COVID-19 The 7th Part: We're Gonna Be Number One Soon!

[jflory81]

Re: COVID-19 The 7th Part: We're Gonna Be Number One Soon!

They did that a couple days ago though. I think this count was after that. If that number was included, the total deaths would be far higher than 4500.

Counting sites have been applying those deaths at wildly inconsistent times compared to one another. It's possible whatever they're using to track added them later than others. WoM actually added the deaths 2 days after the day they are attributed to.


Anyway, states are reporting their deaths at set times each day (some states once, some states twice). There is absolutely no possible way we hit over 4000 reported deaths in one 24 hour window without some of those "probable" deaths being included. The peak has been around 2500 give or take a couple hundred depending on when you cycle the day.

[Wayuphere]

Re: COVID-19 The 7th Part: We're Gonna Be Number One Soon!

“LIBERATE MINNESOTA!” Trump wrote, followed soon after by a message that read, “LIBERATE MICHIGAN!” He also tweeted, “LIBERATE VIRGINIA, and save your great 2nd Amendment. It is under siege!”

*** is this? Orangeman’s been tweeting about the protests this afternoon. He knows what he is inciting and it’s disturbing what the orange man child is doing to their heads.....👀

[leswp1]

Re: COVID-19 The 7th Part: We're Gonna Be Number One Soon!

“LIBERATE MINNESOTA!” Trump wrote, followed soon after by a message that read, “LIBERATE MICHIGAN!” He also tweeted, “LIBERATE VIRGINIA, and save your great 2nd Amendment. It is under siege!”

*** is this? Orangeman’s been tweeting about the protests this afternoon. He knows what he is inciting and it’s disturbing what the orange man child is doing to their heads.....��

I don't tweet but my response would be to incite liberation from the Orange Menace. Just read a piece about the negative messaging it really messing with people. It isn't the messaging that is messing with me. It is the constant reminder of just how many stupid, stupid people there are. Who knew it was possible to have so many people whose development arrested at that age of toddlerhood and egocentrism?

[alfablue]

Re: COVID-19 The 7th Part: We're Gonna Be Number One Soon!

More pro-Trump protesters demanding we end social distancing, while not wearing masks and standing side-by-side in a group of several hundred. Will ve fascinating to follow up and see how many get sick. https://t.co/ZuNfc4hXD9

— John Aravosis ���� (@aravosis) April 17, 2020

They ARE getting the memo. Go for it. But do find like minded stores to get your "stuff" and go to the like minded hospitals who will tell you to go home with a basic flu. Stay away from people you label as afraid. Bunch up with like minded people and yell a whole lot.

[Deutsche Gopher Fan]

Re: COVID-19 The 7th Part: We're Gonna Be Number One Soon!

gonna liberate fuddruckers at gunpoint and sit at that table slamming down chicken quesadillas just like the founding fathers intended https://t.co/xR73VuqV0k

— kilgore trout, compulsory consumer (@KT_So_It_Goes) April 17, 2020

[Deutsche Gopher Fan]

Re: COVID-19 The 7th Part: We're Gonna Be Number One Soon!

This thread is fascinating, and shows how decision-making is guided when you’re led by a rational team of adults. (WILD) https://t.co/Ms8disgxPM

— ana marie cox (@anamariecox) April 17, 2020

[jflory81]

Re: COVID-19 The 7th Part: We're Gonna Be Number One Soon!

The University of Texas did their own COVID model, and I find their results much more realistic (and depressing). 64K confirmed deaths (so not including the ~4500 probables that worldometers is already counting) by May 1st which is when the model ends. But considering the model has almost 2K deaths that day, that's obviously not where they think the epidemic will end. I'd guess looking at the graphs the end would be around 80K-90K.

Additionally: 18% chance the peak has already passed, 57% chance the peak has either passed or will happen in the next 7 days, and 68% chance the peak has either passed or will pass in the next two weeks.

That's a lot of room for some very, very bad outcomes.

I apologize if you can't get in right away, Nate Silver recently posted it so I think the servers are getting absolutely slammed right now: https://covid-19.tacc.utexas.edu/projections/

[jflory81]

Re: COVID-19 The 7th Part: We're Gonna Be Number One Soon!

Oh my God the IHME just adjusted their model downwards again to 60K total deaths.

That ****'s just expensive toilet paper at this point.

[SJHovey]

Re: COVID-19 The 7th Part: We're Gonna Be Number One Soon!

Weird. A meat packing plant in Minnesota suddenly became a hotspot. I was told that wouldn’t happen if the state had just implemented stay at home rules like Minnesota.

[HockeyRef]

Re: COVID-19 The 7th Part: We're Gonna Be Number One Soon!

This is insane. https://t.co/Zd0TrPV6z9

— Elizabeth C. McLaughlin 🩸🦷 (@ECMcLaughlin) April 17, 2020

Jax Beach my home town!

[state of hockey]

Weird. A meat packing plant in Minnesota suddenly became a hotspot. I was told that wouldn’t happen if the state had just implemented stay at home rules like Minnesota.

By who

[rufus]

Re: COVID-19 The 7th Part: We're Gonna Be Number One Soon!

Yep. Texas gov just signed executive order to open up the state by early May, and Florida gov is allowing some beaches to reopen.

[SJHovey]

By who

I’d have to check the posts from our South Dakota discussion this morning. I think maybe DG, alfa, maybe others. Usual suspects.

[Handyman]

Re: COVID-19 The 7th Part: We're Gonna Be Number One Soon!

By who

The voices in his head?

[state of hockey]

I’d have to check the posts from our South Dakota discussion this morning. I think maybe DG, alfa, maybe others. Usual suspects.

Huh. Stay at home has been going for three weeks, incubation is up to two. Is this the place in Worthington? If they're essential and people are going in anything is possible. I still think the distancing and staying home as much as possible make this stuff less likely.