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ECAC Pick the Standings 2019-2020

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  • #76
    Re: ECAC Pick the Standings 2019-2020

    It all starts with the goaltending.

    Comment


    • #77
      Re: ECAC Pick the Standings 2019-2020

      The "predictability" of the conference really amounts to the fact that there are only 2 teams between .333 and .607.

      Last season there were 7.

      The league has bifurcated. Perhaps it will melt back together during the second half.
      Cornell University
      National Champion 1967, 1970
      ECAC Champion 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1973, 1980, 1986, 1996, 1997, 2003, 2005, 2010
      Ivy League Champion 1966, 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1971, 1972, 1973, 1977, 1978, 1983, 1984, 1985, 1996, 1997, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2012, 2014, 2018, 2019, 2020

      Comment


      • #78
        Re: ECAC Pick the Standings 2019-2020

        After a few weeks of lurking, sgt12 has once again reclaimed the top spot as we enter February. Also the seven-way tie fell apart, but we do have a five-way for 13th.

        Code:
        Rk Post#         Contestant  Raw
         1    37              sgt12   14
         2     9  iowabasedtraveler   28
         3    34            Rainman   30
         4    38            apple2k   38
         5    12         Go Puckman   40
              51    The Fan Average   40
         7     8       techtodenver   42
              13          Patronick   42
         9    41           sshablak   44
        10    32 still an empty net   48
        11     5       allnightwong   50
              14               Turk   50
        13     2          The Media   52
               6         Ralph Baer   52
              18             cudmud   52
              39          red133883   52
              43  DrDemento+JennyRN   52
        18    31           slumulva   54
        19    25   TalonsUpPuckDown   56
              35            bothman   56
        21    19         GoldenBear   58
        22    26           Saints#1   60
        23    27          GreenBear   62
        24     7            drshoen   64
        25    44              johnk   68
              47       SnowDogFlyer   68
        27    15      ecachawkeyfan   70
        28     2        The Coaches   72
              48        NPC19850330   72
        30    33        Mike Hutter   76
        31     2      Dr. Last Year   78
              23            fr. joe   78
        33     4           sezenack   82
              50               TBRW   82
        35     3          CLKHockey   84
              11            kdiff77   84
        37    17      goldenbriggsy   86
        38    16           Dutchman   88
              22           TchrBill   88
        40    24  Bronco Hockey Fan   90
        41    40            Rjm7272   92
              42          BIG Green   92
        43    29         ColSkate65   94
        44    30           lugnut92   98
        45    20   Earl_Leatherland  108
        46     2  The Random Number  278
        --    50                 --   62
        RPI Pep Band
        GO GO GO YOU RED RED RED!!! and I guess Yale?
        🎶🎺🎺🎺 LET'S GO BLUES!

        2017-2018 RPI Pick to Click – Champion
        2013-2016 RPI Pick to Click – Back-to-Back-to-Back Runner-Up
        2014-15, 2018-19 ECAC Pick the Standings – Last Place

        Comment


        • #79
          Re: ECAC Pick the Standings 2019-2020

          We're so good at this. sgt12 maintains their lead with a historically low score and the Fan Average sits not too far behind!

          Code:
          Rk Post#         Contestant  Raw
           1    37              sgt12   10
           2    38            apple2k   28
           3     9  iowabasedtraveler   30
                34            Rainman   30
                51    The Fan Average   30
           6    12         Go Puckman   32
                13          Patronick   32
           8     6         Ralph Baer   34
           9     8       techtodenver   36
                14               Turk   36
          11    35            bothman   40
          12    19         GoldenBear   48
                31           slumulva   48
                32 still an empty net   48
                43  DrDemento+JennyRN   48
          16     2          The Media   50
                18             cudmud   50
                25   TalonsUpPuckDown   50
          19     7            drshoen   52
                27          GreenBear   52
          21    39          red133883   54
                47       SnowDogFlyer   54
          23     5       allnightwong   56
                15      ecachawkeyfan   56
          25    41           sshablak   58
                48        NPC19850330   58
          27    26           Saints#1   60
                33        Mike Hutter   60
          29     2        The Coaches   62
                23            fr. joe   62
                44              johnk   62
          32     4           sezenack   64
          33    30           lugnut92   68
          34     3          CLKHockey   72
                11            kdiff77   72
          36    17      goldenbriggsy   76
                42          BIG Green   76
          38    24  Bronco Hockey Fan   78
          39     2      Dr. Last Year   80
                16           Dutchman   80
          41    22           TchrBill   88
                50               TBRW   88
          43    40            Rjm7272   94
          44    29         ColSkate65  108
          45    20   Earl_Leatherland  110
          46     2  The Random Number  264
          --    50                 --   62
          RPI Pep Band
          GO GO GO YOU RED RED RED!!! and I guess Yale?
          🎶🎺🎺🎺 LET'S GO BLUES!

