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  1. unofan

    Dump Term 2 Part 4: Twilight of the Derps

    So the Mossad has the potential to do the funniest thing ever...
  2. unofan

    Wisconsin Hockey 25-26 Hastings Year 3 - Turning the Corner?

    Wisconsin is guaranteed to finish 12th in the NPI. It's all a matter of how many bid thefts occur at this point. There' are 2 potential ones left: ECAC (Princeton/Clarkson) and BIG (tOSU). 0 = Wisconsin and one of Augustana/UConn/UMass in 1 = Wisconsin in 2 = Wisconsin out
  3. unofan

    NCAA Bubble Watch

    With 12 games to go, the field is nearly set. There are discrepancies between the USCHO's/CHN's NPI and the What If? Predictor's NPI, so it's not 100% clear on the margins what has to happen for certain teams to make it if things go wild. CHN's tournament probability matrix is probably your best...
  4. unofan

    Men's Conference Tournament NPI Predictor

    Not necessarily with the predictor itself, but per the Cornell message board and some other review, the underlying NPI numbers don't match what USCHO/CHN are putting out, even accounting for your predictor taking into account future results. Wisconsin is the most impactful one and most...
  5. unofan

    NCAA Hockey 2025- CHA now welcome

    It's all HEA- dependent. I played around with the predictor, but can't remember the exact scenarios. The other 2 potential at large teams if there aren't any more bid thefts are UMass and UConn.
  6. unofan

    Men's Conference Tournament NPI Predictor

    So in the event neither tOSU nor the ECAC crew (Clarkson, Princeton, Harvard) steal a bid, the last at large spot will go to one of UMass, Connecticut, or Augustana. It would all depend on how the HEA tourney plays out. So the bubble is 5 teams with 1-3 spots available: Cornell, Wisconsin...
  7. unofan

    Men's Conference Tournament NPI Predictor

    Locks (10): Michigan, Michigan State, Penn State, Western Michigan, Denver, Minn-Duluth, North Dakota, Providence, Quinnipiac, Dartmouth Additionsl Autobids (3): CCHA, AHA, HEA Bubble spots left (3): Cornell, Wisconsin, no clue (off the cuff, probably the HEA runner-up but potentially St...
  8. unofan

    NCAA Hockey 2025- CHA now welcome

    tOSU and Merrimack keep the bubble sweating with their OT wins tonight. Penn State and Dartmouth are safe. Cornell needs to make the ECAC final to control its own destiny. Otherwise it needs tOSU to lose in the Big Ten championship or Dartmouth to win the ECACs to avoid getting bumped out by...
  9. unofan

    Dartmouth Hockey - Because it deserves it

    Officially NCAA Bound! First time since 1980. Selfishly I want them to wind up in Sioux Falls so I can drive to the regional, but I'm going wherever they're sent.
  10. unofan

    NCAA Hockey 2025- CHA now welcome

    Quinnipiac losing means Penn State has officially clinched (finally). Dartmouth has officially clinched is first berth since 1980 with its win. Everyone else is on pins and needles watching the tOSU and Providence scores.
  11. unofan

    NCAA Hockey 2025- CHA now welcome

    I keep finding the one random scenario to keep Penn State out, so technically they aren't a true lock yet. Basically the same scenario as before, only now Cornell needs to advance to the conference final: PSU loses tonight, Dartmouth wins tonight (ensures Dartmouth stays above PSU), Cornell and...
  12. unofan

    UNH- How Far West Do We Go?

    Lol, no. If anything, the ECAC is closer to 4 bids than 2. Quinnipiac is a lock regardless. Dartmouth is a lock with a win or a tOSU loss. Cornell is a lock with a tOSU loss. But most importantly, Cornell and Dartmouth 1) can't both fall out, and 2) can only fall out if someone else wins the...
  13. unofan

    NCAA Hockey 2025- CHA now welcome

    Penn State is now a lock after Cornell's loss last night. Dartmouth can become officially a lock with a W tonight. Cornell can become a lock with a W and some help (primarily a tOSU loss) Wisconsin becomes a lock with a tOSU loss. Augustana still can't become a lock, but a W and a tOSU...
  14. unofan

    Men's Conference Tournament NPI Predictor

    Carried over from the Cafe thread, I've found 2 scenarios where Penn State misses out: Penn State loses to Michigan in the semis Dartmouth and Cornell both sweep their QFs Someone other than Providence wins HEA (semi-stolen bid) ECAC goes to either Princeton or Union (stolen bid) tOSU takes the...
  15. unofan

    NCAA Hockey 2025- CHA now welcome

    I actually found a couple of scenarios where Penn State misses out. Penn State loses to Michigan in the semis Dartmouth and Cornell both sweep their QFs (keeps them both above Penn State). ECAC goes to either Princeton or Union (stolen bid) tOSU takes the Big Ten crown. (stolen bid) someone...
  16. unofan

    US Foreign Policy 4.0: making the world safe to flee to if the MAGAts win here

    The price of eggs was entirely caused by avian flu and the associated cullings of huge chicken CAFOs. Good luck getting the same people who willingly vote for Trump to understand a nuance like that, though, especially post-COVID. Beyond that, you can blame the Dems to a point for not having...
  17. unofan

    Dump Term 2 Part 4: Twilight of the Derps

    I'd put 75% of that on Trump and 25% on FIFA. The prices guarantee a lot of empty seats at the average group stage game.
  18. unofan

    NCAA Hockey 2025- CHA now welcome

    Penn State is a lock with their win. Cornell and Dartmouth can become official locks with sweeps or at least one win and some help (primarily tOSU losing to knock out the chance of the BIG stealing a bid). Wisconsin is still sitting fine so long as there aren't 3 stolen bids from tOSU, the...
  19. unofan

    US Politics 2026

    Head football coach at State U pays even more, at least in 45 or so states.
  20. unofan

    Business, Economics, and Taxes 2: That's Why We Fight to Take the Means Back

    The NYTimes is slowly creeping into tv news territory with how many "breaking news" emails they're sending out lately. No, not everything is breaking news that needs to clutter my inbox. Iran? Yes. The resignation of THE Ohio State University president? not so much. That's just normal news.
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