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116th Congress - Episode 3: Impeach the Motherf**er

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Getting interesting in NY-16:

Code: 
NY-16; winner will be unopposed in general

19% reporting

61.2 Bowman (liberal, black)
36.2 Engel (30-year incumbent, centrist, corrupt)

This was a proxy fight between Biden, Schumer, Cuomo, Gillibrand, and the Clintons (Engel) vs Warren and Sanders (Bowman). The DNC sunk a lot into stopping Bowman. The Machine doesn't want another AOC.
 
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Not looking great for Booker in KY. If there's good news there, McConnell is winning his primary with only 87% so maybe some Republican voters have gotten sick of him.

McConnell won the 2014 general by 16 points.
 
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This is a shock:

Code: 
NY-17: D+13 rich suburban district; open seat

12% reporting

40.0 Jones (black, gay, endorsed by AOC)
28.5 Schleifer (millioniare, former prosecutor)
19.4 Carlucci (former Republican)

If I were Pelosi and Schumer I would start making kissy kissy with Antifadems right now.
 
Kepler said:
Not looking great for Booker in KY. If there's good news there, McConnell is winning his primary with only 87% so maybe some Republican voters have gotten sick of him.

McConnell won the 2014 general by 16 points.
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I haven't found Louisville or Lexington results yet, which is where all Kentucky Dems live so
 
bronconick said:
I haven't found Louisville or Lexington results yet, which is where all Kentucky Dems live so
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According to Kos the Louisville and Lexington counties have both announced they won't release results until June 30 in order to count absentees.
 
cF[Authentic said:
;n3589076]

Are absentee ballots allowed to be counted before election day? Or do they have to wait until day of/after election day to start counting?
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Michigan counts on election day. Not sure about other states.
 
Ky is on pace for record voter turnout in a primary, based on the number of absentee ballots already received by Monday. Louisville’s NAACP President agrees with Democratic Governor Andy Beshear that there wasn’t an effort to suppress voters, and applauds the early-voting and mail-in voting w/out excuse measures implemented for the primary. Based on the ridiculously small sample size of in-person voting that’s been released, coupled with anecdotal evidence of my female friends voting Booker instead of McGrath, I’d say Booker has a real shot.

*I don’t think any of the released numbers include absentee ballots.
 
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Kepler said:
According to Kos the Louisville and Lexington counties have both announced they won't release results until June 30 in order to count absentees.
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Man, having to wait until November 10-12th for results in a dozen swing states is going to give me ulcers.
 
ScoobyDoo said:
The problem with stuff like this is it just keeps getting Republicans elected. Which means that this cycle never ends. I'd rather have the pyscho win so the Democrat has a shot.
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What do you mean? The 24-year-old is the psycho candidate, and gives Dems a better chance in a ruby red seat. Which, from what I’ve read, still means next to no chance. The GOP wins this unless it turns out the 24-year-old is pro-choice or something ghastly like that.
 
psych said:
What do you mean? The 24-year-old is the psycho candidate, and gives Dems a better chance in a ruby red seat. Which, from what I’ve read, still means next to no chance. The GOP wins this unless it turns out the 24-year-old is pro-choice or something ghastly like that.
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Exactly. It's great if it gives the Dems a better shot, but that only matters if the Dems actually win.

For comparison, there's a GOP state house member in Michigan from Iron Mountain. In 2016 he won by a comparatively small margin of 5% compared to what the Republican in that district usually wins by (excluding 2008 when it actually flipped blue for two years). He won again in 2018, and best I can tell just spends his time trolling Whitmer on Twitter. For example, he complained Mackinac Island was included in Region 6 for reopening rather than Region 8. Region 8 is the UP. Mackinac Island's county is also in the UP. But the entire point was moot because Regions 6 and 8 were opening in tandem, and Mackinac Island isn't his congressional district.
 
bronconick said:
Man, having to wait until November 10-12th for results in a dozen swing states is going to give me ulcers.
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Man, I remember when people threw an absolute fit when the Iowa Caucus results were delayed one week. Looks like we were just trend setters.
 
cF[Authentic said:
;n3589076]

Are absentee ballots allowed to be counted before election day? Or do they have to wait until day of/after election day to start counting?
Click to expand...

This is a great question and I have no idea.

IINM in OR you can countermand your ballot with a later ballot which must be f-cking impossible to deal with.
 
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