          2017-2018 RPI Pick to Click – Champion
          2013-2016 RPI Pick to Click – Back-to-Back-to-Back Runner-Up
          2014-15, 2018-19 ECAC Pick the Standings – Last Place

          Comment


          • #80
            Re: ECAC Pick the Standings 2019-2020

            Well uhh, this is weird. Despite 12 games being played, the standings did not move at all. As such, nothing changed in our little contest. sgt12 remains atop the standings, the RNG remains at the bottom, and we can just forget this weekend even happened.
            Code:
            Rk Post#         Contestant  Raw
             1    37              sgt12   10
             2    38            apple2k   28
             3     9  iowabasedtraveler   30
                  34            Rainman   30
                  51    The Fan Average   30
             6    12         Go Puckman   32
                  13          Patronick   32
             8     6         Ralph Baer   34
             9     8       techtodenver   36
                  14               Turk   36
            11    35            bothman   40
            12    19         GoldenBear   48
                  31           slumulva   48
                  32 still an empty net   48
                  43  DrDemento+JennyRN   48
            16     2          The Media   50
                  18             cudmud   50
                  25   TalonsUpPuckDown   50
            19     7            drshoen   52
                  27          GreenBear   52
            21    39          red133883   54
                  47       SnowDogFlyer   54
            23     5       allnightwong   56
                  15      ecachawkeyfan   56
            25    41           sshablak   58
                  48        NPC19850330   58
            27    26           Saints#1   60
                  33        Mike Hutter   60
            29     2        The Coaches   62
                  23            fr. joe   62
                  44              johnk   62
            32     4           sezenack   64
            33    30           lugnut92   68
            34     3          CLKHockey   72
                  11            kdiff77   72
            36    17      goldenbriggsy   76
                  42          BIG Green   76
            38    24  Bronco Hockey Fan   78
            39     2      Dr. Last Year   80
                  16           Dutchman   80
            41    22           TchrBill   88
                  50               TBRW   88
            43    40            Rjm7272   94
            44    29         ColSkate65  108
            45    20   Earl_Leatherland  110
            46     2  The Random Number  264
            --    50                 --   62
            RPI Pep Band
            GO GO GO YOU RED RED RED!!! and I guess Yale?
            🎶🎺🎺🎺 LET'S GO BLUES!

            2017-2018 RPI Pick to Click – Champion
            2013-2016 RPI Pick to Click – Back-to-Back-to-Back Runner-Up
            2014-15, 2018-19 ECAC Pick the Standings – Last Place

            Comment


            • #81
              Re: ECAC Pick the Standings 2019-2020

              I mentioned that last week was weird because there was no change in the standings, but I have to say that this is even weirder, because The Fan Average has nudged past sgt12 to take over the top spot with just one weekend left to play. Finally, the wisdom of the masses has asserted itself and we're set to have a 2006 Time Person of the Year-type event where every single one of us can claim victory. What a time to be alive.

