As we all have heard by now, the remainder of the 2019-2020 college hockey season has been cancelled. However, as some of you may remember, the guys at College Hockey Weekly had put together a simulator that can be used to play out the remainder of the 2019-2020 postseason, including the NCAA Tournament. To that end, I have started imputing all the data required by the simulator, and I should be able to start getting "results" for the conference tournament games here shortly. For those interested in fighting the world of boredom left in the wake of the cancellation of the rest of the college hockey season this year, this thread will serve as a way to play a game of "What If."
As a primer, the CHW simulator uses KRACH as a starting point, and then factors in the teams' respective strengths and weaknesses and generates a series of 100 plays (i.e. Faceoff won - Team X; Shot Attempt - Team X (wide, on goal - save, on goal - goal); Penalty - Team X (minor (slashing), major (checking from behind))). Whoever is winning at the end of those 100 plays is declared the winner. If it ends tied, then the simulation is run again, and whoever scores the first goal wins (in OT of course).
After the conference tournament games are simulated, we will input that data into a Pairwise Calculator, and determine who advances to the NCAA Tournament. For those of you who remember the Top 100 Tournament simulations, I anticipate doing a similar writeup for the NCAA Tournament games. For the Conference Tournament games, I will probably just post the results, with perhaps some of the key information.
Anyway, I thought this would be a little bit of fun for us on this forum after an extremely disappointing end to the 2019-2020 season. Enjoy!
As a primer, the CHW simulator uses KRACH as a starting point, and then factors in the teams' respective strengths and weaknesses and generates a series of 100 plays (i.e. Faceoff won - Team X; Shot Attempt - Team X (wide, on goal - save, on goal - goal); Penalty - Team X (minor (slashing), major (checking from behind))). Whoever is winning at the end of those 100 plays is declared the winner. If it ends tied, then the simulation is run again, and whoever scores the first goal wins (in OT of course).
After the conference tournament games are simulated, we will input that data into a Pairwise Calculator, and determine who advances to the NCAA Tournament. For those of you who remember the Top 100 Tournament simulations, I anticipate doing a similar writeup for the NCAA Tournament games. For the Conference Tournament games, I will probably just post the results, with perhaps some of the key information.
Anyway, I thought this would be a little bit of fun for us on this forum after an extremely disappointing end to the 2019-2020 season. Enjoy!
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