Bengals. Just a few years back Buff State was putting up 350+ minutes in penalties in the Conference alone. Last year was 150 minutes less. A different style for sure. If they can get a replacement for DeLaVergne they will also be up there in the mix. Mid pack.
Cortland....lets see how they can keep the ship moving. They finally opened up their recruiting. They will be in the mix for a playoff spot at least. Could play spoiler to a top team in getting that top spot or a home ice spot.
Morrisville and Potsdam.....Vander Esch is still one of the best players in the league, but there is a big drop off. If you add in the 6 seniors and Vander Esch Potsdam has lost nearly 60% of their goals from last season. Morrisville only loses 5 seniors and only 2 of which are forwards...having said that those seniors accounted for near;y 40% of conference points. Yikes.
Below are % of loss from seniors (only). I don't add in underclassmen who have transferred/left. It is broken down by Overall % loss and Conference % loss in Game Played, Goals, and Points.....
<TABLE> <TR><TD> OVERALL </td><td> GP </td><td> </td><td> OVERALL </td><td> G </td><td> </td><td> OVERALL </td><td> Pts. </td></tr>
<TR><TD> CORTLAND </td><td> 5.309734513 </td><td> </td><td> CORTLAND </td><td> 3.370786517 </td><td> </td><td> CORTLAND </td><td> 3.797468354 </td></tr>
<TR><TD> BROCKPORT </td><td> 10.61571125 </td><td> </td><td> PLATTSBURGH </td><td> 7.228915663 </td><td> </td><td> PLATTSBURGH </td><td> 7.207207207 </td></tr>
<TR><TD> PLATTSBURGH </td><td> 11.68316832 </td><td> </td><td> BROCKPORT </td><td> 18.91891892 </td><td> </td><td> BROCKPORT </td><td> 15.2284264 </td></tr>
<TR><TD> FREDONIA </td><td> 14.85355649 </td><td> </td><td> FREDONIA </td><td> 22.22222222 </td><td> </td><td> FREDONIA </td><td> 19.35483871 </td></tr>
<TR><TD> MORRISVILLE </td><td> 20.61403509 </td><td> </td><td> POTSDAM </td><td> 29.16666667 </td><td> </td><td> BUFF STATE </td><td> 33.640553 </td></tr>
<TR><TD> BUFF STATE </td><td> 31.19834711 </td><td> </td><td> MORRISVILLE </td><td> 30.86419753 </td><td> </td><td> POTSDAM </td><td> 35.04273504 </td></tr>
<TR><TD> POTSDAM </td><td> 32.02764977 </td><td> </td><td> BUFF STATE </td><td> 36.58536585 </td><td> </td><td> MORRISVILLE </td><td> 39.1509434 </td></tr>
<TR><TD> GENESEO </td><td> 41.42857143 </td><td> </td><td> GENESEO </td><td> 44.11764706 </td><td> </td><td> GENESEO </td><td> 44.29967427 </td></tr>
<TR><TD> OSWEGO </td><td> 45.26112186 </td><td> </td><td> OSWEGO </td><td> 62.90322581 </td><td> </td><td> OSWEGO </td><td> 65.78171091 </td></tr> </table>
<TABLE> <TR><TD> CONFERENCE </td><td> GP </td><td> </td><td> CONFERENCE </td><td> G </td><td> </td><td> CONFERENCE </td><td> Pts. </td></tr>
<TR><TD> CORTLAND </td><td> 5.190311419 </td><td> </td><td> CORTLAND </td><td> 5.263157895 </td><td> </td><td> CORTLAND </td><td> 4.545454545 </td></tr>
<TR><TD> BROCKPORT </td><td> 11.07491857 </td><td> </td><td> PLATTSBURGH </td><td> 9.259259259 </td><td> </td><td> PLATTSBURGH </td><td> 8.163265306 </td></tr>
<TR><TD> PLATTSBURGH </td><td> 11.72839506 </td><td> </td><td> BROCKPORT </td><td> 14 </td><td> </td><td> BROCKPORT </td><td> 11.42857143 </td></tr>
<TR><TD> FREDONIA </td><td> 14.05750799 </td><td> </td><td> FREDONIA </td><td> 21.27659574 </td><td> </td><td> FREDONIA </td><td> 19.13043478 </td></tr>
<TR><TD> MORRISVILLE </td><td> 19.93127148 </td><td> </td><td> MORRISVILLE </td><td> 27.11864407 </td><td> </td><td> BUFF STATE </td><td> 35.96491228 </td></tr>
<TR><TD> BUFF STATE </td><td> 32.71028037 </td><td> </td><td> POTSDAM </td><td> 30.76923077 </td><td> </td><td> MORRISVILLE </td><td> 36.60130719 </td></tr>
<TR><TD> POTSDAM </td><td> 32.85714286 </td><td> </td><td> BUFF STATE </td><td> 38.63636364 </td><td> </td><td> POTSDAM </td><td> 45.76271186 </td></tr>
<TR><TD> GENESEO </td><td> 42.37804878 </td><td> </td><td> GENESEO </td><td> 47.61904762 </td><td> </td><td> GENESEO </td><td> 48.1865285 </td></tr>
<TR><TD> OSWEGO </td><td> 46.22356495 </td><td> </td><td> OSWEGO </td><td> 64.63414634 </td><td> </td><td> OSWEGO </td><td> 65.15837104 </td></tr> </table>