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I read what the experts post about the polls and past results of that district. I trust them to aggregate that information for me. My point was Nate’s extra information he layered on top of that was no more predictive of who would win that particular seat than merely using past results/current...
I wouldn’t be shocked at all if Republicans held the Senate. I would be shocked if they held the House. 2024 is all I need to steel myself against building any hope that voting-age Americans will ever figure it out. That said, Trump voters generally only show up for Trump.
There’s only like...
For sure. Is Brown at 50%? Talarico? Peltola? Jackson? I know Jackson has RCV. Sabato’s Crystal Ball has lean D 223 in the House, lean D 49 in the Senate.
That may well be true, but not because of what 13 white people in Iowa think. This is MissT’s “Let’s talk to voters at a diner in...
How bipartisan of her. Troy Jackson at 65% on polymarket, CNBC piece notwithstanding.
KY-6 is a good bellwether for Democrats’ blue wave or lack thereof on 11.03.2026. Polls close at 6p EST in half the state, including this seat, so results will be back relatively quickly. Most national...
I imagine the ghosts of Kim Jong Un, Roy Cohn, and Fred Trump Sr., in a similar manner to when Luke sees Yoda, Obi Wan Kenobi, and Anakin at the end of The Return of the Jedi.
Flip or just not vote for Peggy? I could see Amy earning thousands, maybe hundreds of thousands of more votes, while the Republican barely gets more in the Senate race.
As an IU fan, I came out of that game thinking we were the better team- and I definitely didn’t think that going into it. Basically shut down Jeremiah Smith, made Julian Sayin look average at best, and left at least 6 points on the field. If Marsh has better awareness - like, say, Omar Cooper...
Our elites are cool with Trump and have already allied with him. Even the NIMBY Democratic ones who are culturally tolerant are fine with all of the tax cuts and shit.
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