View Poll Results: Which four teams win on Saturday?

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  • Minnesota, Cornell, Boston University, Boston College

    19 31.67%
  • Minnesota, Cornell, Boston University, Harvard

    12 20.00%
  • Minnesota, Cornell, Clarkson, Boston College

    13 21.67%
  • Minnesota, Cornell, Clarkson, Harvard

    5 8.33%
  • Minnesota, Mercyhurst, Boston University, Boston College

    3 5.00%
  • Minnesota, Mercyhurst, Boston University, Harvard

    5 8.33%
  • Minnesota, Mercyhurst, Clarkson, Boston College

    0 0%
  • Minnesota, Mercyhurst, Clarkson, Harvard

    0 0%
  • North Dakota, Cornell, Boston University, Boston College

    1 1.67%
  • North Dakota, Cornell, Boston University, Harvard

    1 1.67%
  • North Dakota, Cornell, Clarkson, Boston College

    0 0%
  • North Dakota, Cornell, Clarkson, Harvard

    0 0%
  • North Dakota, Mercyhurst, Boston University, Boston College

    0 0%
  • North Dakota, Mercyhurst, Boston University, Harvard

    0 0%
  • North Dakota, Mercyhurst, Clarkson, Boston College

    0 0%
  • North Dakota, Mercyhurst, Clarkson, Harvard

    1 1.67%
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Thread: Which teams advance to the Frozen Four in Minneapolis?

  1. #1
    Fan of chipmunk-like mascots. ARM's Avatar
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    Which teams advance to the Frozen Four in Minneapolis?

    Pick the 4 winners in Saturday's games...
    "... And lose, and start again at your beginnings
    And never breathe a word about your loss;" -- Rudyard Kipling

  2. #2
    Deport Right Wing Nuts brookyone's Avatar
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    Re: Which teams advance to the Frozen Four in Minneapolis?

    Where's the GDS option: Minnesota, North Dakota, Wisconsin, Ohio State.
    Minnesota Hockey

  3. #3
    Fan of chipmunk-like mascots. ARM's Avatar
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    Re: Which teams advance to the Frozen Four in Minneapolis?

    Quote Originally Posted by brookyone View Post
    Where's the GDS option: Minnesota, North Dakota, Wisconsin, Ohio State.
    The #!@&!*$ NCAA forced me to remove it!
    "... And lose, and start again at your beginnings
    And never breathe a word about your loss;" -- Rudyard Kipling

  4. #4
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    Re: Which teams advance to the Frozen Four in Minneapolis?

    Here are some forecasts:

    WCHODR Forecasts
    https://it.stlawu.edu/~chodr/wchodr/next.html

    Harvard 2.38 at Boston College 1.91
    Clarkson 2.35 at Boston University 2.31
    Mercyhurst 2.10 at Cornell 3.10
    North Dakota 1.16 at Minnesota 4.73

    Massey Forecasts
    https://masseyratings.com/game.php?s=chw2013

    Harvard at BC
    Mode: 2-2
    Median: 2-2
    Mean: BC 2.57, Harvard 2.39
    Win Prob: BC 46%, Harvard 39%, OT+ 15%

    Clarkson at BU
    Mode: 2-2
    Median: 3-2 BU
    Mean: BU 2.68, Clarkson 2.43
    Win Prob: BU 48%, Clarkson 38%, OT+ 14%

    Mercyhurst at Cornell
    Mode: 3-2 Cornell
    Median: 3-2 Cornell
    Mean: 3.54-2.45 Cornell
    Win Prob: Cornell 62%, Mercyhurst 26%, OT+ 12%

    UND at Minnesota
    Mode: 4-1 Minesota
    Median: 4-2 Minnesota
    Mean: 4.57-1.86 Minnesota
    Win Prob: Minnesota 83%, UND 10% OT+ 7%

  5. #5
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    Re: Which teams advance to the Frozen Four in Minneapolis?

    UND at Minnesota
    Mode: 4-1 Minesota
    Median: 4-2 Minnesota
    Mean: 4.57-1.86 Minnesota
    Win Prob: Minnesota 83%, UND 10% OT+ 7%


    Minnesota's only got an 83% chance of beating UND? Wow. Well, I guess when you are depending on computers and math and all, anything is possible. And I'm not implying I think its impossible for UND to win, but I just would have a hard time seeing UMn's chances of being any worse than 90%.

  6. #6
    Fan of chipmunk-like mascots. ARM's Avatar
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    Re: Which teams advance to the Frozen Four in Minneapolis?