              Code:
              Rk Post#         Contestant  Raw
               1    51    The Fan Average   12
               2    12         Go Puckman   14
                    13          Patronick   14
                    37              sgt12   14
               5     6         Ralph Baer   16
               6     8       techtodenver   18
                     9  iowabasedtraveler   18
               8    14               Turk   20
                    34            Rainman   20
              10    19         GoldenBear   26
                    43  DrDemento+JennyRN   26
              12     7            drshoen   28
                    35            bothman   28
                    38            apple2k   28
              15    25   TalonsUpPuckDown   32
                    27          GreenBear   32
              17    15      ecachawkeyfan   34
                    23            fr. joe   34
                    31           slumulva   34
                    47       SnowDogFlyer   34
              21     2          The Media   36
                    48        NPC19850330   36
              23    33        Mike Hutter   38
              24     2        The Coaches   40
              25     4           sezenack   42
                    26           Saints#1   42
                    44              johnk   42
              28     5       allnightwong   44
              29     3          CLKHockey   46
                    30           lugnut92   46
                    32 still an empty net   46
              32    11            kdiff77   50
                    18             cudmud   50
                    41           sshablak   50
              35    42          BIG Green   54
              36    17      goldenbriggsy   56
              37    24  Bronco Hockey Fan   60
                    39          red133883   60
              39     2      Dr. Last Year   62
                    22           TchrBill   62
              41    16           Dutchman   70
              42    50               TBRW   78
              43    40            Rjm7272   82
              44    20   Earl_Leatherland   86
              45    29         ColSkate65   96
              46     2  The Random Number  274
              --    50                 --   48
              RPI Pep Band
              GO GO GO YOU RED RED RED!!! and I guess Yale?
              🎶🎺🎺🎺 LET'S GO BLUES!

              2017-2018 RPI Pick to Click – Champion
              2013-2016 RPI Pick to Click – Back-to-Back-to-Back Runner-Up
              2014-15, 2018-19 ECAC Pick the Standings – Last Place

              Comment


              • #82
                Re: ECAC Pick the Standings 2019-2020

                lugnet, did the fan avg win the contest? Folks want to know.
                COLGATE HOCKEY:"Is this the year?"

                Comment


                • #83
                  Re: ECAC Pick the Standings 2019-2020

                  The final results are in and this year's winner is........ Go Puckman! He just edged out Ralph and the Fan Average to take the #1 spot with the best final score in the history of this contest. In fact, the top five contestants this year would match or beat the previous best winning score (jmhusker, 24, 2015-16). As expected, the Random Number generator put up the worst score by a huge margin, though still only a middle-of-the-road worst score historically. Our worst human poster ColSkate65 had far and away the best worst score ever, and even finished better than two of our past winners.

                  Code:
                  Rk Post#         Contestant  Raw
                   1    12         Go Puckman   16
                   2     6         Ralph Baer   18
                        51    The Fan Average   18
                   4    13          Patronick   20
                        37              sgt12   20
                   6     8       techtodenver   26
                         9  iowabasedtraveler   26
                        14               Turk   26
                        34            Rainman   26
                  10    19         GoldenBear   28
                  11     7            drshoen   32
                  12    43  DrDemento+JennyRN   34
                  13    23            fr. joe   36
                        31           slumulva   36
                        38            apple2k   36
                  16    27          GreenBear   38
                        30           lugnut92   38
                        35            bothman   38
                        47       SnowDogFlyer   38
                  20    25   TalonsUpPuckDown   42
                  21    33        Mike Hutter   44
                        48        NPC19850330   44
                  23     4           sezenack   46
                        15      ecachawkeyfan   46
                  25     2          The Media   48
                  26     2        The Coaches   50
                        26           Saints#1   50
                        44              johnk   50
                  29     5       allnightwong   54
                  30     3          CLKHockey   56  
                        32 still an empty net   56
                  32    18             cudmud   58
                  33    11            kdiff77   60
                  34    41           sshablak   64
                  35    42          BIG Green   66
                  36    17      goldenbriggsy   70
                  37    24  Bronco Hockey Fan   70
                  38    16           Dutchman   74
                  39     2      Dr. Last Year   76
                        22           TchrBill   76
                  41    39          red133883   78
                  42    40            Rjm7272   88
                  43    20   Earl_Leatherland   96
                  44    50               TBRW   98
                  45    29         ColSkate65  116
                  46     2  The Random Number  282
                  --    50                 --   62
                  I'll post all of the more in-depth analysis graphs later, but I wanted to get the final results out.
                  RPI Pep Band
                  GO GO GO YOU RED RED RED!!! and I guess Yale?
                  🎶🎺🎺🎺 LET'S GO BLUES!

