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2022 MidTerms & State races- who ya got?

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Deutsche Gopher Fan said:
Fetterman continues his masterclass of trolling

https://twitter.com/johnfetterman/status/1579824477718081537?s=46&t=PFbl3imCU4_oB3HVsSy3SQ
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200w.gif
 
Not that I think Dean Phillips is in trouble, but he’s got a campaign event coming up with Jamie raskin. I love that guy so would love to hear him in person.

a few of the dfl people here in Minnesota expressed some concern over the statewide races for attorney general and sec which is disturbing. I think Ellison does a great job personally but if they pick off enough of suburban votes they may have a chance- republicans here haven’t won a statewide race since 2014
 
Deutsche Gopher Fan said:
Not that I think Dean Phillips is in trouble, but he’s got a campaign event coming up with Jamie raskin. I love that guy so would love to hear him in person.

a few of the dfl people here in Minnesota expressed some concern over the statewide races for attorney general and sec which is disturbing. I think Ellison does a great job personally but if they pick off enough of suburban votes they may have a chance- republicans here haven’t won a statewide race since 2014
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AG i think we'll be fine.

SoS seems to be extremely close. Which would be REALLY bad for 2024. ANd I don't think people understand it. It's easy to see in other states where you have people threatening to overturn shit like Kari Lake and the Michigan nutjobs. The DFL needs to make the SOS election the #2 overall priority. Explain why it's important and why Kim Crockett is an insane and dangerous person.
 
Yeah Kim is a fucking nutter and I wish the dfl was hammering her more

i hope you’re right on AG but this slight worry was coming from those in the know
 
Kepler said:
And the wind cried Youngkin.
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I personally don’t see the D’s losing any statewide races in MN this year, but saying that R’s haven’t won a statewide race since 2014 sounds a little more one sided than it is. Other than Tina Smith winning her race for Senate in ‘20, I believe the only statewide races in MN since 2014 were Klobuchar and the five state offices (governor, sos, ag, auditor at Lt governor) all in 2018, in the middle of Trump’s term.
 
I said 2014 mostly because I thought it had cruelly been longer than that.

good ole Tpaw
 
Deutsche Gopher Fan said:
I said 2014 mostly because I thought it had cruelly been longer than that.

good ole Tpaw
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I am confused...TPaw was out in 2011. Dayton won and took office that year. The MNGOP has lost every statewide since 2006 when TPaw won. (Emmer lost for Governor in 2010, Klobuchar has held her spot since 2007 and Franken took office in 2009 followed by Smith of course) Am I misreading what you are saying? (likely...im kinda loopy)

Actually its technically 2008

The DFL has currently won 22 consecutive statewide elections in Minnesota since 2008: six for U.S. Senate, four for president, and three each for governor/lieutenant governor, secretary of state, attorney general, and auditor.

The last Republican to win a statewide race in Minnesota was Governor Tim Pawlenty in 2006 – eking out a one-point win over Attorney General Mike Hatch. [A win projected by Smart Politics even though Pawlenty trailed in every public poll that cycle].

The current run by Minnesota Democrats is by far their longest and largest streak in state history.
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The problem Shultz is going to have is his abortion stance. He can only hide from the issue for so long and his "abortion is not on the ballot" BS won't fly because as AG he has the opportunity to change that. He criticized Ellison over the abortion restriction issue just a couple years ago. That is going to kill him sooner or later as will his lack of any actual courtroom experience. His crappy ad where he says "it is a tough job but I can do it" sounds like the nerdy kid who thinks he can be the star quarterback.

I don't think Crockett has much of a chance. Election denial is not a very popular stance in most of Minnesota.

I think the races will be closer than they have any right to be but I think they hold on. It reminds me of Omar's primary.

Edit: the reason I dont see either winning is I dont see DFL voters splitting their tickets. (Or the MNGOP voters) To think they will win is to think Jensen wins and I just don't buy that. If it happens you might as well begin the countdown to Coup 2024.
 
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I don’t know why I had 2014 in my head but I’m jet lagged and on cold meds
 
https://twitter.com/murphymike/status/1580316577827676160

Utah UPDATE: Hill Research poll conducted Oct 8-11, 2022. N=500 Evan McMullin leads Mike Lee by 4 points, 46% to 42%. Adding leaners increases McMullin’s advantage to 6 points, just outside the margin of error. Hansen, the Libertarian candidate, garners 4%. More info soon.
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There have been rumors that Lee was in trouble the last few weeks and apparently he is begging Mittens for help!
 
It's interesting, since he can be attacked for not being able to get anything done for his constituents. OTOH a principled Libertarian should promote independence from the parties.

I'd enjoy seeing an L in Congress. They will vote against economic aid to the poor and against regulation of corporations, which is bad, but no worse than an R. They will also vote against the various corporate welfare schemes and wars of both parties and the insane fascism of the Republicans. They also give to lie to the Republican voter excuse that "I'm just a fiscal conservative who wants to see a balanced budget -- I'm against the racism and misogyny of the GOP but I have no choice!" Yeah, well, now you have a choice, so either vote for it or embrace your racism and misogyny because you own it buddy.

An L is a big net gain over an R.
 
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And Lee is an Insurrectionist so getting him out is key. McMullin may not be a Dem but he is nowhere near a Trumper. He would have voted to convict...
 
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