    Quote Originally Posted by Back2BackU-MnPride2002 View Post
    Minnesota's only got an 83% chance of beating UND?
    I'd imagine that they'd also win some percentage of those theoretical 7% of the games that go to OT.
    "... And lose, and start again at your beginnings
    And never breathe a word about your loss;" -- Rudyard Kipling

  7. #7
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    Re: Which teams advance to the Frozen Four in Minneapolis?

    Note also that Massey considers UND to be the #2 team in the country, not #8. So I'd agree 83% for Minnesota in regulation against the true #8 team would be unreasonable, but it seems reasonable for whoever the true #2 team in the country might be.

  8. #8
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    Re: Which teams advance to the Frozen Four in Minneapolis?

    Quote Originally Posted by ARM View Post
    I'd imagine that they'd also win some percentage of those theoretical 7% of the games that go to OT.
    If you apply the 83% rule on the 7% rule, you come out with a total split of about 89% vs 11%, pretty close to the 90% mentioned by a previous poster.

  9. #9
    Vort Doen.....Heija Heija Heija OnMAA's Avatar
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    Re: Which teams advance to the Frozen Four in Minneapolis?

    And the first vote for UND is in.

  10. #10
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    Re: Which teams advance to the Frozen Four in Minneapolis?

    Quote Originally Posted by OnMAA View Post
    And the first vote for UND is in.
    With all upset picks as well.....

  11. #11
    Deport Right Wing Nuts brookyone's Avatar
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    Re: Which teams advance to the Frozen Four in Minneapolis?

    Who's coming to Minneapolis if their team advances? Or regardless?
    Minnesota Hockey

  12. #12
    Vort Doen.....Heija Heija Heija OnMAA's Avatar
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    Re: Which teams advance to the Frozen Four in Minneapolis?

    TTT picks BU ....What Happened !!!

  13. #13
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    Re: Which teams advance to the Frozen Four in Minneapolis?

    I'm going to be waiting by the phone as soon as tickets are made available, if any are made available. I kicked myself when I procrastinated and they got sold out. I should have known better.

  14. #14
    Fan of chipmunk-like mascots. ARM's Avatar
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    Re: Which teams advance to the Frozen Four in Minneapolis?

    Quote Originally Posted by OnMAA View Post
    TTT picks BU ....What Happened !!!
    Either he had a mattj-style hanging-chad problem or he is feeling really Hockey Easty.
    "... And lose, and start again at your beginnings
    And never breathe a word about your loss;" -- Rudyard Kipling

  15. #15
    #SOAR TonyTheTiger20's Avatar
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    Re: Which teams advance to the Frozen Four in Minneapolis?

    Hahaha neither... I'm just more down on Clarkson than BU right now.

    Wondered how long it would take someone to notice.

    I have a full-on tournament preview going up tomorrow morning at 9am on BC Interruption, I'll link it here once it goes up. Any guesses as to who I have winning?

  16. #16
    Fan of chipmunk-like mascots. ARM's Avatar
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    Re: Which teams advance to the Frozen Four in Minneapolis?

    Quote Originally Posted by TonyTheTiger20 View Post
    Any guesses as to who I have winning?
    Quote Originally Posted by OnMAA View Post
    TTT picks BU ...
    Has Hades frozen over?
    "... And lose, and start again at your beginnings
    And never breathe a word about your loss;" -- Rudyard Kipling

  17. #17
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    Re: Which teams advance to the Frozen Four in Minneapolis?

    Quote Originally Posted by TonyTheTiger20 View Post
    Any guesses as to who I have winning?
    Northeastern?

  18. #18
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    Quote Originally Posted by ARM View Post
    Either he had a mattj-style hanging-chad problem or he is feeling really Hockey Easty.
    That made me LOL. I had completely forgotten about that.

  19. #19
    #SOAR TonyTheTiger20's Avatar
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    Re: Which teams advance to the Frozen Four in Minneapolis?

    Here's the comprehensive BCI tournament preview, courtesy of everyone's favorite USCHO poster:

    https://www.bcinterruption.com/boston...nament-preview

  20. #20
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    Re: Which teams advance to the Frozen Four in Minneapolis?

    I can't quite get the "really poor record" comment on Harvard's second half. So the team went 2-5 against NCAA qualifying teams, and tied two decent teams (Dartmouth & SLU), and then beat everyone it should. (And Harvard was just 1-1 against NCAA qualifying teams in the first half.) BC meanwhile went 3-1 against NCAA qualifying teams in the second half, lost two games against a decent Northeastern team, and tied an awful Vermont team, which is better but not really leaps and bounds better. It's certainly not a Frozen Four favorite performance for Harvard, and it's mediocre judged by that standard, but I wouldn't call it really poor.

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