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  1. psych

    2026 Elections: To the Midterms and Beyond!

    KY-06 is going to start it all. From the 'hood to the holler...to all across America...it's the blue wave of 2026.
  2. psych

    2026 Elections: To the Midterms and Beyond!

    That’s...a choice I guess. If you made this up on your own, it's so awful it's wonderful. Well done. Even if true, what has El-Sayed done, in your opinion, that would make Stevens not, you know, just refuse to endorse him or tell her supporters "vote your conscience" or some crap, and...
  3. psych

    2026 Elections: To the Midterms and Beyond!

    I read what the experts post about the polls and past results of that district. I trust them to aggregate that information for me. My point was Nate’s extra information he layered on top of that was no more predictive of who would win that particular seat than merely using past results/current...
  4. psych

    2026 Elections: To the Midterms and Beyond!

    You lost fair and square, Haley.
  5. psych

    2026 Elections: To the Midterms and Beyond!

    How exhausting. Wait until they’re elected before you start your bullshit.
  6. psych

    2026 Elections: To the Midterms and Beyond!

    I wouldn’t be shocked at all if Republicans held the Senate. I would be shocked if they held the House. 2024 is all I need to steel myself against building any hope that voting-age Americans will ever figure it out. That said, Trump voters generally only show up for Trump. There’s only like...
  7. psych

    2026 Elections: To the Midterms and Beyond!

    Neverrrrrrrr, that Lisa DeMuth is an entirely different person from the one running for Governor.
  8. psych

    2026 Elections: To the Midterms and Beyond!

    One poll is one poll is one poll, but WaPo has Hamilton (D) up 54-44% on Marshall in Kansas.
  9. psych

    Dump Term 2 Part 6: Send in the Clowns

    I think all of us hope your last sentence is true. 2024 made me rethink our chances of turning it around.
  10. psych

    2026 Elections: To the Midterms and Beyond!

    She may well win, but greatest upset has to be hyperbole.
  11. psych

    2026 Elections: To the Midterms and Beyond!

    For sure. Is Brown at 50%? Talarico? Peltola? Jackson? I know Jackson has RCV. Sabato’s Crystal Ball has lean D 223 in the House, lean D 49 in the Senate. That may well be true, but not because of what 13 white people in Iowa think. This is MissT’s “Let’s talk to voters at a diner in...
  12. psych

    2026 Elections: To the Midterms and Beyond!

    How bipartisan of her. Troy Jackson at 65% on polymarket, CNBC piece notwithstanding. KY-6 is a good bellwether for Democrats’ blue wave or lack thereof on 11.03.2026. Polls close at 6p EST in half the state, including this seat, so results will be back relatively quickly. Most national...
  13. psych

    Dump Term 2 Part 6: Send in the Clowns

    I imagine the ghosts of Kim Jong Un, Roy Cohn, and Fred Trump Sr., in a similar manner to when Luke sees Yoda, Obi Wan Kenobi, and Anakin at the end of The Return of the Jedi.
  14. psych

    2026 Elections: To the Midterms and Beyond!

    Flip or just not vote for Peggy? I could see Amy earning thousands, maybe hundreds of thousands of more votes, while the Republican barely gets more in the Senate race.
  15. psych

    College Football 2025

    As an IU fan, I came out of that game thinking we were the better team- and I definitely didn’t think that going into it. Basically shut down Jeremiah Smith, made Julian Sayin look average at best, and left at least 6 points on the field. If Marsh has better awareness - like, say, Omar Cooper...
  16. psych

    The Countries: Forget it, Burkina Faso, Michigan is still the worst.

    Our elites are cool with Trump and have already allied with him. Even the NIMBY Democratic ones who are culturally tolerant are fine with all of the tax cuts and shit.
  17. psych

    2026 Elections: To the Midterms and Beyond!

    I would argue 51/49D would give Fetterman more power since voting with Republicans then provides them the 50/50 tie and the JD Vance tiebreaker.
  18. psych

    2026 Elections: To the Midterms and Beyond!

    My math ain’t mathing. 47 + 3 = 50, not 51. So yeah, Democrats will need 2 of those 3. Since elections are so nationalized now, I don’t think Michigan will go for Rogers while TX is flipping blue, but stranger things have happened. With my ability to math again, I’d say realistically it could be...
  19. psych

    2026 Elections: To the Midterms and Beyond!

    I see you put AK now. Anyways, I think outside of NC, AK is seen as the best pickup by most national forecasters, to the point some places like Sabato's Crystal Ball have it as Leans Democratic rather than a toss-up like Maine, Texas, or Ohio. That's 50-50. OH, TX, ME, take your pick, if...
  20. psych

    2026 Elections: To the Midterms and Beyond!

    What about Alaska? Looks like Peltola might just pull that one out. That’s two. The best of the rest, in my opinion, is Maine, just based on its blue tint. That said, I know we have voters like Drew, who should be voting D in that race without blinking if he actually wants universal healthcare...
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