Looking at this coming year, we are losing Matta, Jellus, Spitserov, Walther and Zapernick, in other words, 5/9 of our top point producers from last year. It also means that Kessler and Strand our #2+3 producers will be back as something more than rookies, presumably with Guindon centering at least one of them.
Our most productive defenseman in Tornqvist is back, hopefully with Herrington making a difference as well.
My question for the group today is, the OHL and NCAA are seen as similarly talented but obviously very leagues by hockey talent evaluators and talking heads. We know Guindon had 85 points in 66 games in the OHL, good for 19th in scoring last year.
What are realistic expectations for him as a 21 year old freshman? For comparison, last year
Ethan Leyh,
Charlie Cerrato and
Mac Gadowsky were tied for 19th in scoring at 42 points each in 38 games averaging 16 goals and 26 assists.
On one hand, you hope that an older player with a track record of success and another year of development will easily break 30-35 points but then its easy to remember the last decade of Catamounts hockey and that the last guy to come close to 30 was
Mario Puskarich when he got 29 in 2016-2017, and the last person to break it were both
Michael Paliotta and Shaw in 2014-2015.
So what is the appropriate expectations + over/under for points this year?
Guindon at 33?
Kessler at 27?
Strand at 26?