What's new
USCHO Fan Forum

This is a sample guest message. Register a free account today to become a member! Once signed in, you'll be able to participate on this site by adding your own topics and posts, as well as connect with other members through your own private inbox!

  • The USCHO Fan Forum has migrated to a new plaform, xenForo. Most of the function of the forum should work in familiar ways. Please note that you can switch between light and dark modes by clicking on the gear icon in the upper right of the main menu bar. We are hoping that this new platform will prove to be faster and more reliable. Please feel free to explore its features.

Elon Musk the 21st century Edison??

joecct

Well-known member
I like this guy. Seems to be an entrepreneur who understands how to make things work.

Now he's done this

I'm sure he's going to have his share of failures, but if I was an investor, I think he'd be worth a few dollars.
 
Re: Elon Musk the 21st century Edison??

He's done some good stuff. This hand-waving business? Pretty much just hand waving, as far as I'm concerned. 3-D design will never be the domain of a "layman" or "idea guy," regardless of the interface. I don't see that this will allow for a major increase in the speed that competent designers can achieve in designing parts - there are already numerous interface tools (joysticks, spaceballs, etc) that already allow the designer to interact with 3D models rapidly and intuitively.

And don't get me started on hyperloop...
 
Re: Elon Musk the 21st century Edison??

I like this guy. Seems to be an entrepreneur who understands how to make things work.

Now he's done this

I'm sure he's going to have his share of failures, but if I was an investor, I think he'd be worth a few dollars.

Good call. We could be watching a genius for the times...in the making.
 
He's done some good stuff. This hand-waving business? Pretty much just hand waving, as far as I'm concerned. 3-D design will never be the domain of a "layman" or "idea guy," regardless of the interface. I don't see that this will allow for a major increase in the speed that competent designers can achieve in designing parts - there are already numerous interface tools (joysticks, spaceballs, etc) that already allow the designer to interact with 3D models rapidly and intuitively.

And don't get me started on hyperloop...

Spaceballs?!?! I loved that movie!,
 
Making a crapload of money on others’ ideas? Hmm…

No wait, Edison was a supporter of women’s suffrage. There’s differences.
 
Hey, I also wanted to believe because of his focus on making humanity multi-planet. I still think that is right. All our eggs are in perilous shape right now.

Musk is a fuckwit, fine. But we still need to FTL and split, if for no other reason than to leave the DOGE bros and MAGAts and Cross Cultists to die here in the sewer they made.
 
That will never work. Read A City On Mars. The entire concept is literal BS.

Musk's concepts are trash, but the idea of colonizing space is not at all.

The distance between habitable worlds is a blessing. To get to the technology level to make the jump we will need to weed out the beast from our nature. We aren't even close yet. But consider: we have been doing serious and methodical science only since about 1600. We have come a very long way in a very short time.

Humanity contains multitudes, and among each lot of 100 randomly selected ass clowns there is at least 1 person with a brain and a soul, and another 9 worth talking to and working with. A 10% hit rate for humans out of animals gives us upwards of a billion worldwide. That's a lot of FTE.

We can learn to protect ourselves from the Morlocks. They are addicted to their iPacifiers, their drugs, their perpetual adolesence, their yay/boo politics, and their consumerism. Let them chase their tails and destroy each other while we reach the stars.
 
Last edited:
The idea isn't trash. The idea that it is even close to becoming reality is trash.

We are saying the same thing. On the other hand, our feats are impossible until shortly before they are fact.

From the Wright Brothers' first flight to the Moon Landing was 65 years and 8 months (December 17, 1903 to July 20, 1969). Less than one lifetime. Sophia Loren was still (kind of) hot at that age. When we set our minds to something, and actually get off our fat asses, we accomplish things.
 
That will never work. Read A City On Mars. The entire concept is literal BS.
I did a very cursory analysis (it's what I do for a living - can't help it) of what it would cost to put a single, small bulldozer on the moon (I think it was 20,000 lbs). I couldn't find it just now, but I recall that it was well north of $100M - for just the transportation costs for just one bulldozer.

A viable colony on mars (i.e. with enough people to breed future generations of martians without genetic issues) would consume the GDP of the earth for the next 3 decades - maybe more.
 
I mean Edison stole some of his most famous work and was considered a fraud so it works!
Musk's concepts are trash, but the idea of colonizing space is not at all.

The distance between habitable worlds is a blessing. To get to the technology level to make the jump we will need to weed out the beast from our nature. We aren't even close yet. But consider: we have been doing serious and methodical science only since about 1600. We have come a very long way in a very short time.

Humanity contains multitudes, and among each lot of 100 randomly selected ass clowns there is at least 1 person with a brain and a soul, and another 9 worth talking to and working with. A 10% hit rate for humans out of animals gives us upwards of a billion worldwide. That's a lot of FTE.

We can learn to protect ourselves from the Morlocks. They are addicted to their iPacifiers, their drugs, their perpetual adolesence, their yay/boo politics, and their consumerism. Let them chase their tails and destroy each other while we reach the stars.
Colonizing space is not happening...certainly not in time to save humanity from Mother Nature. Maybe if we had spent the past 50 years really putting effort into it we might be at step 1...but we aren't even close. We aren't even close to being able to put a man on Mars let alone colonizing space. I am not sure I trust NASA to put people back on the moon at this point.

Humanity will die on this rock, Musk knew it then and he certainly knows it now. That is why the Tech Bro/Edge Lords are all buying bunkers and pushing for Armageddon. They think they can create a new world when this one dies like they live in some B grade sci fi flick.
 
I did a very cursory analysis (it's what I do for a living - can't help it) of what it would cost to put a single, small bulldozer on the moon (I think it was 20,000 lbs). I couldn't find it just now, but I recall that it was well north of $100M - for just the transportation costs for just one bulldozer.

A viable colony on mars (i.e. with enough people to breed future generations of martians without genetic issues) would consume the GDP of the earth for the next 3 decades - maybe more.
If there is even one failure of an effort to colonize...not even a death but just an engine failure or an Apollo 13 successful failure...it would like bankrupt the whole operation.

Interstellar got some things right (people turning on science and The Earth going down the tubes) but beyond that space travel aint saving us.
 
I did a very cursory analysis (it's what I do for a living - can't help it) of what it would cost to put a single, small bulldozer on the moon (I think it was 20,000 lbs). I couldn't find it just now, but I recall that it was well north of $100M - for just the transportation costs for just one bulldozer.

A viable colony on mars (i.e. with enough people to breed future generations of martians without genetic issues) would consume the GDP of the earth for the next 3 decades - maybe more.
Yeah, the current $/$ is insane, but I suspect like solar their will be breakthroughs in technology that cause it drop to a uhhh more “economical” (lacking a better term, because it will never be cheap without Heisenberg Uncertainty Compensators).

It’s the one nice thing about commercial competition in space flight.

I have doubts we can put anything more than a permanent science outpost on mars within the next hundred years. The distances are just too great even with advances in tech. Plus, putting atmospheric and solar radiation concerns aside, the surface has a relatively high perchlorate concentration which is good and bad. It’s quite toxic to most life and is a pretty strong oxidizer. This would limit the choice of metals should any moisture come into contact with it. Think airlocks.

Anyways, we should continue to pursue this because along the way we will find new technologies that are hugely beneficial to to terrestrial life. Miniaturization being one of the prime examples from the Apollo program.
 
Back
Top