                  2017-2018 RPI Pick to Click – Champion
                  2013-2016 RPI Pick to Click – Back-to-Back-to-Back Runner-Up
                  2014-15, 2018-19 ECAC Pick the Standings – Last Place

                  Comment


                  • #84
                    Re: ECAC Pick the Standings 2019-2020

                    Third time is a charm Sorry Ralph, but at least you lost to a die hard RPI fan.

                    Comment


                    • #85
                      Re: ECAC Pick the Standings 2019-2020

                      Originally posted by Go Puckman View Post
                      Third time is a charm Sorry Ralph, but at least you lost to a die hard RPI fan.
                      Congrats
                      sigpic

                      Let's Go 'Tute!

                      Maxed out at 2,147,483,647 at 10:00 AM EDT 9/17/07.

                      2012 Poser Of The Year

                      Comment


                      • #86
                        Re: ECAC Pick the Standings 2019-2020

                        Originally posted by Ralph Baer
                        I will post the other summaries in the morning. Gagnon is playing. Don't know yet about Watson and we will probably never know about Babich.
                        Did you mean for this to be in the recruits thread?

                        Comment


                        • #87
                          Re: ECAC Pick the Standings 2019-2020

                          Originally posted by NPC19850330 View Post
                          Did you mean for this to be in the recruits thread?
                          Sorry, I moved it.
                          sigpic

                          Let's Go 'Tute!

                          Maxed out at 2,147,483,647 at 10:00 AM EDT 9/17/07.

                          2012 Poser Of The Year

                          Comment


                          • #88
                            Re: ECAC Pick the Standings 2019-2020

                            Let's go a little more in-depth. Obviously congrats again to Go Puckman, who didn't miss any team by more than two spots and nailed 5 teams. This is going to get repetitive, but we all did extremely well this year. Our worst poster (ColSkate65) this year would have beaten half of the field last year, which was already a pretty good year. Last year's winner didn't compete for reasons, but last year's loser (me), improved significantly for no discernable reason (*cough* it's because RPI didn't cost me 100 points *cough*).

                            Given that all of our scores were very good and the Fan Average finished so close to the top, it should come as no surprise we came pretty close on pretty much every team. More than half of us pegged Cornell and SLU for first and last, respectively, with the former costing us less than a point on average. Further, there were seven more teams that cost us less than 4 points on average. The only real shocker of the bunch was RPI, who no one picked correctly and cost us about 19 points on average. You could interpret all of this as the league being very predictable, but I choose to read it as us all being very smart.

                            Some graphs:

                            (left: Violin plot of scores, right: Heat map of our deviations from reality)

                            (This year compared to previous editions of the contest)
                            RPI Pep Band
                            GO GO GO YOU RED RED RED!!! and I guess Yale?
                            🎶🎺🎺🎺 LET'S GO BLUES!

                            2017-2018 RPI Pick to Click – Champion
                            2013-2016 RPI Pick to Click – Back-to-Back-to-Back Runner-Up
                            2014-15, 2018-19 ECAC Pick the Standings – Last Place

                            Comment


                            • #89
                              Re: ECAC Pick the Standings 2019-2020

                              Lugnut, thanks for running the contest again this year!
                              Not a real doctor, nor do I play one on TV!
                              Clarkson 1990

                              Comment


                              • #90
                                Re: ECAC Pick the Standings 2019-2020

                                lugnut, I'm not a math wizard so don't have the foggiest about your "diagrams." But I believe this is the 3rd year out of the last 4 that I've come in last. At least I'm consistent :-( Thanks for doing the contest again!
                                COLGATE HOCKEY:"Is this the year?"

                                Comment

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