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115th Congress - Still 100% Roy Moore Free

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Re: 115th Congress - Still 100% Roy Moore Free

St. Clown said:
You're also looking at a very different era in terms of outsourcing manufacturing jobs between then and now. Even after adjusting for inflation, the USA has a larger manufacturing sector than ever. The problem for any political hack to admitting that is that manufacturers have automated a great many positions that used to require people on the floors. Now we might need 150 people operating a plant that used to required 300-500, all because of automation.
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In a sane world automation would be a wonderful thing. But since a sizeable segment of the population sees it as evil for the government to transfer wealth to the lower rungs of society, automation becomes a huge problem.
 
Re: 115th Congress - Still 100% Roy Moore Free

GrinCDXX said:
In a sane world automation would be a wonderful thing. But since a sizeable segment of the population sees it as evil for the government to transfer wealth to the lower rungs of society, automation becomes a huge problem.
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Good post.
 
GrinCDXX said:
In a sane world automation would be a wonderful thing. But since a sizeable segment of the population sees it as evil for the government to transfer wealth to the lower rungs of society, automation becomes a huge problem.
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As someone who spends a decent amount of time in factories trust me when I say that a lot of the work isn’t glamorous. You’re bang on that automation is a very good thing.
 
Re: 115th Congress - Still 100% Roy Moore Free

Everyone with a brain to the DCCC: don't blow it.

A new CNN survey released this week showed Democrats leading Republicans by an astounding 56 percent to 38 percent on the generic congressional ballot. That’s an 18 percentage point lead among registered voters — a record-breaking result. No other survey taken in November or December in the year before a midterm has found the majority party in the House down by that much since at least the 1938 cycle (as far back as I have data).

And while the CNN poll is a bit of an outlier, the Democratic advantage in the FiveThirtyEight generic ballot aggregate is up to about 12 points, 49.6 percent to 37.4 percent. That average, like the CNN poll, also shows Republicans in worse shape right now than any other majority party at this point in the midterm cycle since at least the 1938 election.
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Re: 115th Congress - Still 100% Roy Moore Free

GrinCDXX said:
First step is not to blow it, second step is to twist the knife as much as possible.
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Read an interesting article on the Doug Jones win. During his campaign, he never tacked rightwards on any issues. He remained a supporter of planned parenthood for example. He also didn't emphasize right wing issues like 2nd amendment rights first and foremost. What he did was stick to two themes that resonated: 1) health care which poll respondents said was their top issue, and 2) Roy Moore is a disgrace. For the 2nd one, he didn't even need to run ads directly saying that. He basically stuck to his theme and let Moore be the focus of the race, to his detriment.

This won't work in every race, but sometime you need to skip the flip flopping and the pandering if your opponent is a lunatic, and just let them hang themselves. By some of the votes they've taken this past year, that ought to work pretty often. Goopers can't even pass a tax cut that people like!
 
Re: 115th Congress - Still 100% Roy Moore Free

Rover said:
Read an interesting article on the Doug Jones win. During his campaign, he never tacked rightwards on any issues. He remained a supporter of planned parenthood for example. He also didn't emphasize right wing issues like 2nd amendment rights first and foremost. What he did was stick to two themes that resonated: 1) health care which poll respondents said was their top issue, and 2) Roy Moore is a disgrace. For the 2nd one, he didn't even need to run ads directly saying that. He basically stuck to his theme and let Moore be the focus of the race, to his detriment.

This won't work in every race, but sometime you need to skip the flip flopping and the pandering if your opponent is a lunatic, and just let them hang themselves. By some of the votes they've taken this past year, that ought to work pretty often. Goopers can't even pass a tax cut that people like!
Click to expand...
Absolutes:
The Sun comes up in the East
The Sun sets in the West
The victorious party will misinterpret the voter's disdain for the other party as support for theirs
 
Re: 115th Congress - Still 100% Roy Moore Free

Rover said:
Read an interesting article on the Doug Jones win. During his campaign, he never tacked rightwards on any issues. He remained a supporter of planned parenthood for example. He also didn't emphasize right wing issues like 2nd amendment rights first and foremost. What he did was stick to two themes that resonated: 1) health care which poll respondents said was their top issue, and 2) Roy Moore is a disgrace. For the 2nd one, he didn't even need to run ads directly saying that. He basically stuck to his theme and let Moore be the focus of the race, to his detriment.

This won't work in every race, but sometime you need to skip the flip flopping and the pandering if your opponent is a lunatic, and just let them hang themselves. By some of the votes they've taken this past year, that ought to work pretty often. Goopers can't even pass a tax cut that people like!
Click to expand...

If the Dems are smart, they should be able to pretty much run the table in red leaning districts in high tax states--and it won't require any pandering.
 
Re: 115th Congress - Still 100% Roy Moore Free

busterman62 said:
The victorious party will misinterpret the voter's disdain for the other party as support for theirs
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This should be chiseled above the doorframe of every party HQ.

"It's not that we love you. We just hate them more."
 
Re: 115th Congress - Still 100% Roy Moore Free

busterman62 said:
Absolutes:
The Sun comes up in the East
The Sun sets in the West
The victorious party will misinterpret the voter's disdain for the other party as support for theirs
Click to expand...

Agreed. Neither party is capable of making an honest assessment of electoral results. If one of them figures that out--the other will be in trouble.
 
Re: 115th Congress - Still 100% Roy Moore Free

GrinCDXX said:
If the Dems are smart, they should be able to pretty much run the table in red leaning districts in high tax states--and it won't require any pandering.
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Retain every currently blue district.

Target every red district in a blue state and every purple district in a red state.

According to 538 we have about 100 viable targets. When the GOP had 100 viable targets in 2010 they picked up 60% of them. We can do the same as long as we keep our heads and campaign smart.

We are absolutely in the running to take back both chambers. The Republicans are deliberately and explicitly pursuing an agenda that 65% of the nation opposes. It's not that they love us. They just hate them more.

We're going to need a margin since if the GOP thinks it's behind in 2018 there will be a well-timed war.
 
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GrinCDXX said:
If the Dems are smart, they should be able to pretty much run the table in red leaning districts in high tax states--and it won't require any pandering.
Click to expand...

That’s exactly what the Phillips campaign is going to do in Mn to oust Paulsen.
 
Re: 115th Congress - Still 100% Roy Moore Free

joecct said:
try to do. Keep the national players out of the state.
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Prolly won't matter in MN. That reflexive hatred of "the national players" is a lot more intense in Jesusland. And even there, Jones had a lot of high profile national support and he won.

But there are definitely corn pone places where you don't let the national people in. The slave states, the rural prairie, Appalachia which at this point includes Ohio, Michigan, and Pennsylvania.
 
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