MASCAC Playoff Permutations

[joecct]

Current Standings

SAL 11-4-2 24 pts @WOR
UMD 11-4-1 23 pts @FRA, @FIT
PLY 9-4-3 21 pts @FIT, WST
FIT 8-7-1 17 pts PLY, UMD
WOR 5-10-1 11 pts WST, SAL
WST 4-11-1 9 pts @WOR, @PLY
FRA 4-12-1 9 pts UMD

Salem -- max points 26. MAX 1st MIN 3rd Will finish 1st beating Worcester and Mass-Dartmouth gets does not sweep weekend. Will finish 3rd if lose to Worcester and Plymouth State sweeps. Owns tiebreak against UMD and PLY

Mass-Dartmouth -- max points 27. MAX 1st, MIN 3rd. Will finish 1st with a sweep or a Salem loss and 2 points. Loses tiebreak to Plymouth. Will finish 3rd if they tie Plymouth in points.

Plymouth -- max points 25. MAX 1st, MIN 4th. Will finish 1st with a sweep and a Salem loss and the same points as Dartmouth. Will finish 4th if loses both games and Fitchburg sweeps. Loses tiebreak to Salem. Wins tiebreak with UMD. Tomorrows game will decide tiebreak with FIT.

Fitchburg -- max points 21. MAX 3rd, MIN 4th. Gets third with a sweep and 2 losses by Plymouth.

Worcester -- max points 15. MAX 5th, MIN 7th. Gets 5th win 2 points. If loses two, and a Framingham win, will finish behind Framingham.

Westfield -- max points 13. MAX 5th MIN 7th. Will get 5th with a sweep and 2 losses by Worcester. Loses tiebreak to Worcester, wins tiebreak against Framingham

Framingham -- max points 11. MAX 6th, MIN 7th. Will get 6th with a win and 2 losses by Worcester. In the event of a 3 way tie between Worcester, Westfield and Framingham, in H2H among the 3 teams, FRA is 3-3, WOR is 3-3, WST is 3-3. Next tie break is record against the top teams in order.
SAL - FRA 0-2-1, WOR 1-2, WST 0-3. Worcester would win that break
UMD - FRA 1-2, WOR 0-3, WST 0-3 Framingham would win that tie break
PLY - FRA 0-3, WOR 1-2, WST 1-2 Worcester would win tie break.

Lots of combinations that should be a lot clearer after tomorrow night's games. I'll update it tomorrow night.

 

[joecct]

Re: MASCAC Playoff Permutations

                        Conference Only                    Overall
                    Pts  GP  Record  Win%  GF- GA   GP  Record  Win%  GF- GA
 1 UMass Dartmouth   25  17 12- 4- 1 .735  56- 39   24 17- 6- 1 .729  82- 57
 2 Salem State       24  17 11- 4- 2 .706  76- 39   24 17- 5- 2 .750 106- 58
 3 Plymouth State    21  17  9- 5- 3 .618  54- 40   24 14- 5- 5 .688  89- 53
 4 Fitchburg State   19  17  9- 7- 1 .559  60- 45   24 15- 8- 1 .646 100- 66
 5 Worcester State   13  17  6-10- 1 .382  42- 60   24 10-11- 3 .479  71- 80
 6 Westfield State    9  17  4-12- 1 .265  55- 72   24  5-17- 2 .250  75-100
   Framingham State   9  18  4-13- 1 .250  44- 92   23  4-18- 1 .196  55-113

OK things are a lot clearer after tonight's games...

Mass-Dartmouth and Salem have clinched first round byes. UMD finishes first by winning on Saturday or a loss by Salem. Salem needs to win and have UMD lose or tie in order to take first place.
Plymouth and Fitchburg will host on Tuesday night. Who is the 3rd seed and who is the 4th seed? Plymouth needs one point to secure 3rd. A loss and a Fitchburg win will put the Falcons in 3rd and the Panthers in 4th.
Worcester is in 5th
Westfield is in 6th
Framingham is in 7th and out of the playoffs.

 

[riss34atl]

Re: MASCAC Playoff Permutations

My guess at the final standings

UMD 27
Salem 26
PSU 23
Fitch 19
worc 13
west 9
framing 9


I think the 5 and 6 seeds could possibly stage some upsets in the playoffs but I ultimately think the championship will be UMD and Salem