Fun With Numbers 2019: PWR, RPI, KRACH, GRaNT, WCHODR, & other assortments of letters

[Timothy A]

Re: Fun With Numbers 2019: PWR, RPI, KRACH, GRaNT, WCHODR, & other assortments of let

FWIW: Wisconsin played both Syracuse and Princeton in Madison this season. Syracuse in December, 6-1 and 9-1 wins; Princeton in October, a 4-3 win (that was that close) and a 3-0 win (that was 1-0 well into the 3rd period).

Those Princeton games were nail biters. That is quite the quality 7 seed there.

[vicb]

Re: Fun With Numbers 2019: PWR, RPI, KRACH, GRaNT, WCHODR, & other assortments of let

Which means Princeton and Syracuse fly to the Midwest, and the committee, if they are thinking at all, make 2 ECAC v HEA games.

..........

Syracuse gets the winner of Minny/Wisco and Princeton gets the loser.

You do not want Northeastern and Cornell to win.

[TonyTheTiger20]

Re: Fun With Numbers 2019: PWR, RPI, KRACH, GRaNT, WCHODR, & other assortments of let

Final bracketology: https://www.bcinterruption.com/bosto...nsin-minnesota

Trying to look at this from an unbiased perspective because I really don't want to go to Clarkson. And I really truly hate when they have a directive and they just disregard their directive. But if they were ever going to justify swapping teams for a cheaper bracket, it would be now. Cornell and BC are even tied in the Pairwise, so they could pretty much justify it however they want.

My heart wants us to go to NU but I truly hate the opacity with which this process takes place.

[Timothy A]

Re: Fun With Numbers 2019: PWR, RPI, KRACH, GRaNT, WCHODR, & other assortments of let

Final bracketology: https://www.bcinterruption.com/bosto...nsin-minnesota

Trying to look at this from an unbiased perspective because I really don't want to go to Clarkson. And I really truly hate when they have a directive and they just disregard their directive. But if they were ever going to justify swapping teams for a cheaper bracket, it would be now. Cornell and BC are even tied in the Pairwise, so they could pretty much justify it however they want.

My heart wants us to go to NU but I truly hate the opacity with which this process takes place.

I cannot believe the length of bus trips is even in discussion.

[TonyTheTiger20]

Re: Fun With Numbers 2019: PWR, RPI, KRACH, GRaNT, WCHODR, & other assortments of let

I cannot believe the length of bus trips is even in discussion.

You're telling me... I don't even think we'd be having this discussion if 2016 didn't happen.

[ChickHicks86]

Re: Fun With Numbers 2019: PWR, RPI, KRACH, GRaNT, WCHODR, & other assortments of let

Now that we've got the NCAA tournament field, I thought it would be interesting to see if either quality win games (Top 12 for PairWise, so I did likewise) or the remaining schedule had a bigger impact on whether a team finds themselves in the tournament or not. The hosting teams largely distinguished themselves in both categories, while it seems that winning roughly 85% of the games against "unranked" teams seemed to be the ticket to being on the right side of the bubble for the remaining teams.

While not a new conclusion for any sports fan, it's interesting to see the numbers show that those midseason games against Maine or Bemidji for example can be just as important as the conference tournament games to a team on the edge of making the national tournament.

PairWise	Team	Overall	vs Top 12	vs Other
1	Wisconsin	32-4-2 (0.8684)	11-3-2 (0.75)	21-1-0 (0.9545)
2	Minnesota	30-5-1 (0.8472)	9-5-1 (0.6333)	21-0-0 (1)
3	Northeastern	27-5-5 (0.7972)	9-4-3 (0.6562)	18-1-2 (0.9047)
4	Clarkson	29-7-2 (0.7894)	7-4-1 (0.625)	22-3-1 (0.8653)
5	Boston College	26-11-1 (0.6973)	6-8-0 (0.4285)	20-3-1 (0.8541)
6	Cornell	23-5-6 (0.7647)	4-3-1 (0.5625)	19-2-5 (0.8269)
7	Princeton	20-7-5 (0.7031)	2-5-2 (0.3333)	18-2-3 (0.8478)
8	Providence	24-11-2 (0.6756)	3-7-0 (0.3)	21-4-2 (0.8148)
9	Boston University	21-8-8 (0.6756)	4-5-2 (0.4545)	17-3-6 (0.7692)
10	Ohio State	20-13-2 (0.6)	5-8-2 (0.4)	15-5-0 (0.75)
11	Colgate	23-10-5 (0.6710)	4-6-1 (0.4090)	19-4-4 (0.7777)
12	Minnesota Duluth	15-16-4 (0.4857)	6-11-1 (0.3611)	9-5-3 (0.6176)

[ChickHicks86]

Re: Fun With Numbers 2019: PWR, RPI, KRACH, GRaNT, WCHODR, & other assortments of let

Yes! Nicole Haase did some harassing to the powers that be to finally get them to correct their numbers -- they even have the eligible teams right!

I'm not sure if this changed at the same time as the PairWise, but USCHO's KRACH ratings are doing something different with the NEWHA teams too. Somehow they still get a rating, but are ranked 36-40. Comparing Grant's calculator ratings to the USCHO results in some strange changes in the rankings (Mankato +3, Maine -4, St. Cloud +4, for example).

After a little research, I see that Maine played Sacred Heart twice (2 8-0 victories, haha), so that explains their drop, but that doesn't directly explain the jump for Mankato and St. Cloud, or Ohio State's ascension to #5. Maybe Maine dropping for scheduling a NEWHA school made Maine comparatively worse, dropping all of the Hockey East schools down? I'm not going to spend much more time on it, but I'm curious if any number crunchers here have any thoughts on what USCHO is doing with the NEWHA schools / how it affects everybody else's rankings?