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ECAC Pick the Standings 2023-24

S

sezenack

New member
Hey everyone, here's the contest for this coming season! Sorry for such short notice, totally forgot about it. Make sure to get your picks in!

Scoring is unchanged from prior years. In short, you will receive a score based on the square of the distance from your picks to the actual standings (e.g., if you pick a team in 4th but they finish in 7th, you get (7-4)[SUP]2[/SUP] or 9 points). Sum those up for the twelve ECAC teams and you'll have a score between 0 and 572. The entrant with the lowest score will be our winner.
You have until the puck drops on the first game of the season (RPI vs Union; Saturday, 7 October at 3 PM EDT) to get your picks in. The reason I'm choosing this instead of the end of October with the first ECAC games is that these predictions are supposed to represent what you think before the season starts. If you get to see 3 weeks of hockey before making a prediction, that defeats the purpose.

Tie breakers are:
Pick correctly the ECACHL Regular Season Champ.
Have the most teams in the correct order of finish.
Have the most top 6 teams in the correct order of finish.
I will flip a coin.

You can change your picks at any time up till the drop of the puck of the first game, just edit your entry on the google form. The reason I'm using a google form is so I can have the contest across a few different platforms.

Submit your picks here:

https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1...1-GiVjtcWr0vDVCPzmzYnrzw/viewform?usp=sf_link
 
Last edited:
Dr. Last Year
1. Quinnipiac
2. Harvard
3. Cornell
4. SLU
5. Colgate
6. Clarkson
7. RPI
8. Union
9. Princeton
10. Yale
11. Brown
12. Dartmouth

The Media
N/A (if it gets posted then I'll add it)

The Coaches
1. Quinnipiac
2. Cornell
3. Harvard
4. Clarkson
5. SLU
6. Colgate
7. RPI
8. Union
9. Princeton
10. Yale
11. Dartmouth
12. Brown

and The Random Number
1. RPI
2. Brown
3. SLU
4. Cornell
5. Princeton
6. Quinnipiac
7. Yale
8. Union
9. Colgate
10. Dartmouth
11. Clarkson
12. Harvard
 
Do we get to see what everyone else is picking? It helps me get specific on the 5-12 rankings to see the details everyone else is looking at?

If not, no big deal...
 
Continues to be a disgrace that USCHO does:

• Not have an equal number of Men (20) and Women (15) in their polls

• Does NOT list "25" in their M&W Ice Hockey Polls, like all other NCAA Sports.

Sorry to be a Pain in the _ss on this! Been bitchin about this for 10 years! Love USCHO, but ....

Jack McDonald
 
Jack McDonald said:
Continues to be a disgrace that USCHO does:

• Not have an equal number of Men (20) and Women (15) in their polls

• Does NOT list "25" in their M&W Ice Hockey Polls, like all other NCAA Sports.

Sorry to be a Pain in the _ss on this! Been *****in about this for 10 years! Love USCHO, but ....

Jack McDonald
Click to expand...

I am pretty sure that many years ago someone stated that it was due to the fact that at that time it was pretty proportional to the number of eligible teams. If that is not the case now, it would seem more important to complain about the number of teams in the tourneys.

Just curious -- how have you been complaining for 10 years when you joined in 2018?
 
Coming in with your first update!

First, here's a table with some statistics on everyone's choices (n=40)
[TABLE="border: 1, cellpadding: 0, cellspacing: 0"]
[TR]
[TD]Team[/TD]
[TD]Mean[/TD]
[TD]SD[/TD]
[TD]Median[/TD]
[TD]Range[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Quinnipiac[/TD]
[TD]1.25[/TD]
[TD]0.54[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD]1 - 3[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Cornell[/TD]
[TD]2.65[/TD]
[TD]1.11[/TD]
[TD]2[/TD]
[TD]1 - 6[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Harvard[/TD]
[TD]3.45[/TD]
[TD]1.55[/TD]
[TD]3[/TD]
[TD]1 - 7[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Clarkson[/TD]
[TD]4.15[/TD]
[TD]1.13[/TD]
[TD]4[/TD]
[TD]2 - 6[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Colgate[/TD]
[TD]5.75[/TD]
[TD]1.73[/TD]
[TD]6[/TD]
[TD]1 - 10[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]St. Lawrence[/TD]
[TD]5.88[/TD]
[TD]1.90[/TD]
[TD]6[/TD]
[TD]2 - 11[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]RPI[/TD]
[TD]6.65[/TD]
[TD]2.23[/TD]
[TD]7[/TD]
[TD]1 - 12[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Union[/TD]
[TD]8.25[/TD]
[TD]1.16[/TD]
[TD]8[/TD]
[TD]6 - 11[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Princeton[/TD]
[TD]8.75[/TD]
[TD]2.03[/TD]
[TD]9[/TD]
[TD]3 - 12[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Yale[/TD]
[TD]9.90[/TD]
[TD]1.85[/TD]
[TD]10[/TD]
[TD]2 - 12[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Brown[/TD]
[TD]10.63[/TD]
[TD]1.53[/TD]
[TD]11[/TD]
[TD]6 - 12[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Dartmouth[/TD]
[TD]10.70[/TD]
[TD]1.57[/TD]
[TD]11[/TD]
[TD]4 - 12[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]
 
For our first update, the standings are as follows:
1. Quinnipiac
2. Princeton
3. Clarkson
4. Colgate
5. Cornell
6. Yale
7. Brown
8. Dartmouth
9. Union
10. SLU
11. RPI
12. Harvard

I used points % for the first tiebreaker, then followed ECAC tiebreakers.

In the lead right now is actually not a human, it is sezenack model (a model I created to predict the standings and used to win the 21-22 contest). If you want to know what its picks were, I wrote about it here https://thefieldhouse.substack.com/p/ecac-2023-24-preview

For our human contestants, #1 is u/jfriedrich from reddit with a whopping 154 points, #2 is me (sezenack) with 162 points, and #3 is Rjm7272 with 164 points.
In last place, we have Goalie_muzzatti from twitter who is just barely ahead of The Random Number.

Overall, we are off to a bad start! Harvard is killing essentially every prediction. They were predicted 3.45 on average, yet they are in last!
Full results: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/13leGI9gaEfkX5T3TlwnL6gPsqrKcubNg9n068uU1BjE/edit?usp=sharing
 
1. Cornell
2. Quinnipiac
3. Colgate
4. Clarkson
5. Dartmouth
6. RPI
7. Harvard
8. SLU
9. Union
10. Princeton
11. Brown
12. Yale
 
1. Cornell
2. Quinnipiac
3. Dartmouth
4. SLU
5. Colgate
6. Clarkson
7. Harvard
8. RPI
9. Union
10. Princeton
11. Yale
12. Brown
 
1. Quinnipiac
2. Cornell
3. Harvard
4. Clarkson
5. SLU
6. Colgate
7. RPI
8. Union
9. Princeton
10. Yale
11. Dartmouth
12. Brown
 
1. Cornell
2. Quinnipiac
3. Harvard
4. Clarkson
5. Colgate
6. SLU
7. Union
8. RPI
9. Dartmouth
10. Yale
11. Princeton
12. Brown
 
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